Guyot Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 11 26
2 American University American University Eagles 16 24 40
3 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 19 23 42
4 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 30 13 43
5 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 25 36 61
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 31 35 66
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 35 36 71
8 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 45 38 83
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 1 4 3 3 1 15 Dylan Winslow '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandros Chalvatzakis '28 [3-4]
Kristine Roegner '28 [1-2]
Leonardo Bene '28 [3-4]
Jayden Cao '29 [5-6]
American University American University Eagles 1 8 1 2 1 3 16 Miles White '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Lorson '27 [3-4]
Scarlett Ray '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Edie Pressel '26 [3-4]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 6 2 2 1 6 2 19 Walker April '26 [1-6]
Jaclyn Regan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Graydon Crabtree '28 [3-4]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 4 3 5 4 2 7 25 Julia Gordon '27
Ava Mcnabb '28
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 4 3 6 7 8 30 Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-6]
John Murray Iii '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Otto Slade '27 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 6 6 5 5 4 31 Benjamin Koly '26
Anna Kucharik '28
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 5 7 7 4 5 35 Charlotte Devries '28
Andrew Martin '27
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 8 7 8 8 8 6 45 Julia Marich '28
Hannah Reid '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 1 1 2 2 4 11 Cole Crosby '26 [1-6]
Tacy Guest '26 [1-2]
Rana Tuttle '29 [3-4]
Nathan Bender '29 [5-6]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 5 3 1 1 1 13 Nathan Mascia '26 [1-6]
Sawyer Wright '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Donato '29 [3-4]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 3 2 7 5 4 2 23 Conner Sciullo '26 [1-6]
Owen Cabot '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Olive Papke '28 [3-4]
American University American University Eagles 5 3 6 4 3 3 24 James Cottage '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Curtis '26 [3-4]
Keira Cowher '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Chloe Sword '29 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 7 7 4 6 6 5 35 Jake Alexander '29
Jonluke O'Cain '27
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 4 8 5 3 8 8 36 Ryder Popenoe '29 [1-3, 5-6]
Reese Schultz '29 [4]
Maeve Murray '28 [1-3, 5]
Jonah Fish '28 [4]
Maddie Bitting '29 [6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 6 4 8 7 5 6 36 Cooper Bennett '27 [1-6]
Rashadul Quazi '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Vrishank Naithani '26 [3-4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 8 6 2 8 7 7 38 John Bailey '28
Carolynn Wildrick '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11331212
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens771133
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds22111166
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks33121277
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions11116688
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers12127711
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights668822
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats88221111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles22111166
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens88221111
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds33121277
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks11116688
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions12127711
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers668822
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights771133
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats11331212
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Miles White '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Lorson '27 [3-4]
Scarlett Ray '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Edie Pressel '26 [3-4]
Eagles James Cottage '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Curtis '26 [3-4]
Keira Cowher '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Chloe Sword '29 [3-4]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Walker April '26 [1-6] Jaclyn Regan '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Graydon Crabtree '28 [3-4]
Greyhounds Conner Sciullo '26 [1-6] Owen Cabot '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Olive Papke '28 [3-4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Julia Marich '28 Hannah Reid '29
Hawks John Bailey '28 Carolynn Wildrick '28
Penn State University Penn State University Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-6] John Murray Iii '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Otto Slade '27 [3-4]
Nittany Lions Nathan Mascia '26 [1-6] Sawyer Wright '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Donato '29 [3-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Dylan Winslow '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandros Chalvatzakis '28 [3-4]
Kristine Roegner '28 [1-2]
Leonardo Bene '28 [3-4]
Jayden Cao '29 [5-6]
Tigers Cole Crosby '26 [1-6] Tacy Guest '26 [1-2]
Rana Tuttle '29 [3-4]
Nathan Bender '29 [5-6]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Charlotte Devries '28 Andrew Martin '27
Scarlet Knights Cooper Bennett '27 [1-6] Rashadul Quazi '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Vrishank Naithani '26 [3-4]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Benjamin Koly '26 Anna Kucharik '28
Blue Hens Jake Alexander '29 Jonluke O'Cain '27
Villanova University Villanova University Julia Gordon '27 Ava Mcnabb '28
Wildcats Ryder Popenoe '29 [1-3, 5-6]
Reese Schultz '29 [4]
Maeve Murray '28 [1-3, 5]
Jonah Fish '28 [4]
Maddie Bitting '29 [6]

Conditions — 03/21/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1012.6 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From NNW (341°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1012.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Princeton: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Princeton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Princeton, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →