Navigate

Art Johnson Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 39 43 82
2 Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 47 44 91
3 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 88 42 130
4 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 82 54 136
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 34 113 147
6 North Branch Senior High School North Branch Senior High School Vikings 89 77 166
7 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 128 61 189
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 72 141 213
9 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 59 160 219
10 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 110 130 240
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 140 101 241
12 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 130 112 242
13 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 163 83 246
14 Providence Academy Providence Academy Varsity 129 123 252
15 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 128 136 264
16 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 174 110 284
17 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 88 203 291
18 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 200 104 304
19 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 140 196 336
20 Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 1 173 167 340
21 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 159 204 363
22 Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 2 193 181 374
23 Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 201 179 380
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 3 1 2 8 2 5 1 1 10 1 34 Jackson Connell '17
Mckenna Miller '16
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 5 8 3 11 1 1 3 2 1 4 39 Josh Sullivan '16 [1-10]
Ethan Staruck '19 [1-6]
Karan Jain '19 [7-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 1 9 1 1 3 6 11 6 6 3 47 Samuel Bartel '18 [1-10]
Amanda Forsans '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Henry Jaffray '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 8 2 4 4 4 7 14 9 5 2 59 Charlie Hicks '16
Brianna Misk '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 12 6 6 2 5 14 6 5 3 13 72 Mike Johnson '17
Kendyll Vandlik '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 15 8 19 9 4 10 4 4 7 82 Alexander Bonsager '20
Annika Hsu '17
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 9 10 OCS 3 11 2 9 3 7 10 88 Jonathan Bailey '18
Jane Rogers '17
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 10 4 16 15 7 8 4 17 2 5 88 Tommy Rorrer '18
Eddie Hanson '19
North Branch Senior High School North Branch Senior High School Vikings 4 13 7 7 6 12 2 8 15 15 89 Conner Lee '17
Acadia Hegedus '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 15 5 10 12 16 9 8 11 12 12 110 Graham Ness '19 [1-9]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [10]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-9]
Graham Ness '19 [10]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 6 7 12 22 17 13 15 16 9 11 128 Brady Carlson '17
Daniel Saucke '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 11 12 13 10 13 11 16 7 21 14 128 No Show
No Show
Providence Academy Providence Academy Varsity 18 11 9 9 19 3 7 20 13 20 129 Will Hedberg '18 [1-10]
Amanda Ihle '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erik Sundberg '17 [3-4, 7-8]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears DNF DNS OCS 6 8 10 5 10 11 8 130 Kate Cox '16 [1-10]
Wyndham John '16 [1-4]
Dana Howe '16 [5-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 7 14 14 14 22 20 17 12 14 6 140 Peter Reckamp '16
Genevieve Lee '16
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 16 20 5 5 12 16 13 19 16 18 140 Brian Olson '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nathan Bogel '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Peter Zajec '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 13 3 11 16 18 15 22 22 20 19 159 Mikolaj (Cole) Spachowicz '18
Grover Warner '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 14 17 15 17 RAF 17 12 14 17 16 163 Zachary Miller '16 [1-10]
Chris Lecompte '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Hugh Rider '18 [5-6, 9-10]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 1 21 21 20 21 14 21 20 18 8 9 173 Miles Clark '17
Axel Nieto '16
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 17 19 17 18 15 19 21 13 18 17 174 Rowan Henke '17 [1-10]
Emma Rosengarten '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Lilly Allen '19 [3-6]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 2 19 22 19 23 10 22 19 15 22 22 193 Andrew Crowell '18 [1-10]
Logan Kephart '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Oscar Casas '17 [5-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 20 18 18 20 20 23 18 23 19 21 200 Sam Pascal '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-8]
Ryan Henderson '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Sam Pascal '18 [7-8]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 22 16 21 13 21 18 23 21 23 23 201 Benedict Sklaney '16
Elle Miller '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 3 4 2 5 13 5 5 1 1 3 42 Reed Weston '19
Karson Mraz '19
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Varsity 1 3 1 22 5 1 1 2 6 1 43 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Verela '19
Orono High School Orono High School Varsity 2 2 5 2 9 2 4 3 5 10 44 Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-10]
Seamus Hendrickson '20 [1-2]
Austin Charrier '17 [3-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 10 6 4 1 7 3 7 5 2 9 54 Genna Viggiano '18
Clara Brown '18
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 9 17 3 4 8 4 3 8 3 2 61 Connor Carlson '17 [1-10]
Sylvia Kush '18 [1-2]
Graves Anna '18 [3-10]
North Branch Senior High School North Branch Senior High School Vikings 5 9 11 9 14 10 6 4 4 5 77 Robbie Dresen '25
Charlie Wagner '16
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 6 12 9 8 11 8 8 6 9 6 83 Hayden Easom '17 [1-10]
Sophia Kanellitsas '17 [1-8]
Chris Lecompte '17 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 12 5 7 12 2 7 15 23 11 7 101 Owen Hall '16 [1-10]
Nick Amato '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-6, 9-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 4 14 8 6 16 12 9 11 10 14 104 Meg Traska '18 [1-6]
Jack Scherer '21 [7-10]
Jack Scherer '21 [1-2]
Bailey Lira '20 [3-8]
Meg Traska '18 [9-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 8 8 10 7 10 9 11 13 19 15 110 Austin Suvari '19
Nick Ingraffia '17
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 11 7 6 14 4 15 17 12 15 11 112 Olivia Staruck '16
Courtney Clark '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold OCS 16 15 3 12 11 10 7 7 8 113 Wiley Hunt '19
Anna Brew '17
Providence Academy Providence Academy Varsity 20 22 12 18 1 6 18 14 8 4 123 William Walcher '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Seamus Hendrickson '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Cameron Davidson '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Gabrielle Benacka '16 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 16 1 17 15 15 20 2 16 16 12 130 Garrett Moen '19
Daniel Callister '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 7 15 18 16 6 21 12 15 13 13 136 No Show
No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 17 11 13 17 3 16 19 10 17 18 141 Michael Dowson '19
Alexander Witcraft '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 14 10 22 13 18 13 14 18 18 20 160 Victor Butkova '19
David Mehr '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 1 21 20 19 10 17 19 16 17 12 16 167 Marcus "Pinson" Neal '17 [1-8]
Oscar Casas '17 [9-10]
Maxwell "Max" Nation '17 [1-4, 7-10]
Oscar Casas '17 [5-6]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 18 13 14 19 DNS DNS 23 9 14 21 179 Ben Ragus '20
Joshua Shepherd '15
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 2 19 19 16 11 20 14 21 21 21 19 181 Lauren Walker '18 [1-8]
Jacob Hare '17 [9-10]
Gabrielle Menard '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jacob Hare '17 [5-6]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 15 23 23 23 21 22 13 19 20 17 196 Maggie Raedeke '18
Davin Dunleap '16
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 22 18 20 21 19 18 20 20 22 23 203 Amelia Holland '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mackenzie Saucke '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Erin Schaubel '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Phelps '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mackenzie Saucke '17 [9-10]
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 13 21 21 20 22 17 22 22 DNF 22 204 Nicole Guiliani '20
Clare Leeper '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks1133557799
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon 1224466881010
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon 2335577991111
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets44668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 155779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 26688101012121414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 17799111113131515
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2881010121214141616
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs991111131315151717
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 110101212141416161818
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 211111313151517171919
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity12121414161618182020
North Branch Senior High SchoolNorth Branch Senior High School Vikings13131515171719192121
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons14141616181820202222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity15151717191921212323
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Spartans161618182020222211
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Varsity171719192121232322
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity1818202022221133
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity1919212123232244
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity20202222113355
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold21212323224466
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed222211335577
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears232322446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks224466881010
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon 1335577991111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon 244668810101212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets55779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 16688101012121414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 27799111113131515
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 1881010121214141616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2991111131315151717
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs10101212141416161818
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 111111313151517171919
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 212121414161618182020
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Varsity13131515171719192121
North Branch Senior High SchoolNorth Branch Senior High School Vikings14141616181820202222
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons15151717191921212323
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Varsity161618182020222211
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Spartans171719192121232322
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Varsity1818202022221133
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity1919212123232244
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity20202222113355
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity21212323224466
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold222211335577
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed232322446688
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jonathan Bailey '18 Jane Rogers '17
Warhawks Amelia Holland '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mackenzie Saucke '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Erin Schaubel '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Phelps '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mackenzie Saucke '17 [9-10]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Miles Clark '17 Axel Nieto '16
Maroon 1 Marcus "Pinson" Neal '17 [1-8]
Oscar Casas '17 [9-10]		 Maxwell "Max" Nation '17 [1-4, 7-10]
Oscar Casas '17 [5-6]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Andrew Crowell '18 [1-10] Logan Kephart '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Oscar Casas '17 [5-6]
Maroon 2 Lauren Walker '18 [1-8]
Jacob Hare '17 [9-10]		 Gabrielle Menard '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jacob Hare '17 [5-6]
Edina High School Edina High School Mikolaj (Cole) Spachowicz '18 Grover Warner '19
Hornets Nicole Guiliani '20 Clare Leeper '19
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Rowan Henke '17 [1-10] Emma Rosengarten '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Lilly Allen '19 [3-6]
Varsity 1 Austin Suvari '19 Nick Ingraffia '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Sam Pascal '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-8]		 Ryan Henderson '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Sam Pascal '18 [7-8]
Varsity 2 Meg Traska '18 [1-6]
Jack Scherer '21 [7-10]		 Jack Scherer '21 [1-2]
Bailey Lira '20 [3-8]
Meg Traska '18 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Zachary Miller '16 [1-10] Chris Lecompte '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Hugh Rider '18 [5-6, 9-10]
Ramblers 1 Hayden Easom '17 [1-10] Sophia Kanellitsas '17 [1-8]
Chris Lecompte '17 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Peter Reckamp '16 Genevieve Lee '16
Ramblers 2 Owen Hall '16 [1-10] Nick Amato '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Caroline Yardley '16 [3-6, 9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Alexander Bonsager '20 Annika Hsu '17
Zephyrs Genna Viggiano '18 Clara Brown '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mike Johnson '17 Kendyll Vandlik '20
Skippers 1 Michael Dowson '19 Alexander Witcraft '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Ness '19 [1-9]
Sydney Maxwell '17 [10]		 Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-9]
Graham Ness '19 [10]
Skippers 2 Garrett Moen '19 Daniel Callister '19
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Josh Sullivan '16 [1-10] Ethan Staruck '19 [1-6]
Karan Jain '19 [7-10]
Varsity Toby Sullivan '19 Jose Verela '19
North Branch Senior High School North Branch Senior High School Conner Lee '17 Acadia Hegedus '18
Vikings Robbie Dresen '25 Charlie Wagner '16
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Brady Carlson '17 Daniel Saucke '22
Raccoons Connor Carlson '17 [1-10] Sylvia Kush '18 [1-2]
Graves Anna '18 [3-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 [1-10] Amanda Forsans '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Henry Jaffray '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Solomon Dworsky '17 [1-10] Seamus Hendrickson '20 [1-2]
Austin Charrier '17 [3-10]
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Tommy Rorrer '18 Eddie Hanson '19
Spartans Reed Weston '19 Karson Mraz '19
Providence Academy Providence Academy Will Hedberg '18 [1-10] Amanda Ihle '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erik Sundberg '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity William Walcher '17 [1-4, 7-8]
Seamus Hendrickson '20 [5-6, 9-10]		 Cameron Davidson '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Gabrielle Benacka '16 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School No Show No Show
Varsity No Show No Show
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Brian Olson '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Nathan Bogel '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Peter Zajec '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Varsity Maggie Raedeke '18 Davin Dunleap '16
Washburn High School Washburn High School Benedict Sklaney '16 Elle Miller '20
Varsity Ben Ragus '20 Joshua Shepherd '15
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Jackson Connell '17 Mckenna Miller '16
Gold Wiley Hunt '19 Anna Brew '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Charlie Hicks '16 Brianna Misk '17
Mixed Victor Butkova '19 David Mehr '20
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Kate Cox '16 [1-10] Wyndham John '16 [1-4]
Dana Howe '16 [5-10]
Bears Olivia Staruck '16 Courtney Clark '17

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1031.3 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1031.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · S 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi/White Bear Lake: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi/White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Mahtomedi/White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →