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Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 9 39 48
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 35 14 49
3 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 30 27 57
4 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 30 29 59
5 Orono High School Orono High School Navy 51 15 66
6 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 37 57 94
7 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 44 56 100
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 67 35 102
9 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 41 66 107
10 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 1 52 62 114
11 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 55 72 127
12 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 62 70 132
13 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 80 63 143
14 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 2 77 69 146
15 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 89 69 158
16 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 60 102 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 9 Jason Davis '17
Gints Pelecis '21
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 4 3 2 DSQ 2 2 30 Toby Sullivan '19
Jose Verela '19
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 7 10 3 6 1 3 30 Walker Mullin '19 [1-6]
Liam Long '17 [1-2]
Jacob Zagaros '19 [3-6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 5 4 6 9 4 7 35 Emma Aubuchon '19
Reid Vanatta '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 10 1 4 2 7 13 37 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Marshall Johnson '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 2 6 5 10 6 12 41 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '20
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 3 8 12 11 5 5 44 Katie Krauska '17
Cameron Davison '19
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 8 9 10 5 11 8 51 Erich Pinske '18
Helen Mcdonnell '17
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 1 9 DNF 9 3 8 6 52 George Moore '20 [1-6]
Gracie Drought '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexia Harrison '20 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 6 12 7 4 15 11 55 Genna Viggiano '18
Anika Liner '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 11 7 8 7 13 14 60 Adam Tronnes '20
Maggie Sanderson '22
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 13 13 14 8 10 4 62 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Mei Vickery '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 12 14 11 12 9 9 67 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Kacy Bryant '18
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 2 16 5 DNF 15 14 10 77 Kate Higgins '18
Samantha Thomas '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 14 11 15 13 12 15 80 Garrett Moen '19
Hannah Dillahunt '17
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 15 15 13 14 16 16 89 Annahalle Miller '18
Willem Robertson '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 2 2 2 3 4 14 Wiley Hunt '19
Divya Periakaruppan '19
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 2 3 1 7 1 1 15 Rachel Bartel '20
Chase Blum '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 5 4 6 5 4 3 27 Clara Brown '18
Karan Jain '19
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 4 1 8 3 7 6 29 Jack Wall '17
Amanda Ilhe '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 5 3 14 8 2 35 Michael Dowson '19
Rowan O'Connell '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 6 13 4 1 2 13 39 Thomas Jagielski '18
Henry Chadbourn '18
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Mixed 8 7 7 13 12 9 56 Lucas Haarstad '17
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 11 9 5 15 9 8 57 Archie Bolgar '19
Megan Schoenzeit '21
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 1 DNF 6 10 8 11 10 62 David Kunau '17 [1-6]
Christian Kunau '17 [1-4]
Alexia Harrison '20 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers DNF 8 14 12 5 7 63 Evan Komis '20 [1-4]
Khan Dickel '20 [5-6]
Khan Dickel '20 [1-4]
Evan Komis '20 [5-6]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 7 DNF 9 6 10 DSQ 66 Nicole Giuliani '20
James Jagielski '21
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 10 12 12 9 15 11 69 William (Will) Gitler '21 [1-4]
Calvin Lamosse '21 [5-6]
Anastasia Sikkila '18 [1-4]
Leif Saveraid '18 [5-6]
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 2 DNF 11 13 10 13 5 69 Ben Ragus '20
Marit Lebakken '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 DNF 10 11 4 14 14 70 Dominic Serino '19
Ethan Blum '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 9 DNF DNF 11 6 12 72 Acadia Hegedus '18
Cole Barre '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed DNF DNF DNS DNS RAF RAF 102 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Peter Zajec '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed121212121212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity 1222222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity 2444444
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers161616161616
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed999999
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy131313131313
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2141414141414
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed666666
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2333333
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed888888
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed555555
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Mixed121212121212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity 1222222
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity 2444444
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers161616161616
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed999999
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy131313131313
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2141414141414
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed666666
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2333333
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed888888
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed555555
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy777777
School / Team SkipperCrew
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Katie Krauska '17 Cameron Davison '19
Mixed Lucas Haarstad '17 Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '20 [1-6] Gracie Drought '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexia Harrison '20 [3-4]
Varsity 1 David Kunau '17 [1-6] Christian Kunau '17 [1-4]
Alexia Harrison '20 [5-6]
Edina High School Edina High School Kate Higgins '18 Samantha Thomas '21
Varsity 2 Ben Ragus '20 Marit Lebakken '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 Anika Liner '21
Zephyrs Acadia Hegedus '18 Cole Barre '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Kacy Bryant '18
Mixed Michael Dowson '19 Rowan O'Connell '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Garrett Moen '19 Hannah Dillahunt '17
Skippers Evan Komis '20 [1-4]
Khan Dickel '20 [5-6]		 Khan Dickel '20 [1-4]
Evan Komis '20 [5-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 Jose Verela '19
Mixed Clara Brown '18 Karan Jain '19
Orono High School Orono High School Erich Pinske '18 Helen Mcdonnell '17
Navy Rachel Bartel '20 Chase Blum '18
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Marshall Johnson '21
Scarlet 1 Archie Bolgar '19 Megan Schoenzeit '21
Orono High School Orono High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 Mei Vickery '21
Scarlet 2 Dominic Serino '19 Ethan Blum '20
Providence Academy Providence Academy Walker Mullin '19 [1-6] Liam Long '17 [1-2]
Jacob Zagaros '19 [3-6]
Mixed Jack Wall '17 Amanda Ilhe '18
Southwest High School Southwest High School Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '20
Varsity 1 Nicole Giuliani '20 James Jagielski '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Jason Davis '17 Gints Pelecis '21
Varsity 2 Thomas Jagielski '18 Henry Chadbourn '18
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Adam Tronnes '20 Maggie Sanderson '22
Mixed Emmanuel Hanson '20 Peter Zajec '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Annahalle Miller '18 Willem Robertson '20
mixed William (Will) Gitler '21 [1-4]
Calvin Lamosse '21 [5-6]		 Anastasia Sikkila '18 [1-4]
Leif Saveraid '18 [5-6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Emma Aubuchon '19 Reid Vanatta '20
Navy Wiley Hunt '19 Divya Periakaruppan '19

Conditions — 09/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From SE (138°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1017.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →