Stony Brook Cup (Brendan Brown-McCue Memorial)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 9 23
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 24 37
3 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 42 31 73
4 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 33 44 77
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 65 27 92
6 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 38 56 94
7 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 56 61 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 13 Lucas Thress '26
Caroline Newton '27
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 14 Valerio Palamara '24
Tyler Brown '26
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 3 4 5 3 5 4 3 3 33 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-4]
Berkley Yiu '25 [5-9]
Skylor Wong '26 [1-4]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 5 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 38 Anish Jayewardene '24
William Beyer '25
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 6 6 3 5 3 5 5 5 42 Gerrit Bittmann '24 [1-9]
Morgan Bittmann '24 [1-6]
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25 [7-9]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 7 5 6 DNS 6 6 6 6 56 Faith Otoole '24 [1-9]
Lauren Grabski '25 [1-3, 6]
Katie Metis '26 [4-5]
Sarah Csobaji '26 [7-9]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 65 Oscar Gilroy '27
Elliott Chamberland '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 3 24 Brendan Sheeran '26 [1-3, 7-9]
James Owen '25 [4-6]
Isabela Hillmann '27 [1-3, 7-9]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 27 Langdon Wallace '27
Caleb Scheaffer '27
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 3 2 3 4 4 4 5 4 2 31 Rose Von Eckartsberg '25
Ernest Glukhov '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 44 Johnny Leadingham '26
Cora Lecates '26
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 56 Ralph Molinari '24
Amelia Mignone '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 61 Laura Jayne '25 [1-9]
Sarah Csobaji '26 [1-3]
Thalia Benton-Dinneen '27 [4-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams111333555
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates222444666
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners777222444
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers333555777
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights444666111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves555777222
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange666111333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams222444666
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates333555777
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners111333555
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers444666111
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights555777222
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves666111333
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange777222444

Conditions — 03/30/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1007.8 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1007.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 18% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →