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PCISA SoCal #3 GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 11 11
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 16 16
3 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 16 16
4 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 25 25
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 29 29
6 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 37 37
7 Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 47 47
8 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 51 51
9 Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 51 51
10 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 4 55 55
11 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 58 58
12 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 78 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 2 5 1 1 1 1 11 Jack Reiter '18
Steven Leuck '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 1 2 2 4 4 3 16 Marley Mais '17
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 3 1 4 3 3 2 16 Jack Joslin '18
Emma Batcher '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 4 3 3 2 7 6 25 Megan Cates '18
Nate Dimelfi '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 5 4 9 5 2 4 29 Reid Wiley '18
Skyler Jacobsen '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 7 7 6 7 5 5 37 Vince Todisev '15
Coronado High School Coronado High School Islanders 6 6 8 9 9 9 47 Sam Roughneen '18
Carolyn Kearns '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 8 10 7 8 8 10 51 Carter Lynn '16
Margaret Adams '16
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 9 8 11 6 6 11 51 Katherine Kronheim '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 4 11 11 5 10 11 7 55 Nick Aline '16
Noah Sullivan '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 3 10 9 10 11 10 8 58 Alexandra Fayer '15
Lexi Dale '17
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 Jack Garrett '15
Isabella Harrington '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 1111111
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 2333333
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 3444444
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 4101010101010
Coronado High SchoolCoronado High School Islanders131313131313
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 1888888
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 2999999
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings777777
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 1111111111111
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 2222222
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 3555555
Port of Los Angeles High SchoolPort of Los Angeles High School Varsity141414141414

Conditions — 01/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1015.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.1 kn
Gusts to 6.8 kn
From WNW (284°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1015.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cathedral Catholic/La Jolla: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.54 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cathedral Catholic/La Jolla by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Cathedral Catholic/La Jolla: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →