Hoosier Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 20 13 33
2 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 17 21 38
3 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 16 26 42
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 31 23 54
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 37 37 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 1 3 4 1 2 1 2 2 16 Arden Carleton '26 [1-8]
Alya Macmanaway '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Scott Schoeman '26 [3-4]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 1 2 2 1 3 3 3 17 Nithya Balachander '25 [1-8]
Fiona Naughton '26 [1-6]
Bryce Lesinski '27 [7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 4 1 4 4 2 1 1 20 Nadia Reynolds '25
Alexandra Avery '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 5 2 3 3 5 4 5 4 31 Alex Day '24
Max Liu '26
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 5 5 5 3 5 4 DNF 37 Azim Usmanov '27
Emma Jackson '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 13 Emma Hershey '27
Sofia Ely '27
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 4 2 2 3 1 4 4 21 Delaynie Grove '24 [1-8]
Sammy Stoeber '24 [1-6]
Brandon Kem '24 [7-8]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 4 2 4 3 2 4 3 1 23 Ayden Sarber '26
Sam Faber '24
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 2 3 3 4 5 5 2 2 26 Luka Stanic '26
Matthew Scanlon '25
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 5 5 5 4 3 5 5 37 Jordan Raizer '26 [1-8]
James Zieper '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Yuka Sumi '27 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers11335522
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers22441133
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats33552244
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes44113355
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers55224411

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers22441133
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers33552244
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats44113355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes55224411
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers11335522
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Arden Carleton '26 [1-8] Alya Macmanaway '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Scott Schoeman '26 [3-4]
Chargers Luka Stanic '26 Matthew Scanlon '25
Indiana University Indiana University Nithya Balachander '25 [1-8] Fiona Naughton '26 [1-6]
Bryce Lesinski '27 [7-8]
Hoosiers Delaynie Grove '24 [1-8] Sammy Stoeber '24 [1-6]
Brandon Kem '24 [7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Azim Usmanov '27 Emma Jackson '24
Wildcats Jordan Raizer '26 [1-8] James Zieper '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Yuka Sumi '27 [5-6]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Nadia Reynolds '25 Alexandra Avery '26
Buckeyes Emma Hershey '27 Sofia Ely '27
Purdue University Purdue University Alex Day '24 Max Liu '26
Boilermakers Ayden Sarber '26 Sam Faber '24

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1012.4 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.2 kn
avg  ·  max 18.0 kn
Gusts to 39.7 kn
From WNW (289°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1012.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn · SW 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Indiana: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Indiana by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Indiana, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →