Turkey Leg Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Tenderloin 18 23 41
2 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 41 29 70
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wing 49 31 80
4 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red 52 41 93
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Drumstick 53 41 94
6 Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 57 40 97
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Turducken 55 45 100
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Gizzard 41 63 104
9 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity One 32 74 106
10 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GH 77 36 113
11 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 51 65 116
12 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 44 86 130
13 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wishbone 60 71 131
14 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Varsity 75 87 162
15 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GI/GH 86 78 164
16 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity Two 86 79 165
17 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Tofurky 93 89 182
18 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis A 97 96 193
19 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver 115 81 196
20 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Candied Yams 110 107 217
21 Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Eagle 94 124 218
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Tenderloin 1 2 2 2 6 5 18 Frank Reeg '15 [1-6]
Cameron Gable '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan James '18 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity One 4 1 8 1 8 10 32 Justin Lovell '17
Sam Ralston '16
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 2 12 3 5 10 9 41 Korbin Kierstad '15
Eddie Hanson '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Gizzard 3 5 4 15 1 13 41 Kaleb Norwood '15
Elijah Lacascio '15
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 14 7 1 3 13 6 44 Grant Glover '15
Ross Warr '15
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wing 5 13 7 11 5 8 49 Olivia Windemuller '15
Jonathan Prins '16
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 7 4 18 6 15 1 51 Alex Anderson '15
Amelia Burke '18
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red 11 10 17 10 2 2 52 Kristin Ruta '15
Luna Terauchi '15
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Drumstick 9 9 6 4 14 11 53 Rachel Rantanen '15
Ava Hatton '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Turducken 12 6 9 7 9 12 55 Thomas Frikker '15
Jacob Mackey '17
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 8 3 16 13 3 14 57 Mitchell Clark '16
Katherine Crewes '17
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wishbone 6 8 10 17 16 3 60 Reid Kwiatkowski '16 [1-6]
Sam Colvin '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Kucks '16 [3-4]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Varsity 17 11 5 19 7 16 75 Frank Frisinger '19
Grace Glessner '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GH 16 16 12 14 4 15 77 Noah Wolters '19
Kait Alvord '16
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity Two 10 17 19 16 17 7 86 Miranda Madden '15
Ava Cares '15
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GI/GH 19 20 20 12 11 4 86 Sophie Sagan '16
Loreto Martinez '16
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Tofurky 13 15 15 18 12 20 93 Connagh Rowley '18
Ethan Lee '19
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Eagle 15 14 21 8 18 18 94 Rock Macinnes '16 [1-6]
Elijah Heerema '19 [1]
Thomas Young '16 [2-6]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis A 18 18 14 9 21 17 97 Nick Julien '15
Mike Connolly '15
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Candied Yams 21 19 11 20 20 19 110 Amanda Williams '17
Syona Varty '16
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver 20 21 13 21 19 21 115 Neil Quinlan '17
Tyler Pardo '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Tenderloin 4 3 1 3 8 4 23 Grant Stille '16
Elijah Lacascio '15
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Varsity 5 7 2 9 5 1 29 Thomas Rorrer '18
Daniel Punla Smith '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wing 2 4 5 11 3 6 31 Brant Bolling '16
Caleb Boon '17
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GH 1 12 6 2 4 11 36 Noah Wolters '19
Thomas Jameson '16
Traverse City West Traverse City West Varsity 9 10 4 6 6 5 40 Sara Gustafson '17
Brooke Ostrowski '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Drumstick 6 2 13 1 7 12 41 Luca '15
Alivia Stille '18
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red 8 6 19 5 1 2 41 Ian Reimel '19
Grace Hsu '15
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Turducken 3 1 15 10 9 7 45 Jason Liu '15
Vishnu Venkatesan '16
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Gizzard 20 8 7 13 2 13 63 Sara Riegler '16 [1-4]
Elijah Lacascio '15 [5-6]
Eric Schock '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Bush '17 [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Varsity 10 5 11 4 18 17 65 Jackson Mckay '15
Brooke Corso '17
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Wishbone 14 9 16 8 16 8 71 Anne Allman '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Tommy Clover '17 [3-4]
Tommy Clover '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Anne Allman '16 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity One 7 21 14 12 10 10 74 Chase Enright '15
Sarah Reid '16
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Mixed Team GI/GH 11 15 12 7 17 16 78 Chris Twomley '17
Dale Gardner '16
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Varsity Two 15 13 10 17 15 9 79 Ben Lilly '18
Regan Pitts '18
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver 19 19 9 18 13 3 81 Michael Kalata '18
Toby Pfeiffer '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 13 16 3 16 19 19 86 Hattie Garratt '17 [1, 3-4]
Allison Glover '17 [2, 5-6]
Allison Glover '17 [1, 3-4]
Hattie Garratt '17 [2, 5-6]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Varsity 12 14 18 14 11 18 87 Cody Peterson '16 [1, 3, 6]
Elise Betten '18 [2]
Avery Hirdes '16 [4-5]
Elise Betten '18 [1]
Avery Hirdes '16 [2-3, 6]
Cody Peterson '16 [4-5]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Tofurky 16 11 8 20 14 20 89 Brian Liu '18
Bella Rosenberg '18
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis A 17 17 17 19 12 14 96 Mary Beth Myler '18
Thomas Jameson '16
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Candied Yams 18 18 20 15 21 15 107 Alexandra Soo '18
Sonali Reddy '18
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Eagle BYE 20 21 21 20 21 124 Sam Poortenga '15
Elijah Heerema '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranes4242
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Candied Yams41414343401401
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Tofurky42424444
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Turducken41414343
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity One42424444402402
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity Two4343401401403403
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School Varsity4444402402
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School Eagle401401403403
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red402402
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Silver403403
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Drumstick75177517
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Gizzard75187518
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Mixed Team GH75177517
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Mixed Team GI/GH75187518
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Wing75187518
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Wishbone75177517
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity4141

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranes41414343
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Candied Yams42424444402402
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Tofurky41414343401401
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Turducken42424444
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity One4343401401403403
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids Varsity Two4444402402
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School Varsity401401403403
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School Eagle402402
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile Red403403
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Drumstick75187518
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Gizzard75177517
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Mixed Team GI/GH75177517
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Tenderloin75187518
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Wing75177517
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Wishbone75187518
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Varsity4141
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Varsity4242
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Grant Glover '15 Ross Warr '15
Cranes Hattie Garratt '17 [1, 3-4]
Allison Glover '17 [2, 5-6]
Allison Glover '17 [1, 3-4]
Hattie Garratt '17 [2, 5-6]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Amanda Williams '17 Syona Varty '16
Candied Yams Alexandra Soo '18 Sonali Reddy '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Connagh Rowley '18 Ethan Lee '19
Tofurky Brian Liu '18 Bella Rosenberg '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Thomas Frikker '15 Jacob Mackey '17
Turducken Jason Liu '15 Vishnu Venkatesan '16
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Justin Lovell '17 Sam Ralston '16
Varsity One Chase Enright '15 Sarah Reid '16
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Miranda Madden '15 Ava Cares '15
Varsity Two Ben Lilly '18 Regan Pitts '18
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Frank Frisinger '19 Grace Glessner '18
Varsity Cody Peterson '16 [1, 3, 6]
Elise Betten '18 [2]
Avery Hirdes '16 [4-5]
Elise Betten '18 [1]
Avery Hirdes '16 [2-3, 6]
Cody Peterson '16 [4-5]
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Rock Macinnes '16 [1-6] Elijah Heerema '19 [1]
Thomas Young '16 [2-6]
Eagle Sam Poortenga '15 Elijah Heerema '19
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Kristin Ruta '15 Luna Terauchi '15
Grosse Ile Red Ian Reimel '19 Grace Hsu '15
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Neil Quinlan '17 Tyler Pardo '18
Grosse Ile Silver Michael Kalata '18 Toby Pfeiffer '18
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Korbin Kierstad '15 Eddie Hanson '19
Varsity Thomas Rorrer '18 Daniel Punla Smith '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Rachel Rantanen '15 Ava Hatton '18
Drumstick Luca '15 Alivia Stille '18
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Kaleb Norwood '15 Elijah Lacascio '15
Gizzard Sara Riegler '16 [1-4]
Elijah Lacascio '15 [5-6]
Eric Schock '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Bush '17 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Noah Wolters '19 Kait Alvord '16
Mixed Team GH Noah Wolters '19 Thomas Jameson '16
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Sophie Sagan '16 Loreto Martinez '16
Mixed Team GI/GH Chris Twomley '17 Dale Gardner '16
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Frank Reeg '15 [1-6] Cameron Gable '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan James '18 [3-4]
Tenderloin Grant Stille '16 Elijah Lacascio '15
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Olivia Windemuller '15 Jonathan Prins '16
Wing Brant Bolling '16 Caleb Boon '17
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Reid Kwiatkowski '16 [1-6] Sam Colvin '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Kucks '16 [3-4]
Wishbone Anne Allman '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Tommy Clover '17 [3-4]
Tommy Clover '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Anne Allman '16 [3-4]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Nick Julien '15 Mike Connolly '15
St Francis A Mary Beth Myler '18 Thomas Jameson '16
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Alex Anderson '15 Amelia Burke '18
Varsity Jackson Mckay '15 Brooke Corso '17
Traverse City West Traverse City West Mitchell Clark '16 Katherine Crewes '17
Varsity Sara Gustafson '17 Brooke Ostrowski '18

Conditions — 11/01/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1030.9 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From N (6°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1030.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Spring Lake Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Spring Lake Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Spring Lake Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →