Kaelyn Holmes

Crew Rating

Career: 79.41 percentile of ICSA crews
2.753.003.253.503.754.004.25J. Beaulieu (6 races): +0.12J. BeaulieuL. Frost (4 races): +0.05L. FrostFall 2025: rating 3.03Fall 2025Northeastern UniversityG. Ahitow (17 races): +0.67G. AhitowJ. Beaulieu (9 races): +0.22J. BeaulieuL. Frost (29 races): -0.07Spring 2026: rating 3.55Spring 2026Northeastern UniversityL. Frost (4 races): -0.40L. FrostI. Cho (14 races): +0.27I. ChoG. Ahitow (14 races): +0.15Fall 2026: rating 3.20Fall 2026Northeastern University
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Fall 2026 Northeastern University 3.20 Rating 3.20; 90% range 0.3 to 6.1; team skipper average 2.20 86.37 90.00 2 of 15 32 Team page
Spring 2026 Northeastern University 3.55 Rating 3.55; 90% range 0.7 to 6.4; team skipper average 2.28 90.78 94.44 1 of 9 55 Team page
Fall 2025 Northeastern University 3.03 Rating 3.03; 90% range 0.1 to 5.9; team skipper average 2.05 83.24 83.33 3 of 15 10 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.41 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 5–20 (20%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20263—5–20

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (25 matches) the record is 5–20 against 6.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-03-28Callahan Trophycrew1.901.503–63.8−0.400.281%
2026-03-21Duplin Women's Team Racecrew1.890.881–81.9−1.010.693%
2026-03-14Women's SNE Team Racecrew1.791.881–60.9+0.080.069%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's Crew B 5 11.0 +0.05
Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's Crew A 4 10.5 -0.03
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1 B Women's Crew B 5 13.4 -0.14
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's Crew A 10 12.1 +0.30
Stu Nelson @ Connecticut College 2026 Crew B 4 12.2 -0.40
Regis Trophy Women's Crew B 4 6.0 +0.23
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Women's Western National Semis Women's Crew B 8 12.0 -0.30
Women's SNE Team Race Women's Crew TR 7 14% —
Southern 7 Crew B 9 4.7 +0.22
Oberg Trophy Crew B 14 9.4 +0.47
NEISA Women's Fleet Race Championship -Reed Trophy Women's Crew B 10 10.1 +0.20
Emily Wick Women's Crew B 14 7.0 +0.23
Duplin Women's Team Race Women's Crew TR 9 11% —
Callahan Trophy Women's Crew TR 9 33% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's Crew B 4 10.8 +0.05
Chris Loder Trophy Crew B 6 3.2 +0.12

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →