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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 15 18 33
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 26 14 40
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 27 26 53
4 New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 31 30 61
5 Blake School Blake School Varsity 35 31 66
6 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 18 54 72
7 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 35 39 74
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 45 31 76
9 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans 45 47 92
10 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 55 54 109
11 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 69 57 126
12 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 67 60 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 1 2 6 4 1 1 15 Josh Sullivan '16
Courtney Clark '17
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 7 1 1 2 3 4 18 Korbin Kierstad '15
Karson Mraz '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 8 2 1 6 5 26 Austin Haag '16
Sydney Wicklacz '15
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 4 7 3 5 2 27 Mike Johnson '17
Ben Kosvic '15
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 3 7 9 7 2 3 31 Eamonn Austin '15
Caroline O'Malley '17
Blake School Blake School Varsity 2 9 8 6 4 6 35 Annika Ekholm '16
Ellie Walker '16
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 5 3 3 9 7 8 35 Maggie Houtz '15
Jimenez '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans 8 6 5 10 9 7 45 Emma Aubuchon '19
Avery Beltrand '16
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 9 10 4 5 8 9 45 Sydney Maxwell '17
Kendyll Vandlik '20
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 10 5 12 8 10 10 55 Rachel Bartel '15
Lucas Haarstad '17
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 11 11 11 11 11 12 67 Tommy Jagielski '18
Maximillian Washburn '18
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 12 12 10 12 12 11 69 Megan Grosspietsch '16
Pauline Brown '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 3 3 2 1 1 14 Carl Eaton '17
Elizabeth Holiman '16
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 5 2 1 1 7 2 18 Toby Sullivan '19
Ethan Staruck '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 8 5 2 5 3 3 26 Graham Ness '19
Stratford Vandlik '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Varsity 2 7 4 7 RDG 5 30 Alex Fowkes '16
Charlie Clarke '15
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 3 4 8 10 2 4 31 Benjamin Callister '17
Daniel Callister '19
Blake School Blake School Varsity 6 1 6 3 8 7 31 Mary Amis '15 [1-4]
Margaux Henderson '25 [5-6]
Margaux Henderson '25 [1-2]
Cole Woerner '18 [3-6]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Varsity 1 8 5 8 9 8 39 Jack Wall '17 [1-4]
Will Hedberg '18 [5-6]
Gabrielle Benacka '16 [1-4]
Jack Wall '17 [5-6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans 7 11 11 4 4 10 47 Wiley Hunt '19
Ryan White '18
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 9 12 10 11 6 6 54 Daniel Punla Smith '18
Eddie Hanson '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Varsity 12 9 7 12 5 9 54 Ryan Bohara '18
Dominic Serino '19
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 11 6 12 6 11 11 57 Will Grosspietsch '18
Graves Anna '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 10 10 9 9 10 12 60 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Mason Pirner '20 [3-4]
Brian Anton '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Varsity191921212323
Blake SchoolBlake School Varsity202030302828
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity212123232525
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1222220203030
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2232325252727
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3242422222020
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity252527272929
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity262624242222
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons272729291919
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Varsity282826262424
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity292919192121
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Trojans303028282626

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Varsity202022222424
Blake SchoolBlake School Varsity191929292727
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Varsity222224242626
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1212119192929
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2242426262828
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3232321211919
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity262628283030
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Varsity252523232121
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons282830302020
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Varsity272725252323
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity303020202222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Trojans292927272525

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From S (181°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn* · S 15 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wayzata: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →