Cornwell Memorial

HostSt. Francis Travers
Date10/17/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Spring Lake High School	Red	27	13	40
2	Traverse City West	Varsity	37	14	51
3	Detroit Country Day School	WBS Mixed	41	20	61
4	Spring Lake High School	Grey	30	38	68
5	St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis Gladiator	39	32	71
6	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	55	29	84
7	Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	46	40	86
8	St. Xavier	Varsity	50	47	97
9	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	45	60	105
10	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Mixed	54	52	106
11	Traverse City Central	Gold	27	80	107
12	Traverse City West	Middle School	41	71	112
13	Detroit Country Day School	DCDS California Girl	61	59	120

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Traverse City Central	Gold	6	4	5	8	2	2	27	Ajay Provost '19 Brooke Corso '17
Spring Lake High School	Red	OCS	5	1	2	1	4	27	Jonathan Prins '16 Jacob Weesies '16
Spring Lake High School	Grey	2	2	11	4	6	5	30	Anne Allman '16 Sam Colvin '16
Traverse City West	Varsity	1	DSQ	2	3	11	6	37	Brooke Ostrowski '18 Kyle Sitkins '16
St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis Gladiator	5	1	10	1	12	10	39	Maryfrances Myler '18 Jamie Mcclellan '17
Detroit Country Day School	WBS Mixed	3	10	8	7	5	8	41	Luuk Schmit '18 Shane Sanghvi '19
Traverse City West	Middle School	10	6	6	12	4	3	41	Ryan Geiser '14 Liam Clone '20
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	9	9	3	6	7	11	45	Allison Glover '17 Sydney Pierce '18
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	11	3	7	DNF	10	1	46	Rock Macinnes '16 Joe Devries '21
St. Xavier	Varsity	8	DSQ	9	9	3	7	50	Matt Meyer '16 Bryn Irvine '18
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Mixed	7	7	12	11	8	9	54	Connagh Rowley '18 Thomas Hall '20
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	12	8	4	5	DNF	12	55	Hattie Garratt '17 [1-6] Celine Chou '17 [1-2, 5-6] Lizzie Balsam '18 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS California Girl	4	11	13	10	9	DNF	61	Liz Obermaier '17 Sonali Reddy '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Spring Lake High School	Red	2	1	1	6	2	1	13	Brant Bolling '16 Caleb Boon '17
Traverse City West	Varsity	1	4	4	2	1	2	14	Sara Gustafson '17 Katherine Crewes '17
Detroit Country Day School	WBS Mixed	5	2	3	1	6	3	20	Jack Bull '19 Nicole Millerman '19
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 1	4	3	2	9	5	6	29	Hunter Shuert '17 [1-6] Lexi Dietz '17 [1-4] Lizzie Balsam '18 [5-6]
St. Francis High School Traverse City	St Francis Gladiator	3	6	8	4	3	8	32	Katherine Clulo '17 Sophia Elkhart '18
Spring Lake High School	Grey	10	7	5	5	4	7	38	Myles Rudholm '16 Michael Kucks '16
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Fast Eagles	6	OCS	6	3	7	4	40	Sam Poortenga '15 Owen Steger '21
St. Xavier	Varsity	8	9	7	7	11	5	47	Jay Weber '16 John Shenk '16
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS Mixed	7	5	11	10	9	10	52	Brian Liu '18 Thomas Jameson '16
Detroit Country Day School	DCDS California Girl	9	10	10	11	8	11	59	Amanda Williams '17 Alexandra Soo '18
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranes 2	13	11	9	8	10	9	60	Jimmy Chen '18 Addy Nini '17
Traverse City West	Middle School	11	8	12	12	DNS	DNS	71	Ian Beck '18 Henry Linenger '17
Traverse City Central	Gold	12	12	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	80	Caelan Wright '19 Liam Schuler '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 1	16	16	3	3	18	18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 2	2	2	17	17	6	6
Detroit Country Day School DCDS California Girl	3	3	18	18	7	7
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Mixed	17	17	6	6	8	8
Detroit Country Day School WBS Mixed	18	18	7	7	19	19
Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles	6	6	8	8	10	10
Spring Lake High School Grey	8	8	10	10	12	12
Spring Lake High School Red	7	7	19	19	20	20
St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator	19	19	20	20	21	21
St. Xavier Varsity	10	10	12	12	16	16
Traverse City Central Gold	20	20	21	21	2	2
Traverse City West Middle School	21	21	2	2	17	17
Traverse City West Varsity	12	12	16	16	3	3

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 1	2	2	17	17	6	6
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranes 2	3	3	18	18	7	7
Detroit Country Day School DCDS California Girl	17	17	6	6	8	8
Detroit Country Day School DCDS Mixed	18	18	7	7	19	19
Detroit Country Day School WBS Mixed	6	6	8	8	10	10
Grand Rapids Christian High School Fast Eagles	7	7	19	19	20	20
Spring Lake High School Grey	19	19	20	20	21	21
Spring Lake High School Red	8	8	10	10	12	12
St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator	10	10	12	12	16	16
St. Xavier Varsity	20	20	21	21	2	2
Traverse City Central Gold	12	12	16	16	3	3
Traverse City West Middle School	16	16	3	3	18	18
Traverse City West Varsity	21	21	2	2	17	17

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Cranbrook Kingswood	Hattie Garratt '17 [1-6]	Celine Chou '17 [1-2, 5-6] Lizzie Balsam '18 [3-4]
Cranes 1	Hunter Shuert '17 [1-6]	Lexi Dietz '17 [1-4] Lizzie Balsam '18 [5-6]
Cranbrook Kingswood	Allison Glover '17	Sydney Pierce '18
Cranes 2	Jimmy Chen '18	Addy Nini '17
Detroit Country Day School	Liz Obermaier '17	Sonali Reddy '18
DCDS California Girl	Amanda Williams '17	Alexandra Soo '18
Detroit Country Day School	Connagh Rowley '18	Thomas Hall '20
DCDS Mixed	Brian Liu '18	Thomas Jameson '16
Detroit Country Day School	Luuk Schmit '18	Shane Sanghvi '19
WBS Mixed	Jack Bull '19	Nicole Millerman '19
Grand Rapids Christian High School	Rock Macinnes '16	Joe Devries '21
Fast Eagles	Sam Poortenga '15	Owen Steger '21
Spring Lake High School	Anne Allman '16	Sam Colvin '16
Grey	Myles Rudholm '16	Michael Kucks '16
Spring Lake High School	Jonathan Prins '16	Jacob Weesies '16
Red	Brant Bolling '16	Caleb Boon '17
St. Francis High School Traverse City	Maryfrances Myler '18	Jamie Mcclellan '17
St Francis Gladiator	Katherine Clulo '17	Sophia Elkhart '18
St. Xavier	Matt Meyer '16	Bryn Irvine '18
Varsity	Jay Weber '16	John Shenk '16
Traverse City Central	Ajay Provost '19	Brooke Corso '17
Gold	Caelan Wright '19	Liam Schuler '18
Traverse City West	Ryan Geiser '14	Liam Clone '20
Middle School	Ian Beck '18	Henry Linenger '17
Traverse City West	Brooke Ostrowski '18	Kyle Sitkins '16
Varsity	Sara Gustafson '17	Katherine Crewes '17

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Cornwell Memorial

Division A

Division B

From the notes