Clipper Challenge

HostSailMaine
Date09/10/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Falmouth High School, ME	Yachtsmen	26	17	43
2	Yarmouth High School	Clipper Ships	31	29	60
3	Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	33	32	65
4	Unregistered-NESSA	Boothbay	31	35	66
5	Unregistered-NESSA	Southern ME	34	40	74
6	Unregistered-NESSA	Islesboro	26	53	79
7	Yarmouth High School	Clippers	44	36	80
8	Unregistered-NESSA	Big Tree Boating	20	61	81
9	Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	43	42	85
10	Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	62	27	89
11	Marblehead High School	Magicians	56	52	108
12	Portland High School	Bulldogs	64	44	108

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Unregistered-NESSA	Big Tree Boating	7	4	3	1	3	2	20	Rylee Sienkiewicz '20 Mystery Skipper '17
Unregistered-NESSA	Islesboro	1	2	7	6	1	9	26	Emily Lau '19 [1-6] Sophie Lau '21 [1-4] Finn Gibson '19 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, ME	Yachtsmen	4	1	2	DSQ	5	1	26	Grace Mooridian '17 [1-6] Owen White '18 [1-2] Caleb Robinson '18 [3-6]
Unregistered-NESSA	Boothbay	2	6	6	10	2	5	31	Hamilton Barclay '23 Ella Beauregard '21
Yarmouth High School	Clipper Ships	5	3	4	5	8	6	31	Ashley Arruda '19 Matt Sanborn '19
Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	3	8	10	3	6	3	33	Issac Goldman '20 Jeff Goldman '18
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern ME	9	7	1	2	7	8	34	Ava Haag '17 Robert Davis '17
Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	6	5	5	7	DSQ	7	43	Cameron Ritchie '20 Lucia Pendolino '19
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	8	9	8	11	4	4	44	Ben Palmer '17 Harland Nadeau '18
Marblehead High School	Magicians	10	11	11	4	10	10	56	Teddy Hitchcock '19 [1-6] Arden Hyte '18 [1-2] Eleanor Mancusi-Ungaro '18 [3-6]
Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	12	10	12	8	9	11	62	Alec Bodenski '19 [1-6] Zachary Ball '19 [1-4] Zac Wellins '19 [5-6]
Portland High School	Bulldogs	11	12	9	9	11	12	64	John Holt '18 Eamon Browne '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Falmouth High School, ME	Yachtsmen	10	2	1	1	2	1	17	Peter Morrissette '18 [1-6] Johnny Wahlig '20 [1-2] Owen White '18 [3-6]
Cape Elizabeth High School	Capers	8	1	3	8	3	4	27	Patrick Miller '19 Hudson Christie '19
Yarmouth High School	Clipper Ships	1	4	8	3	4	9	29	Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19 Nastia Webber '18
Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	6	11	2	2	6	5	32	Nathan Hodgson-Walker '18 Emma Hawko '19
Unregistered-NESSA	Boothbay	2	8	5	9	5	6	35	Gabby Boord '19 Nate Ridegut '21
Yarmouth High School	Clippers	7	12	7	6	1	3	36	Parker Swanson '19 Emi Ruth '18
Unregistered-NESSA	Southern ME	4	3	10	7	8	8	40	Luke Weiser '19 Greata Morissette '17
Unregistered-NESSA	Northern VT	3	5	6	11	7	10	42	Mike Hayes '20 Ben Leonard '20
Portland High School	Bulldogs	5	9	9	4	10	7	44	Elizabeth Thompson '18 Nolan Connolly '19
Marblehead High School	Magicians	9	10	4	5	12	12	52	Will Hancock '20 [1-6] Anders Kearney '20 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Juros '20 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA	Islesboro	11	7	12	10	11	2	53	Annika Rogers '18 [1-6] Pia Gibson '21 [1-4] Janni Cohn '19 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA	Big Tree Boating	12	6	11	12	9	11	61	Ava Schlottman '20 Unknown Crew '16

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Cape Elizabeth High School Capers	1	1	3	3	5	5
Champlain VUHS Red Hawks	2	2	4	4	6	6
Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen	3	3	5	5	7	7
Marblehead High School Magicians	4	4	6	6	8	8
Portland High School Bulldogs	5	5	7	7	9	9
Unregistered-NESSA Big Tree Boating	10	10	12	12	2	2
Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay	6	6	8	8	10	10
Unregistered-NESSA Islesboro	7	7	9	9	11	11
Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT	8	8	10	10	12	12
Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME	9	9	11	11	1	1
Yarmouth High School Clipper Ships	12	12	2	2	4	4
Yarmouth High School Clippers	11	11	1	1	3	3

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Cape Elizabeth High School Capers	2	2	4	4	6	6
Champlain VUHS Red Hawks	3	3	5	5	7	7
Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen	4	4	6	6	8	8
Marblehead High School Magicians	5	5	7	7	9	9
Portland High School Bulldogs	6	6	8	8	10	10
Unregistered-NESSA Big Tree Boating	11	11	1	1	3	3
Unregistered-NESSA Boothbay	7	7	9	9	11	11
Unregistered-NESSA Islesboro	8	8	10	10	12	12
Unregistered-NESSA Northern VT	9	9	11	11	1	1
Unregistered-NESSA Southern ME	10	10	12	12	2	2
Yarmouth High School Clipper Ships	1	1	3	3	5	5
Yarmouth High School Clippers	12	12	2	2	4	4

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Cape Elizabeth High School	Alec Bodenski '19 [1-6]	Zachary Ball '19 [1-4] Zac Wellins '19 [5-6]
Capers	Patrick Miller '19	Hudson Christie '19
Champlain VUHS	Issac Goldman '20	Jeff Goldman '18
Red Hawks	Nathan Hodgson-Walker '18	Emma Hawko '19
Falmouth High School, ME	Grace Mooridian '17 [1-6]	Owen White '18 [1-2] Caleb Robinson '18 [3-6]
Yachtsmen	Peter Morrissette '18 [1-6]	Johnny Wahlig '20 [1-2] Owen White '18 [3-6]
Marblehead High School	Teddy Hitchcock '19 [1-6]	Arden Hyte '18 [1-2] Eleanor Mancusi-Ungaro '18 [3-6]
Magicians	Will Hancock '20 [1-6]	Anders Kearney '20 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Juros '20 [3-4]
Portland High School	John Holt '18	Eamon Browne '18
Bulldogs	Elizabeth Thompson '18	Nolan Connolly '19
Unregistered-NESSA	Rylee Sienkiewicz '20	Mystery Skipper '17
Big Tree Boating	Ava Schlottman '20	Unknown Crew '16
Unregistered-NESSA	Hamilton Barclay '23	Ella Beauregard '21
Boothbay	Gabby Boord '19	Nate Ridegut '21
Unregistered-NESSA	Emily Lau '19 [1-6]	Sophie Lau '21 [1-4] Finn Gibson '19 [5-6]
Islesboro	Annika Rogers '18 [1-6]	Pia Gibson '21 [1-4] Janni Cohn '19 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA	Cameron Ritchie '20	Lucia Pendolino '19
Northern VT	Mike Hayes '20	Ben Leonard '20
Unregistered-NESSA	Ava Haag '17	Robert Davis '17
Southern ME	Luke Weiser '19	Greata Morissette '17
Yarmouth High School	Ashley Arruda '19	Matt Sanborn '19
Clipper Ships	Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19	Nastia Webber '18
Yarmouth High School	Ben Palmer '17	Harland Nadeau '18
Clippers	Parker Swanson '19	Emi Ruth '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Clipper Challenge

Division A

Division B

From the notes