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PCISA #1 Sea Otter Regatta - Gold

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 46 25 71
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 78 69 147
3 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 99 48 147
4 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 101 51 152
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 60 93 153
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 53 102 155
7 Branson School Branson School Bulls 53 111 164
8 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 46 133 179
9 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 136 53 189
10 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 93 97 190
11 Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers 126 78 204
12 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 105 106 211
13 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 79 141 220
14 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 137 89 226
15 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 134 119 253
16 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 148 115 263
17 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 113 158 271
18 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity 195 82 277
19 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 157 128 285
20 The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 119 173 292
21 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 156 145 301
22 Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 156 170 326
23 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 199 137 336
24 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 154 185 339
25 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 176 172 348
26 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 134 214 348
27 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 187 196 383
28 Ventura High School Ventura High School Varsity 197 190 387
29 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 197 193 390
30 Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 176 219 395
31 The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 219 212 431
32 Athenian Athenian Encinal Yacht Club 198 236 434
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 4 13 1 1 12 6 3 6 46 Lucy Wilmot '16
Molly Colwell '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 12 2 5 4 5 3 8 7 46 Sean Segerblom '16 [1-8]
Marley Mais '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [5-6]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 5 3 12 11 1 1 18 2 53 Andy Reiter '15
Grace Haselton '16
Branson School Branson School Bulls 7 1 7 2 19 7 5 5 53 Romain Screve '17
Ben Hoffner '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 2 6 11 15 2 2 14 8 60 Michael Sabourin '16
Madeline Bubb '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 8 7 6 6 16 10 13 12 78 Will Johnson '15 [1-8]
Katie Mcallister '17 [1-6]
Kappy Fuller '15 [7-8]
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 18 4 2 9 4 5 16 21 79 Jacob Rosenberg '16
Madison Nadelman '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 11 5 10 28 20 14 2 3 93 Rhodes Garner '16
Sammy Pickell '18
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 14 10 14 14 10 12 15 10 99 Riley Gibbs '15
Alexis Hall '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 17 8 8 21 3 8 19 17 101 Cole Baker '16
Emma Batcher '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 1 DSQ 15 12 6 11 23 4 105 Will Martens '16
Sarah Bunney '15
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 13 12 4 19 7 13 12 DSQ 113 Johannes Mcelvain '15
Kenny Moats '17
The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 9 17 22 23 17 19 11 1 119 Lawson Willard '15 [1-8]
Olivia Edmondson '18 [1-4]
Eli Gordon '20 [5-6]
Sophie Weir '15 [7-8]
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers 20 21 3 32 11 22 6 11 126 Cole Harris '18
Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 6 22 23 3 9 18 25 28 134 Grace Yakutis '16
Tanner Chapko '17
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 32 9 25 13 8 9 22 16 134 Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-8]
Nick Aline '16 [1-4, 6-8]
Alexandra Fayer '15 [5]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 10 14 28 18 15 21 10 20 136 Evan Heffernan '16
Lauren Seigel '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 24 15 26 5 22 29 1 15 137 Charlie Miller '15
Elizabeth Matheson '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 27 18 9 10 30 4 26 24 148 John Horton '17
Carah Reddin '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 3 11 DSQ 7 18 26 29 27 154 Ted Bascom '15
Lucie Welles '16
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 22 26 21 30 24 17 7 9 156 Hannah Baylis '15 [1-8]
Delaney Moslander '17 [1-2]
Coco Dana '17 [3-6]
Paloma Palmer '15 [7-8]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 23 16 24 16 13 15 24 25 156 Sammy Shea '15
Chloe Bohannon '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 28 19 19 17 14 25 17 18 157 Kate Madigan '16 [1-8]
Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-6]
Nadia Fariania '16 [7-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 15 28 18 8 32 24 28 23 176 Cameron Wood '18 [1-4]
Robert Garrett '17 [5-8]
Jonathan Cheadle '16 [1-4]
Ashton Brown '18 [5-8]
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 26 29 13 27 25 16 27 13 176 Alyson Crowley '16
Jack Lamarre '17
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 31 20 31 26 23 23 4 29 187 Owen Schafer '17 [1-8]
Katie Roughneen '16 [1-4]
Casey King '16 [5-6]
Pj Eaton '17 [7-8]
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity 16 24 30 31 28 27 9 30 195 Luke Van Lant '16
Beth Golison '16
Ventura High School Ventura High School Varsity 21 23 20 20 31 30 30 22 197 Ian Baldwin '15
Olin Bruton '16
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 25 27 27 29 21 28 21 19 197 Hayden Potter '16
Francis Streitman '17
Athenian Athenian Encinal Yacht Club 19 31 16 25 29 20 32 26 198 Xavier Theo Quinn '16
Jackson Kaplan '17
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 30 25 29 22 27 32 20 14 199 Madison Cardullo '15 [1-8]
Sarah Politiski '17 [1-6]
Carlos Greenway '18 [7-8]
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 29 30 17 24 26 31 31 31 219 Daisy Holthus '17
Chloe Winkler '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 5 1 7 5 1 2 3 1 25 Campbell D'Eliscu '15
Grace Blackman '16
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 4 7 2 8 14 9 1 3 48 Sawyer Gibbs '16
Trent Turigliatto '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 2 8 4 11 5 4 2 15 51 Katharine Bowman '16
Jack Reiter '18
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 14 13 1 2 3 7 9 4 53 Lucas Pierce '17
Caden Scheiblauer '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 15 4 11 7 9 6 8 9 69 Joseph Hou '18
Grace Vandervort '17
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers 3 3 17 3 4 19 17 12 78 Samuel Merson '18
Athena Malcolm '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity 23 27 3 1 15 5 6 2 82 Cameron Feves '18 [1-8]
Jake Zieba '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Van Lant '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 24 10 6 20 8 10 5 6 89 Ryan Ratliffe '17
Kylie Freitas '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 1 19 12 12 6 8 18 17 93 Carter Scott '16
Eliza Moody '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 17 11 13 17 11 13 4 11 97 Derek Pickell '16
Kira Woods '15
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 13 2 22 9 2 3 DSQ 18 102 Paul Didham '16
Steven Leuck '16
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 7 12 16 13 13 11 10 24 106 Harry Schmidt '16
Liam Farese '18
Branson School Branson School Bulls 10 15 20 6 7 1 DSQ 19 111 Will Dana '15
Nicholas Marwell '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV2 11 5 9 29 20 12 13 16 115 Porter Killian '18 [1-6]
Jack Detmers '17 [7-8]
Ian Sellinger '18 [1-6]
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 1 16 14 18 10 19 15 19 8 119 Nicole Simon '16
Evan Arnold '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV1 8 28 5 18 18 17 21 13 128 Sean Dahl '17
Laurel Foster '18
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 12 17 10 14 24 18 DSQ 5 133 Kai Otsmaa '17
Sally Wilmot '18
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 19 9 14 4 22 14 DSQ 22 137 Caden Wheeler '17
Jacob Nquyen '17
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 20 18 8 23 16 22 14 20 141 Bobby Briggs '16
Paige Okey '17
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 18 26 15 32 17 23 7 7 145 Nolan Van Dine '15
Juliana Testa '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 9 6 19 19 28 28 24 25 158 Megan Cates '18
Mercedes Mcphee '15
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 21 21 23 21 26 26 11 21 170 Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-4]
Coco Dana '17 [5-6]
Will Paulsen '15 [7-8]
Delaney Moslander '17 [1-4]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School JV3 6 23 27 16 30 32 15 23 172 Victoria Thompson '17 [1-8]
Nikki Daoust '17 [1-6]
Ian Wolcott '16 [7-8]
The Urban School The Urban School Varsity 26 16 21 15 12 24 DSQ 26 173 Cayley Crist '17 [1-8]
Eli Gordon '20 [1-2]
Clarence Rosenstein '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Edmondson '18 [5-6]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 25 24 28 24 25 29 20 10 185 Noble Reynoso '17 [1-8]
Chloe Belgum '16 [1-4]
Rachel Maier '15 [5-8]
Ventura High School Ventura High School Varsity 27 29 24 26 10 21 22 31 190 Braedon Baum '17
Arden Tanner '17
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 28 20 32 30 21 16 16 30 193 Tye Varnes '17
Kenna Kuhn '16
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 2 29 30 31 27 23 30 12 14 196 Stewart Powell '17 [1-8]
Rocky Rhys '16 [1-6]
Casey King '16 [7-8]
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Knights 31 25 26 25 DNF 20 25 27 212 Amanda Majernik '18
Julia Ankeny '15
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 32 22 30 22 27 27 26 28 214 Robbie Culkin '15 [1-6, 8]
Nick Aline '16 [7]
Margaret Adams '16 [1-6, 8]
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 22 31 29 31 29 25 23 29 219 Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-4]
John Rusbarsky '15 [5-8]
Emily Ritter '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Parker Kulavic '18 [5-6]
Athenian Athenian Encinal Yacht Club 30 32 25 28 31 31 27 32 236 Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15
Jonah Kirmse '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 111335577
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 222323230302828
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs33557799
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV15577991111
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV26644223232
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV3779911111313
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity442232323030
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 188664422
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 299111113131515
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CAFrancis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers1010886644
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity1111131315151717
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins121210108866
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats1313151517171919
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs14141212101088
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors1515171719192121
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 11616141412121010
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 21717191921212323
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 31818161614141212
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 11919212123232525
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 22020181816161414
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 32121232325252727
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 12222202018181616
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 22323252527272929
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning2424222220201818
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons2525272729293131
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks6464242422222020
AthenianAthenian Encinal Yacht Club27272929313111
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers2828646424242222
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights292931311133
Branson SchoolBranson School Bulls3030282864642424
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Varsity3131113355
Ventura High SchoolVentura High School Varsity3232303028286464

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 122446688
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 211313129292727
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs4466881010
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV1668810101212
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV25533113131
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School JV388101012121414
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity331131312929
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 177553311
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders 21010121214141616
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CAFrancis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers99775533
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity1212141416161818
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins1111997755
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats1414161618182020
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs131311119977
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors1616181820202222
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 115151313111199
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 21818202022222424
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 31717151513131111
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 12020222224246464
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 21919171715151313
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 32222242464642828
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 12121191917171515
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 22424646428283030
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning2323212119191717
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons6464282830303232
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks2525232321211919
AthenianAthenian Encinal Yacht Club28283030323222
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers2727252523232121
The Bishop's SchoolThe Bishop's School Knights303032322244
Branson SchoolBranson School Bulls2929272725252323
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Varsity3232224466
Ventura High SchoolVentura High School Varsity3131292927272525
School / Team SkipperCrew
Athenian Athenian Xavier Theo Quinn '16 Jackson Kaplan '17
Encinal Yacht Club Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15 Jonah Kirmse '17
Branson School Branson School Romain Screve '17 Ben Hoffner '16
Bulls Will Dana '15 Nicholas Marwell '17
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Charlie Miller '15 Elizabeth Matheson '16
Dons 1 Ryan Ratliffe '17 Kylie Freitas '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Jesse Mcknight '16 [1-8] Nick Aline '16 [1-4, 6-8]
Alexandra Fayer '15 [5]
Dons 2 Robbie Culkin '15 [1-6, 8]
Nick Aline '16 [7]		 Margaret Adams '16 [1-6, 8]
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Hannah Baylis '15 [1-8] Delaney Moslander '17 [1-2]
Coco Dana '17 [3-6]
Paloma Palmer '15 [7-8]
Cubs Gwynie Dunlevy '16 [1-4]
Coco Dana '17 [5-6]
Will Paulsen '15 [7-8]		 Delaney Moslander '17 [1-4]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Kate Madigan '16 [1-8] Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-6]
Nadia Fariania '16 [7-8]
JV1 Sean Dahl '17 Laurel Foster '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School John Horton '17 Carah Reddin '18
JV2 Porter Killian '18 [1-6]
Jack Detmers '17 [7-8]		 Ian Sellinger '18 [1-6]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Cameron Wood '18 [1-4]
Robert Garrett '17 [5-8]		 Jonathan Cheadle '16 [1-4]
Ashton Brown '18 [5-8]
JV3 Victoria Thompson '17 [1-8] Nikki Daoust '17 [1-6]
Ian Wolcott '16 [7-8]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Rhodes Garner '16 Sammy Pickell '18
Sea Kings Varsity Derek Pickell '16 Kira Woods '15
Coronado High School Coronado High School Grace Yakutis '16 Tanner Chapko '17
Islanders 1 Nicole Simon '16 Evan Arnold '17
Coronado High School Coronado High School Owen Schafer '17 [1-8] Katie Roughneen '16 [1-4]
Casey King '16 [5-6]
Pj Eaton '17 [7-8]
Islanders 2 Stewart Powell '17 [1-8] Rocky Rhys '16 [1-6]
Casey King '16 [7-8]
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Cole Harris '18 Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Lancers Samuel Merson '18 Athena Malcolm '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Luke Van Lant '16 Beth Golison '16
Varsity Cameron Feves '18 [1-8] Jake Zieba '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kyle Van Lant '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Riley Gibbs '15 Alexis Hall '16
Bruins Sawyer Gibbs '16 Trent Turigliatto '18
Marin Academy Marin Academy Alyson Crowley '16 Jack Lamarre '17
Wildcats Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-4]
John Rusbarsky '15 [5-8]		 Emily Ritter '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Parker Kulavic '18 [5-6]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Madison Cardullo '15 [1-8] Sarah Politiski '17 [1-6]
Carlos Greenway '18 [7-8]
Monarchs Caden Wheeler '17 Jacob Nquyen '17
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Lucy Wilmot '16 Molly Colwell '16
Matadors Kai Otsmaa '17 Sally Wilmot '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sean Segerblom '16 [1-8] Marley Mais '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [5-6]
Sailors 1 Campbell D'Eliscu '15 Grace Blackman '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Michael Sabourin '16 Madeline Bubb '16
Sailors 2 Carter Scott '16 Eliza Moody '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Will Johnson '15 [1-8] Katie Mcallister '17 [1-6]
Kappy Fuller '15 [7-8]
Sailors 3 Joseph Hou '18 Grace Vandervort '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Andy Reiter '15 Grace Haselton '16
Pointers 1 Paul Didham '16 Steven Leuck '16
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Johannes Mcelvain '15 Kenny Moats '17
Pointers 2 Megan Cates '18 Mercedes Mcphee '15
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Cole Baker '16 Emma Batcher '18
Pointers 3 Katharine Bowman '16 Jack Reiter '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Will Martens '16 Sarah Bunney '15
Giants 1 Harry Schmidt '16 Liam Farese '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Ted Bascom '15 Lucie Welles '16
Giants 2 Noble Reynoso '17 [1-8] Chloe Belgum '16 [1-4]
Rachel Maier '15 [5-8]
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Jacob Rosenberg '16 Madison Nadelman '16
Lightning Bobby Briggs '16 Paige Okey '17
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Evan Heffernan '16 Lauren Seigel '16
Dons Lucas Pierce '17 Caden Scheiblauer '19
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Hayden Potter '16 Francis Streitman '17
Red Tailed Hawks Tye Varnes '17 Kenna Kuhn '16
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Sammy Shea '15 Chloe Bohannon '16
Breakers Nolan Van Dine '15 Juliana Testa '17
The Bishop's School The Bishop's School Daisy Holthus '17 Chloe Winkler '16
Knights Amanda Majernik '18 Julia Ankeny '15
The Urban School The Urban School Lawson Willard '15 [1-8] Olivia Edmondson '18 [1-4]
Eli Gordon '20 [5-6]
Sophie Weir '15 [7-8]
Varsity Cayley Crist '17 [1-8] Eli Gordon '20 [1-2]
Clarence Rosenstein '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Edmondson '18 [5-6]
Ventura High School Ventura High School Ian Baldwin '15 Olin Bruton '16
Varsity Braedon Baum '17 Arden Tanner '17

Conditions — 10/11/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From WNW (287°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Monterey Peninsula Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monterey Peninsula Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Monterey Peninsula Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →