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Great Oaks Qual Group A

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 17 17
2 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 20 20
3 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 30 30
4 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 32 32
5 Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 37 37
6 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 37 37
7 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 40 40
8 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 50 50
9 Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 55 55
10 Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 57 57
11 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 58 58
12 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 59 59
13 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 67 67
14 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 73 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 5 1 1 4 3 3 17 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 8 2 3 3 2 2 20 Colleen Baumann '17
Phoebe Lincoln '16
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 10 10 2 2 5 1 30 Aisling Sullivan '18
Nicholas Alfano '18
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 4 3 8 5 6 6 32 Kate Cox '16
Olivia Staruck '16
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity 2 4 11 6 9 5 37 Darius Mienville '17
Luke Ackerman '20
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 7 9 4 9 1 7 37 Delaney Hybl '18
Maya Stephani '16
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 1 13 13 1 8 4 40 Eric Hoyerman '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Topher Andersen '17 [3]
Anabel Roza '16 [1-2, 4-6]
Hadley Reetz '17 [3]
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 13 12 5 7 4 9 50 Alexander Bonsager '20
Morgan Termaat '18
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 11 6 6 12 10 10 55 Emily Gildea '17
Chris Neary '19
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon 9 5 9 14 12 8 57 Oscar Casas '17
Neri Min '16
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 3 7 12 11 13 12 58 Gordon Scully '17 [1-6]
Alastair Scully '18 [1-4]
Preston Anderson '18 [5-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 6 11 7 10 14 11 59 Genna Viggiano '18 [1-4]
Izzi Boo '16 [5-6]
Clara Brown '18 [1-4]
Annika Hsu '17 [5-6]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity DNF 8 10 13 7 14 67 Nikolas Chambers '19
Anthony Kolton '19
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 12 14 DNF 8 11 13 73 George Moore '20 [1-2, 6]
David Kunau '17 [3-5]
Kate Higgins '18 [1-2, 6]
Christian Kunau '17 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity112233
Brother Rice High School - ILBrother Rice High School - IL Varsity22111616
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1515161611
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Maroon334466
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets443322
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings668899
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles886644
Lake Forest AcademyLake Forest Academy Varsity9910101111
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity10109988
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs111112122424
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs121211111010
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity242414141515
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack141424241212
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears161615151414
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity Gordon Scully '17 [1-6] Alastair Scully '18 [1-4]
Preston Anderson '18 [5-6]
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity Emily Gildea '17 Chris Neary '19
Culver Academies Culver Academies Maroon Oscar Casas '17 Neri Min '16
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets George Moore '20 [1-2, 6]
David Kunau '17 [3-5]		 Kate Higgins '18 [1-2, 6]
Christian Kunau '17 [3-5]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings Eric Hoyerman '19 [1-2, 4-6]
Topher Andersen '17 [3]		 Anabel Roza '16 [1-2, 4-6]
Hadley Reetz '17 [3]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles Delaney Hybl '18 Maya Stephani '16
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy Varsity Darius Mienville '17 Luke Ackerman '20
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity Nikolas Chambers '19 Anthony Kolton '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs Genna Viggiano '18 [1-4]
Izzi Boo '16 [5-6]		 Clara Brown '18 [1-4]
Annika Hsu '17 [5-6]
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs Alexander Bonsager '20 Morgan Termaat '18
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack Aisling Sullivan '18 Nicholas Alfano '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons Colleen Baumann '17 Phoebe Lincoln '16
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears Kate Cox '16 Olivia Staruck '16

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1023.8 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1023.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Forest Sailing: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Forest Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Lake Forest Sailing, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →