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Delaware Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 40 27 67
2 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 40 32 72
3 American University American University Eagles 49 30 79
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 56 66 122
5 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 76 58 134
6 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 54 85 139
7 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 47 95 142
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 1 80 66 146
9 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 98 83 181
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 2 1 1 8 8 6 9 1 1 1 1 40 Barrett Lhamon '26 [1-4, 9-12]
Nathan Mascia '26 [5-8]
Ryan Galella '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenna Wall '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 1 5 2 1 1 1 1 7 4 9 5 40 Sebastien Nordenson '27 [1-8]
Johnny Leadingham '26 [9-12]
Ana Bucevic '27 [1-8]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 7 5 7 3 5 4 4 2 2 3 3 2 47 Benedict Gorman '25
Faith Dickerson '25
American University American University Eagles 4 3 2 4 3 5 5 6 5 7 2 3 49 Hannah Arey '27 [1-12]
Katherine Anderson '27 [1-8]
Ella Lane '25 [9-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 2 7 3 5 2 3 2 3 8 2 8 9 54 Marlon Wool '26 [1-12]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Amelia Mignone '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 4 6 7 4 2 3 4 6 5 4 6 56 Nathaniel Adams '26
Lucas Randle '28
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 9 6 4 6 7 7 9 5 4 6 5 8 76 Malik Deslauriers '24
Maya Moschallski '25
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 1 6 8 8 9 6 6 7 8 3 8 7 4 80 Seton Dill '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Servidio '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Nicole Nordone '25 [1-2]
Caroline Ziluca '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Mia Graziano '27 [5-6, 9-10]
John Fulkerson '26 [11-12]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 8 9 9 8 9 9 8 7 9 9 6 7 98 Laura Macmillan '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Elise Singletary '26 [3-4, 9-10]
Brian Polak '27 [5-6, 11-12]
Sophie Decoite '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Windsor '25 [3-4, 9-12]
Ian Kaplan '25 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 2 5 3 1 2 5 3 1 1 1 1 27 Advik Eswaran '27 [1-12]
Nolani Lloyd '27 [1-8]
Victoria Davies '27 [9-12]
American University American University Eagles 4 3 1 1 3 3 1 1 4 4 2 3 30 Ryan Curtis '26 [1-2, 9-12]
James Cottage '27 [3-8]
Ella Napolitano '26 [1-2, 9-12]
Ryan Curtis '26 [3-8]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 1 3 2 4 1 2 9 2 2 3 2 32 Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-10]
Makenna Labor '25 [11-12]
Makenna Labor '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aditya Patel '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 3 4 2 5 6 7 3 5 6 5 8 4 58 Matt Averyt '24
Mary Wholean '26
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 9 8 4 2 4 7 4 3 6 9 5 66 Patrick Hartshorne '24 [1-12]
Quinten Tomaro '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 1 7 5 6 6 7 5 4 2 5 7 4 8 66 Addie Perez '25 [1-8]
Benjamin Koly '26 [9-12]
Brad Daugherty '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Joy '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Max Krantz '27 [9-12]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 9 6 DNF DNS 5 8 6 6 8 3 5 7 83 Taylor Whiteman '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Amira Kleiman '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Dylan Kampf '25 [11-12]
Deepak Ramesh '27 [1-4]
Michael Blose '27 [5-8]
Sophie Decoite '25 [9-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 6 7 4 8 9 6 8 7 9 8 7 6 85 Evan Kohut '26 [1-12]
Nathan Haase '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 8 8 7 7 8 9 9 8 7 9 6 9 95 John Anthony Caraig '27 [1-12]
Christian Aron '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isabel Fay '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11335577101011
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466998822
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens 1998822446699
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens 21010113355771010
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33557710101133
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions55771010113355
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers669988224466
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights77101011335577
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies882244669988

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles224466998822
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals33557710101133
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens 11010113355771010
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens 2882244669988
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons446699882244
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions669988224466
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77101011335577
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights998822446699
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies11335577101011
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Hannah Arey '27 [1-12] Katherine Anderson '27 [1-8]
Ella Lane '25 [9-12]
Eagles Ryan Curtis '26 [1-2, 9-12]
James Cottage '27 [3-8]		 Ella Napolitano '26 [1-2, 9-12]
Ryan Curtis '26 [3-8]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Benedict Gorman '25 Faith Dickerson '25
Cardinals John Anthony Caraig '27 [1-12] Christian Aron '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isabel Fay '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Nathaniel Adams '26 Lucas Randle '28
Dragons Patrick Hartshorne '24 [1-12] Quinten Tomaro '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Penn State University Penn State University Barrett Lhamon '26 [1-4, 9-12]
Nathan Mascia '26 [5-8]		 Ryan Galella '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenna Wall '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Nittany Lions Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-10]
Makenna Labor '25 [11-12]		 Makenna Labor '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aditya Patel '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Sebastien Nordenson '27 [1-8]
Johnny Leadingham '26 [9-12]		 Ana Bucevic '27 [1-8]
Tigers Advik Eswaran '27 [1-12] Nolani Lloyd '27 [1-8]
Victoria Davies '27 [9-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Marlon Wool '26 [1-12] Karolina Debniak '26 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Amelia Mignone '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Scarlet Knights Evan Kohut '26 [1-12] Nathan Haase '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Seton Dill '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Anna Servidio '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Nicole Nordone '25 [1-2]
Caroline Ziluca '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Mia Graziano '27 [5-6, 9-10]
John Fulkerson '26 [11-12]
Blue Hens 1 Addie Perez '25 [1-8]
Benjamin Koly '26 [9-12]		 Brad Daugherty '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Joy '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Max Krantz '27 [9-12]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Laura Macmillan '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Elise Singletary '26 [3-4, 9-10]
Brian Polak '27 [5-6, 11-12]		 Sophie Decoite '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Windsor '25 [3-4, 9-12]
Ian Kaplan '25 [7-8]
Blue Hens 2 Taylor Whiteman '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Amira Kleiman '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Dylan Kampf '25 [11-12]		 Deepak Ramesh '27 [1-4]
Michael Blose '27 [5-8]
Sophie Decoite '25 [9-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Malik Deslauriers '24 Maya Moschallski '25
Hokies Matt Averyt '24 Mary Wholean '26

Conditions — 04/20/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.8 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1013.7 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →