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Callagy Ross Alumni Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 10 10
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 12 12
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 15 15
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 15 15
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Kitties 15 15
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 18 18
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 29 29
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 31 31
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 37 37
10 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 38 38
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 2 2 5 1 10 Nick Salvesen '22
Mira Broussard '29
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 4 1 2 5 12 James Vagell '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 1 6 4 4 15 Henry Weese '24
Ryan Petrush '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 3 4 1 7 15 Calvin Lamosse '25
Ryan Thompson '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Kitties 6 3 3 3 15 Connell Philips '23
Maddy Saffer '24
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 5 5 6 2 18 Steve Widdis '09
Emma Jansen '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 8 8 7 6 29 Alex Boni '25
Grace Terrell '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 7 7 8 9 31 Ryan Hamilton '23
Helene Field '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 10 10 9 8 37 William Denker '27
Brooke Wilke '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 9 9 10 10 38 Will Kelleher '24
Brendan Drummond '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 11111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 22222
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 33333
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 44444
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 55555
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 66666
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 77777
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 88888
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 99999

Conditions — 05/02/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.10 in Snow0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.83 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →