SoCal #1 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 15 15
2 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 30 30
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 30 30
4 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 35 35
5 Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity 43 43
6 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 45 45
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 47 47
8 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 50 50
9 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 61 61
10 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2 74 74
11 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 82 82
12 Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 84 84
13 Monarchs 2 Monarchs 2 Monarchs 2 90 90
14 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 94 94
15 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 105 105
16 Monarchs 1 Monarchs 1 Monarchs 1 107 107
17 Monarchs 3 Monarchs 3 Monarchs 3 109 109
18 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 110 110
19 Varsity Varsity Varsity 120 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 1 5 4 1 1 1 2 15 John Horton '17
Carah Reddin '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 7 6 2 5 4 2 4 30 Porter Killian '18
Ian Sellinger '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 9 2 1 7 2 3 6 30 Scott Mais '19
Marley Mais '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 3 3 5 6 7 4 7 35 Michael Sabourin '16
Eliza Moody '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity 11 7 7 2 3 5 8 43 Cameron Feves '18
Tom Morel '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 4 12 8 3 8 7 3 45 Madeline Bubb '16
Emily Overstreet '17
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 5 13 3 4 12 9 1 47 Victoria Thompson '17
Kaiya Bertrand '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 6 1 6 17 5 6 9 50 Caden Kraus '19
Maddie Kraus '16
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2 2 4 12 8 19 11 5 61 Robbie Culkin '15
Alexandra Fayer '15
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 2 14 8 11 12 10 8 11 74 Ryan Schack '17
Kyle Cater '16
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 13 9 DSQ 9 9 10 12 82 Cameron Wood '18
Christopher Sandoval '18
Cathedral Catholic High School Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1 8 10 15 15 14 12 10 84 Nick Aline '16
Robert Smith '15
Monarchs 2 Monarchs 2 Monarchs 2 12 17 9 10 6 17 19 90
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 15 11 10 14 18 13 13 94 Reid Wiley '18
Skyler Jacobsen '19
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 18 16 13 11 17 16 14 105 Alexis Hall '16
Trent Turigliatto '18
Monarchs 1 Monarchs 1 Monarchs 1 16 15 14 19 13 14 16 107
Monarchs 3 Monarchs 3 Monarchs 3 17 14 16 16 16 15 15 109
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 10 18 18 18 11 18 17 110 Finn Dobkin '15
Henry Fishbeck '16
Varsity Varsity Varsity 19 19 17 13 15 19 18 120
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 11111111
Cathedral Catholic High SchoolCathedral Catholic High School Dons 22222222
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 13333333
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 24444444
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 35555555
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 46666666
Long Beach Polytechnic HSLong Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity7777777
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins 19999999
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins 210101010101010
Monarchs 1Monarchs 1 Monarchs 111111111111111
Monarchs 2Monarchs 2 Monarchs 212121212121212
Monarchs 3Monarchs 3 Monarchs 313131313131313
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 114141414141414
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 215151515151515
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 316161616161616
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 417171717171717
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 518181818181818
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 620202020202020
VarsityVarsity Varsity19191919191919

Conditions — 09/13/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1006.9 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1006.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →