2026 Carolina State Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 7 7 14
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 12 5 17
3 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 13 19
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 11 19
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 12 15 27
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 21 13 34
7 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 18 20 38
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 2 1 3 6 Jack Wigmore '27
Lulu Louchheim '26
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 1 2 4 7
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 4 1 8 Adam Nilsson '29
Eleanor Crandall '29
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 3 5 12 Tyler Williams '26
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 5 2 12 Caswell Kern '26
Luca Van Der Schoot '26
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 6 6 6 18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 7 7 7 21 Elliot Neve '28
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 2 2 5 Sarah Plants '29
Theresa Ziehl '29
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 3 1 3 7
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 3 6 11 Coleman Campbell '27
Sarina Schmoyer '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 4 4 5 13 Brittany Engel '29
Elizabeth Davis '29
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub 7 5 1 13 Olivia Anderson '29
No Show
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 6 4 15 Ben Kearney '26
Alexis Shaw '28
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 6 7 7 20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2026 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats111
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack333
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks666
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks444
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub555
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons777

Division B

Team1B2B3B
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats222
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks777
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks555
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington The Dub666
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons111

Conditions — 03/21/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1015.2 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 8.4 kn
From SW (219°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1015.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Davidson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.39 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Davidson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Davidson: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →