Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 26 10 36
2 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 20 17 37
3 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 24 16 40
4 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 25 31 56
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 23 36 59
6 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 30 36 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 6 2 1 1 6 2 2 20 Henry Powell '26 [1-7]
Vaughan Hood '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Simmi Chowdhurry '25 [3-4, 7]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 1 DNF 2 3 1 5 23 Patrick Hartshorne '24 [1-2]
Aidan Gurskis '28 [3-4]
Iain Shand '24 [5-6]
Nathaniel Adams '26 [7]
Haoran Zhao '24 [1-2]
Alexander Pfeffer '28 [3-4]
Dren Gara '25 [5-6]
Meredith Davies '26 [7]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 5 3 2 4 4 5 1 24 Marlon Wool '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Anish Jayewardene '24 [3-4]
Kate Faranetta '24 [7]
Kate Faranetta '24 [1-2]
Terry Nguyen '25 [3-4, 7]
Nathan Haase '27 [5-6]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 1 5 4 5 1 6 3 25 John Anthony Caraig '27
Lucas Randle '28
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 2 6 3 3 5 3 4 26 Anna Servidio '26
John Fulkerson '26
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 3 4 5 6 2 4 6 30 Joseph Arrigo '25 [1-7]
Patrick Cashin '24 [1-4]
Andrew Matin '24 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 10 Seton Dill '27 [1-7]
Savannah Mcmullen '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Koly '26 [3-4, 7]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 4 2 1 2 1 3 3 16 Jack Ryan '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Ralph Molinari '24 [3-4]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4, 7]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 17 John Tis '25 [1-7]
Grace Hartman '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Smith '24 [3-4, 7]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 3 6 4 4 4 4 6 31 Faith Dickerson '25
Christian Aron '27
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 5 6 5 BKD 6 4 36 Evelyn Carpenter '26 [1-2]
Quinten Tomaro '25 [3-4]
Sarah Schon '24 [5-6]
Charlotte Shaw '26 [7]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [1-2]
Abby Chirico '24 [3-4]
Zachary Nguyen '23 [5-6]
Chris Bahr '26 [7]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 6 4 5 6 5 5 5 36 Cheyenne Fair '25
Abigail Eck '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals113355
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens551133
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons224466
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers662244
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks335511
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights446622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens662244
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons335511
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers113355
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks446622
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights551133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America John Anthony Caraig '27 Lucas Randle '28
Cardinals Faith Dickerson '25 Christian Aron '27
Drexel University Drexel University Patrick Hartshorne '24 [1-2]
Aidan Gurskis '28 [3-4]
Iain Shand '24 [5-6]
Nathaniel Adams '26 [7]
Haoran Zhao '24 [1-2]
Alexander Pfeffer '28 [3-4]
Dren Gara '25 [5-6]
Meredith Davies '26 [7]
Dragons Evelyn Carpenter '26 [1-2]
Quinten Tomaro '25 [3-4]
Sarah Schon '24 [5-6]
Charlotte Shaw '26 [7]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [1-2]
Abby Chirico '24 [3-4]
Zachary Nguyen '23 [5-6]
Chris Bahr '26 [7]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Joseph Arrigo '25 [1-7] Patrick Cashin '24 [1-4]
Andrew Matin '24 [5-7]
Hawks Cheyenne Fair '25 Abigail Eck '24
Rutgers University Rutgers University Marlon Wool '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Anish Jayewardene '24 [3-4]
Kate Faranetta '24 [7]
Kate Faranetta '24 [1-2]
Terry Nguyen '25 [3-4, 7]
Nathan Haase '27 [5-6]
Scarlet Knights Jack Ryan '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Ralph Molinari '24 [3-4]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4, 7]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Anna Servidio '26 John Fulkerson '26
Blue Hens Seton Dill '27 [1-7] Savannah Mcmullen '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Koly '26 [3-4, 7]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Henry Powell '26 [1-7] Vaughan Hood '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Simmi Chowdhurry '25 [3-4, 7]
Retrievers John Tis '25 [1-7] Grace Hartman '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Smith '24 [3-4, 7]

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1025.4 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From E (98°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1025.4 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Drexel: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.60 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →