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North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 30 53 83
2 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 42 54 96
3 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 53 64 117
4 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 75 117 192
5 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 110 82 192
6 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 100 93 193
7 SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA one 111 95 206
8 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 156 MRP 54 MRP 210 MRP
9 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 146 74 220
10 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 113 119 232
11 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 86 153 239
12 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw 146 112 258
13 Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 108 165 273
14 Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 155 171 326
15 Benedictine Military School Benedictine Military School Varsity 157 173 330
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 11 1 3 2 2 2 30 Austin Ando '17 [1-13]
James Renneker '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Claire Fontanella '19 [7-8]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 7 1 5 2 3 2 2 9 2 4 3 1 1 42 Walter Gnann '17 [1-13]
Sarah Suber '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [5-8, 13]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 8 6 3 3 4 4 5 8 4 1 1 3 3 53 Kelly Milliken '16
Mackie Conner '16
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 6 4 7 8 2 9 7 2 3 2 7 10 8 75 Telmo Basterra '17 [1-13]
Griffin Stevenson '17 [1-2]
Emmie Landford '16 [3-13]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 2 2 4 4 8 8 3 15 10 10 4 11 5 86 Benjamin Smith '22
Anika Pruim '18
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 5 7 11 10 6 5 4 4 13 13 8 7 7 100 Croix Farmer '17 [1-4]
Caroline Puckette '16 [5-13]
Bobby Baker '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 3 11 10 13 9 7 9 5 12 7 10 8 4 108 Levi Hencke '18
Lia Osborne '16
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 13 10 2 5 14 12 10 1 11 9 5 12 6 110 Sam Cabiness '16 [1-13]
Lee Muirhead '19 [1-8]
Belle Valiulis '18 [9-13]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA one 14 13 OCS 7 7 6 6 3 9 5 11 5 9 111 Sarah Deloach '17 [1-13]
Bridget Conelly '17 [1-6]
Caroline Keinath '17 [7-8]
Mccormick Emge '18 [9-13]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 9 9 6 9 12 3 12 10 8 6 9 9 11 113 Matthew Chenard '17 [1-13]
William Bowden '16 [1-6, 9-13]
Megan Guthrie '18 [7-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw 12 14 13 6 13 11 13 13 6 8 12 15 10 146 Griffin Desmarteau '16
Ella Grace Bodie '18
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers DNF DNS DNS DNS 10 10 11 7 5 14 6 6 13 146 Julianna Skoglund '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Walters '16 [5-13]
Scout Taylor '17 [1-4]
Julianna Skoglund '19 [5-13]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 4 8 9 11 11 14 14 14 14 15 14 13 14 155 G. Alex White '16 [1-6]
David Robertson '17 [7-13]
David Robertson '17 [1-6]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [7-13]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 10 5 12 12 5 13 8 12 RAF 11 DSQ 4 12 156 MRP Peter Buyck '18 [1-13]
Joey Chomyn '19 [1-2]
Connor Mccraw '18 [3-8]
William Chapman '18 [9-13]
Benedictine Military School Benedictine Military School Varsity 11 12 8 14 15 15 15 6 7 12 13 14 15 157 Russ Hightower '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Austin Williams '18 [3-4, 11-13]
Chris Pitts '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Matthew Gallovitch '18 [3-4, 13]
Austin Williams '18 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 2 5 2 2 8 9 1 1 2 2 7 10 2 53 Sydney Register '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Hunter Moore '16 [7-10, 13]
Austin Googer '17 [1-4, 9-13]
Caroline Main '18 [5-8]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 1 3 3 1 RDG 2 7 3 3 3 1 1 3 54 MRP Joey Chomyn '19 [1-13]
Robert Turner '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Toby Cramer '18 [7-8]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 4 2 8 3 3 1 3 2 7 10 2 8 1 54 Alex Mazzeo '18
Chris Hoogenboom '18
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 7 9 1 8 2 3 2 8 4 1 9 5 5 64 Garrett Mergenthaler '19
Jason Perryman '17
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 6 1 4 10 9 10 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 74 Ann Sheridan '18 [1-13]
Elizabeth Ouzts '17 [1-8]
Scout Taylor '17 [9-13]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 10 6 9 9 1 7 4 6 6 7 3 7 7 82 Addison Haly '17 [1-2, 13]
Chris Chaplin '16 [3-12]
Sophie Mccallum '16 [1-2]
Addison Haly '17 [3-12]
Chris Chaplin '16 [13]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 8 7 DSQ 6 4 4 8 4 10 8 8 2 8 93 Jordan Newland '18 [1-13]
Nathan Farmer '18 [1-2]
Britton Durst '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-6, 11-12]
Megan Fetterley '19 [13]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA one 3 10 5 7 13 8 6 14 1 4 5 6 13 95 Frances Hart '19 [1-13]
Mccormick Emge '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Caroline Keinath '17 [5-6]
Bridget Conelly '17 [9-13]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw 11 13 13 13 12 5 10 7 9 6 4 3 6 112 Noah Giltmier '18 [1-8]
Noah Benton '18 [9-13]
Georgia Mattar '19 [1-8]
Victoria Marinoff '18 [9-13]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 5 8 6 4 7 6 13 11 12 12 15 9 9 117 Griffin Stevenson '17 [1-6, 9-13]
Riley Power '18 [7]
Alex Graiser '18 [8]
Olivia Pruitt '17 [1-6, 9-13]
Alex Graiser '18 [7]
Riley Power '18 [8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 9 4 7 11 5 11 9 9 8 9 12 14 11 119 Jacob Thompson '18
Declan O'Dell '18
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 14 12 10 5 14 DSQ 14 12 11 11 13 11 10 153 Mairead Benson '22 [1-13]
Polk Baggett '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Evan Itzkowitz '18 [5-8, 11-13]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 13 14 11 12 10 14 12 13 14 13 10 15 14 165 Kelsey Ferguson '18 [1-12]
Lia Osborne '16 [13]
Emma Richardson '17 [1-12]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 15 15 14 14 15 12 11 10 15 15 11 12 12 171 Sam Finlay '17
Gareth Ferguson '19
Benedictine Military School Benedictine Military School Varsity 12 11 12 15 11 13 15 15 13 14 14 13 15 173 Will Gladden '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Connor Jacobsen '19 [3-4, 7-8, 13]
Jack Foster '18 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Connor Jacobsen '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors1122334455667
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers2233445566778
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3344556677889
Benedictine Military SchoolBenedictine Military School Varsity44556677889910
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity5566778899101011
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity667788991010111112
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA one1313141415151122334
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity991010111112121313141415
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity8899101011111212131314
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity77889910101111121213
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats1010111112121313141415151
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity11111212131314141515112
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity121213131414151511223
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw14141515112233445
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors151511223344556

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors1122334455667
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers2233445566778
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3344556677889
Benedictine Military SchoolBenedictine Military School Varsity44556677889910
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity5566778899101011
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity667788991010111112
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA one1313141415151122334
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity991010111112121313141415
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity8899101011111212131314
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity77889910101111121213
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats1010111112121313141415151
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity11111212131314141515112
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity121213131414151511223
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw14141515112233445
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors151511223344556
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Sam Cabiness '16 [1-13] Lee Muirhead '19 [1-8]
Belle Valiulis '18 [9-13]
Raptors Addison Haly '17 [1-2, 13]
Chris Chaplin '16 [3-12]		 Sophie Mccallum '16 [1-2]
Addison Haly '17 [3-12]
Chris Chaplin '16 [13]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Julianna Skoglund '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Walters '16 [5-13]		 Scout Taylor '17 [1-4]
Julianna Skoglund '19 [5-13]
Panthers Ann Sheridan '18 [1-13] Elizabeth Ouzts '17 [1-8]
Scout Taylor '17 [9-13]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Walter Gnann '17 [1-13] Sarah Suber '18 [1-4, 9-12]
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [5-8, 13]
Varsity Alex Mazzeo '18 Chris Hoogenboom '18
Benedictine Military School Benedictine Military School Russ Hightower '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Austin Williams '18 [3-4, 11-13]		 Chris Pitts '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Matthew Gallovitch '18 [3-4, 13]
Austin Williams '18 [7-10]
Varsity Will Gladden '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Connor Jacobsen '19 [3-4, 7-8, 13]		 Jack Foster '18 [1-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Connor Jacobsen '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 Anika Pruim '18
CFA Varsity Mairead Benson '22 [1-13] Polk Baggett '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Evan Itzkowitz '18 [5-8, 11-13]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Levi Hencke '18 Lia Osborne '16
Varsity Kelsey Ferguson '18 [1-12]
Lia Osborne '16 [13]		 Emma Richardson '17 [1-12]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts G. Alex White '16 [1-6]
David Robertson '17 [7-13]		 David Robertson '17 [1-6]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [7-13]
Varsity Sam Finlay '17 Gareth Ferguson '19
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Telmo Basterra '17 [1-13] Griffin Stevenson '17 [1-2]
Emmie Landford '16 [3-13]
Varsity Griffin Stevenson '17 [1-6, 9-13]
Riley Power '18 [7]
Alex Graiser '18 [8]		 Olivia Pruitt '17 [1-6, 9-13]
Alex Graiser '18 [7]
Riley Power '18 [8]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Croix Farmer '17 [1-4]
Caroline Puckette '16 [5-13]		 Bobby Baker '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Jordan Newland '18 [1-13] Nathan Farmer '18 [1-2]
Britton Durst '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-6, 11-12]
Megan Fetterley '19 [13]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Matthew Chenard '17 [1-13] William Bowden '16 [1-6, 9-13]
Megan Guthrie '18 [7-8]
Wildcats Jacob Thompson '18 Declan O'Dell '18
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Kelly Milliken '16 Mackie Conner '16
Varsity Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Jason Perryman '17
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Peter Buyck '18 [1-13] Joey Chomyn '19 [1-2]
Connor Mccraw '18 [3-8]
William Chapman '18 [9-13]
Varsity Joey Chomyn '19 [1-13] Robert Turner '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Toby Cramer '18 [7-8]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts Sarah Deloach '17 [1-13] Bridget Conelly '17 [1-6]
Caroline Keinath '17 [7-8]
Mccormick Emge '18 [9-13]
SOA one Frances Hart '19 [1-13] Mccormick Emge '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Caroline Keinath '17 [5-6]
Bridget Conelly '17 [9-13]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Griffin Desmarteau '16 Ella Grace Bodie '18
Waccamaw Noah Giltmier '18 [1-8]
Noah Benton '18 [9-13]		 Georgia Mattar '19 [1-8]
Victoria Marinoff '18 [9-13]
Wando High School Wando High School Austin Ando '17 [1-13] James Renneker '18 [1-6, 9-13]
Claire Fontanella '19 [7-8]
Wando Warriors Sydney Register '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Hunter Moore '16 [7-10, 13]		 Austin Googer '17 [1-4, 9-13]
Caroline Main '18 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1033.0 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1033.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · SE 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at James Island Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.19 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at James Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at James Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →