Duke Spring Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 14 22 36
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 29 17 46
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 15 34 49
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 34 26 60
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 38 30 68
6 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 52 20 72
7 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 46 MRP 42 MRP 88 MRP
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 37 54 91
9 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 49 52 101
10 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 57 MRP 73 MRP 130 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 1 2 1 1 4 5 14 Dawson Kohl '27
Grace Vangessel '29
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 3 1 4 5 1 1 15 Brady Mayer '29
Eloise Weiss '28
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers DSQ 7 2 3 2 4 29 Luke Adams '28
Taylor Bulwinkle '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 3 7 8 8 2 34 Liam Holder '28
Sarina Schmoyer '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 5 5 9 7 6 37 Caswell Kern '26
Olivia Anderson '29
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 8 6 6 7 3 8 38 Jack Wigmore '27
Brittany Engel '29
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 4 3 2 6 7 46 MRP Henry Elmore '29
Theresa Ziehl '29
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 9 8 10 10 9 3 49 Megan Miller '26 [1-3]
Runyon Tyler '26 [4-6]
Heidi Dittus '27 [1-3]
Megan Miller '26 [4-6]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 7 10 9 6 10 10 52 Gabriella Roelli '30
Aaron Lukowski '28
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 2 9 8 4 5 9 57 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 2 2 5 2 4 17 Kaden Kirby '29
Madeleine Harris '29
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 4 4 1 6 3 2 20 Noah Scholtz '29
Colin Yarbrough '29
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 5 3 5 2 6 1 22 Priscilla Foster '27 [1-6]
Lily Frakes '28 [1-3]
Brayden Valliere '29 [4-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 8 3 4 5 5 26 Coleman Campbell '27
Kaleb Pearson '29
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 5 6 3 4 6 30 Zohar Almani '28
Emily Sidlow '29
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 3 1 7 9 7 7 34 Luke Russell '26
Tessa Sperry '29
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 6 4 1 1 3 42 MRP No Show
No Show
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 8 10 9 8 8 9 52 Lilly Copplestone '29
Gwen Tripp '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 7 8 10 10 10 54 Ben Kearney '26
Olivia Anderson '29
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 10 9 10 7 9 8 73 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111333
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils222444
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs666888
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels777999
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444666
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish555777
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks999111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers101010222
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks888101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222444
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333555
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs777999
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888101010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555777
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish666888
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks101010222
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers111333
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks999111

Conditions — 02/22/2026 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1011.2 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From NNW (340°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine1.0 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1011.2 hPa Rain0.32 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Duke: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Duke by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Duke, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →