Northeastern University '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 (fleet 2.64) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.04 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 8–12 (40%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 8–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 8–12 against 6.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Staake Trophy | skipper | 2.19 | 2.92 | 7–6 | 5.4 | +0.73 | 0.9 | 22% |
| 2026-03-14 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 2.34 | 2.62 | 1–6 | 0.8 | +0.27 | 0.0 | 58% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Whalen Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.6 | 2.51 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 11.5 | 1.89 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 13.7 | 2.12 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.9 | 0.51 |
| The 35th Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.4 | 2.72 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.1 | 3.00 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.4 | 2.50 |
| Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 13 | 54% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.0 | 2.19 |
| Open Eastern National Semis | Skipper | B | 1 | 16.0 | — |
| NEISA Open FR Champs - Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 4 | 12.5 | 2.76 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Ester Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.2 | 2.98 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.9 | 3.35 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 5 | 4.6 | 3.89 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.6 | 3.34 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.0 | 3.71 |
| Charles Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.3 | 0.77 |
| 84th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.1 | 3.25 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.6 | 2.59 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Jeremy Bullock |  Barnstable HS |
'24 |
| ISSA | Jeremy Bullock |  Tabor Academy |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
