Babson College '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.73 (fleet 2.34) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.03 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–9 (44%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 7–9 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 7–9 against 4.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.6). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Alymers Team race | skipper | 1.89 | 3.86 | 6–3 | 3.1 | +1.97 | 4.1 | 2% |
| 2026-03-07 | Salve TR Invite | skipper | 1.71 | 1.31 | 1–6 | 1.2 | −0.41 | 0.1 | 83% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Reece's Cup | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Peak Foliage | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.0 | 2.70 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | A | 9 | 14.2 | 1.91 |
| The George Warren Smith '22 Trophy 2026 | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.2 | 2.32 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Salve Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.2 | 0.74 |
| Saturday Salve Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.5 | 1.96 |
| Salve TR Invite | Skipper | TR | — | — | — |
| New England Dinghy Tournament | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.2 | 1.08 |
| Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.8 | 3.33 |
| Central 4 FR | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.0 | 3.75 |
| Alymers Team race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
