SUNY Maritime College '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.18 (fleet -0.24) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 7–5 (58%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | — | 4–2 |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | — | 3–3 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 7–5 against 4.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.3). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Tom Noble Team Race | crew | 1.03 | 1.84 | 4–2 | 3.2 | +0.81 | 0.5 | 36% |
| 2022-03-19 | Kings Point Team Race Invite | crew | 1.54 | 2.84 | 3–3 | 1.5 | +1.30 | 1.4 | 16% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Noble Team Race | Crew | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Jesuit Invite | Skipper | B | 12 | 15.8 | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| 2022 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 8.4 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Owen, Mosbacher and Knapp Trophies | Crew | B | 7 | 6.6 | — |
| Kings Point Team Race Invite | Crew | TR | 15 | 27% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
