University of Wisconsin '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 (fleet 1.85) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.07 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–7 (30%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 3–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 3–7 against 0.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.3). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 1.43 | 3.31 | 3–7 | 0.7 | +1.88 | 3.6 | 3% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| 2025 Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta (PHRF A) Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 4.0 | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 7.6 | — |
| Great Lakes IOR - J105 Division Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 2.5 | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 3 | 3.7 | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta - PHRF B Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 6.8 | — |
| Big Ten Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 92% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Emma B. Regatta 2022 | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 18.3 | 0.35 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Big Ten Team Race | Skipper | TR | 6 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Morton Schapiro Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.6 | 1.02 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
