Rice University '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 5–6 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | — | 4–5 |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | — | 1–1 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (9 matches) the record is 4–5 against 4.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | McCarthy Cup | crew | 0.60 | 0.31 | 2–4 | 2.4 | −0.29 | 0.1 | 77% |
| 2026-01-31 | Q1 Regatta | crew | 1.38 | 1.36 | 2–1 | 2.0 | −0.02 | 0.0 | 77% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Q1 Regatta | Crew | TR | 3 | 67% | — |
| McCarthy Cup | Crew | TR | 6 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Match Racing Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| Kathryn Hammond | Crew | B | 3 | 5.7 | — |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| McCarthy Cup | Crew | TR | 3 | 67% | — |
| Harris Kempner Memorial | Crew | A | 2 | 4.0 | -0.22 |
| CCYC Spring Opener | Crew | B | 2 | 4.5 | +0.00 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
