2025 Carolina Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 10 10 20
2 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 16 11 27
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 16 21 37
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 20 37 57
5 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 36 26 62
6 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 35 33 68
7 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 43 36 79
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 42 45 87
9 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 52 51 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 3 2 1 2 1 10 Marc Hauenstein '27
Joseph Morgan '27
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 3 1 3 4 3 2 16 John Cole Mcgee '26
Kathleen Hale '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 5 1 2 1 3 16 Matthew Laufer '27
Taylor Bulwinkle '28
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 2 4 3 4 5 20 Andrew Ettlemyer '27
London Toperzer '28
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 5 6 7 7 6 4 35 Emma Gumny '28
Caden Kavanaugh '26
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 6 4 8 5 7 6 36 Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski '27
Patrick Grimes '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 7 7 6 6 9 7 42 Ben Kearney '26
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 8 5 8 5 8 43 Cade Boguslaw '27
Luca Van Der Schoot '26
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 8 9 9 9 8 9 52 Charles Palmer '26
Ruth Palmer '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 1 2 3 2 1 10 Lyla Solway '28 [1-6]
Julia Boutet '27 [1-3]
Madeline Nusbaum '25 [4-6]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 2 2 1 1 3 2 11 May Proctor '27
Sarina Schmoyer '27
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 3 3 5 1 3 21 Charlie Bergendahl '28
Sammy Pratt '28
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 5 4 4 2 6 5 26 Jim Wang '27
No Show
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Rams 3 8 7 4 7 4 33 No Show
Megan Miller '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 5 5 9 5 8 36 Carley Yount '25
Emma Frank '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 6 8 6 4 6 37 Tyler Williams '26
Kate Morley '28
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 8 7 6 8 9 7 45 Christopher Tierney '27
No Show
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 9 9 9 7 8 9 51 No Show
Elizabeth G Davis '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111333
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats222444
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams555777
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels444666
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack333555
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks888111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks777999
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub666888
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons999222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222444
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats333555
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Rams666888
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels555777
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444666
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks999222
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks888111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub777999
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111333

Conditions — 03/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 15.0 kn
Gusts to 27.4 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1014.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Davidson/Wake Forest: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.33 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Davidson/Wake Forest by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Davidson/Wake Forest, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →