Navigate

MISSA Fall Colors (West GL Qualifier)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 27 23 50
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 27 28 55
3 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 44 28 72
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 45 33 78
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 55 36 91
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 52 51 103
7 Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 47 64 111
8 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 64 56 120
9 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 56 71 127
10 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 70 66 136
11 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 55 93 148
12 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 83 75 158
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 3 2 2 1 3 7 8 27 Jackson Connell '17
Brianna Misk '17
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 4 1 6 3 1 8 2 27 Samuel Bartel '18 [1-8]
Erik Sundberg '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Erich Pinske '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 3 7 5 1 4 5 10 9 44 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 4 5 6 7 11 6 5 1 45 Lily Loosbrock '17
Annika Irene '19
Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 9 6 4 4 6 2 4 12 47 Will Hedburg '18
Amanda Ilhe '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 10 1 8 11 9 7 2 4 52 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Kacy Bryant '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 5 8 3 5 2 12 9 11 55 Genna Viggiano '18 [1-8]
Kristen Geib '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Clark '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 8 9 10 8 8 4 3 5 55 Will Grosspietsch '18 [1-8]
Sydney Sauer '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Lexi Garczynski '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 7 2 7 3 12 8 11 6 56 Joey Simpson '17
Caroline Murphy '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 6 11 12 12 5 10 1 7 64 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 11 DSQ 9 10 7 11 6 3 70 Katie Krauska '17
Katarina Kovacova '18
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 12 10 11 9 10 9 12 10 83 George Moore '19
Reilly Hannula '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 2 6 4 5 1 1 3 23 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-8]
Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Henry Jaffray '18 [3-4]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 2 3 5 2 2 2 2 10 28 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Teddy Damm '17
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 4 5 3 3 1 5 5 2 28 Emma Aubuchon '18 [1-4]
Wiley Hunt '19 [5-8]
Anna Brew '17 [1-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 7 1 1 7 8 4 4 1 33 Nate Olmsted '19
Carl Eaton '17
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 5 8 2 6 4 3 3 5 36 Clara Brown '18
Acadia Hegedus '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 9 9 4 10 3 6 6 4 51 Graham Ness '19
Sydney Maxwell '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 3 4 7 9 7 8 10 8 56 Thomas Jagielski '18
Nicole Guiliani '20
Providence Academy Providence Academy Navy 8 7 9 5 11 10 8 6 64 Jack Wall '17
Jacob Zielinski '17
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 10 12 8 1 10 9 7 9 66 Lucas Haarstad '17
Ryan Bohara '18
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 6 10 11 8 9 11 9 7 71 Will Grieger '18
Jacob Zagaros '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 12 6 10 11 6 7 11 12 75 Kate Higgins '18
Marit Lebakken '19
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 11 93 Mikey Grosspietsch '20
Cody Tuftee '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red1144661010
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy316151513131111
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity446610101212
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs55161615151313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 166101012121414
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2885516161515
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons10101212141411
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet111188551616
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Navy121214141144
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 1131311118855
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 21414114466
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy15151313111188

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red161655881111
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy11141412121010
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity558811111313
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs441114141212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 188111113131515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 26644111414
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons1111131315151616
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet1010664411
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Navy13131515161655
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 1121210106644
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity 2151516165588
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy14141212101066
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Joey Simpson '17 Caroline Murphy '17
Red Will Grieger '18 Jacob Zagaros '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Katie Krauska '17 Katarina Kovacova '18
Navy Lucas Haarstad '17 Ryan Bohara '18
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '19 Reilly Hannula '19
Varsity Kate Higgins '18 Marit Lebakken '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 [1-8] Kristen Geib '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Clark '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Zephyrs Clara Brown '18 Acadia Hegedus '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lily Loosbrock '17 Annika Irene '19
Skippers 1 Nate Olmsted '19 Carl Eaton '17
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Matthew Kickhafer '19 Kacy Bryant '18
Skippers 2 Graham Ness '19 Sydney Maxwell '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Will Grosspietsch '18 [1-8] Sydney Sauer '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Lexi Garczynski '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Raccoons Mikey Grosspietsch '20 Cody Tuftee '18
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 [1-8] Erik Sundberg '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Erich Pinske '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Scarlet Rachel Bartel '20 [1-8] Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Henry Jaffray '18 [3-4]
Providence Academy Providence Academy Will Hedburg '18 Amanda Ilhe '18
Navy Jack Wall '17 Jacob Zielinski '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Varsity 1 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17 Teddy Damm '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '19
Varsity 2 Thomas Jagielski '18 Nicole Guiliani '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Jackson Connell '17 Brianna Misk '17
Navy Emma Aubuchon '18 [1-4]
Wiley Hunt '19 [5-8]		 Anna Brew '17 [1-4]

Conditions — 10/08/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From SSE (155°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn* · E 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →