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SAISA South Points 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 10 18 28
2 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 30 40
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 25 19 44
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 20 27 47
5 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 12 36 48
6 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 39 19 58
7 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 28 33 61
8 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 38 31 69
9 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 42 52 94
10 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 59 35 94
11 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knighst 42 57 99
12 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 53 47 100
13 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 43 61 104
14 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 59 45 104
15 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 58 54 112
16 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 67 50 117
17 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 68 58 126
18 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 64 68 132
19 Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders 69 64 133
20 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 43 90 133
21 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 77 74 151
22 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 87 68 155
23 Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 90 81 171
24 Varsity Varsity Varsity 95 90 185
25 Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 108 108 216
26 Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 108 108 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 1 4 4 1 10 Mark Brunsvold '19
Dylan Heinz '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 1 1 2 10 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 2 2 5 3 12 Trevor Bornarth '18
Emma Barska '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 3 10 4 20 Sophia Reineke '17
Dae Kelly '17
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 8 8 3 6 25 Shawn Harvey '17
Delilah Lubarsky '17
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 12 5 2 9 28 Kyle Dochoda '17
Lily Schneider '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 10 12 12 38 Jack Johansson '17
Logan Katz '17
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 9 9 13 8 39 Sam Baker '17
Ethan Osborne '19
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knighst 7 16 14 5 42 Katie Nelson '20
Jonathan Joyner '19
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 14 15 6 7 42 Ciara Dorsay '17
Michael Grass '17
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 13 11 9 10 43 Callista Hopkins '19
Kurban Ali '17
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 15 6 11 11 43 Shane Riera '17
Lanier Williams '18
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 11 7 17 18 53 Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2]
Hunter Puzak '18 [3-4]
Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2]
Alexander Askar '18 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 17 12 15 14 58 Blaire Mccarthy '18
Phillip Peterson '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 16 19 8 16 59 Chris Kiener '17
Nick Block '17
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 19 18 7 15 59 Sam Meyer '19
Evan Occhino '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 10 21 16 17 64 Matthew King '20
Kailin Foster '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 20 14 20 13 67 Dylan Brazee '17
Chandler Scott '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 18 13 18 19 68 Alex Commette '17
Rylee Macarthur '17
Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders 5 22 21 21 69 Jack Glenn '17 [1-4]
Kelly George '20 [1-2]
Beu Wittiker '20 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 21 17 19 20 77 Harrison Freedman '19 [1-4]
Audrey Hollo '19 [1-2]
Michael Gabe '18 [3-4]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 23 20 RDG 22 87 Mikaela Munao '18 [1-2]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]
Noah Guntow '20 [1-2]
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 22 23 22 23 90 Jocelyn Lyon '18 [1-4]
Abby Worthington '18 [1-2]
Audrey Wood '19 [3-4]
Varsity Varsity Varsity 24 24 23 24 95
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 108 Alex Temko '20
Sophia Wicks '19
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 108 Josh Temko '17 [1-4]
Sage Walters '17 [1-2]
Scott Walters '18 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 5 3 4 6 18 Lillian Myers '19
Taylor Brunsvold '17
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 1 7 3 8 19 Ella Marsden '20 [1-2]
Alex Gonzalez '20 [3-4]
Ethan Osborne '19 [1-2]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 6 2 4 19 Tucker Weed '18 [1-2]
Paul Lobree '18 [3-4]
Maddie Sharp '18 [1-2]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 4 10 9 27 Conner Correll '18 [1-4]
Calli Lewis '17 [1-2]
Sam Sclafani '17 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers OCS 1 1 1 30 Charlie Curtis '17
Olivia Mcintosh '18
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 13 7 5 31 Clay Snyder '18
Teddy Bueres '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 10 12 8 3 33 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Zachery Ofenloch '19
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 3 5 16 11 35 Eric Vangennip '20
Landen Latchford '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS OCS 2 5 2 36 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-4]
Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [3-4]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 10 9 15 45 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Rachel Dionne '20
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 2 14 12 19 47 Johnny Magardino '19 [1-2]
Justin Marciano '18 [3-4]
Harrison Rogers '19 [1-2]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 9 9 19 13 50 Hunter Sorensen '17
Chloe Hudgins '20
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 18 16 11 7 52 Lila Van Den Broek '18
Matthew Mason '19
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 15 11 14 14 54 Grant Boicheff '18 [1-4]
Jacob Warchola '18 [1-2]
Cole Madden '19 [3-4]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knighst 13 18 6 20 57 Katie Nelson '20
Jonathan Joyner '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 14 8 20 16 58 Derek Pearson '17
Sean Kelly '18
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 8 17 15 21 61 Daniel Denison '17 [1-2]
Hanna Brydon '17 [3-4]
Alex Pearson '18 [1-2]
Ethan Myott '17 [3-4]
Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders 20 19 13 12 64 Andrew Witter '20 [1-4]
Emma Glenn '20 [1-2]
Chase Vaught '19 [3-4]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 12 20 18 18 68 Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-4]
Alissa Stachelek '18 [1-2]
Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [3-4]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 16 15 OCS 10 68 Will Murray '20
Zeban Kaiser '20
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity RDG RDG 21 17 74 Noah Fischer '19
Hannah Sternthal '19
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 21 21 17 22 81 Jakob Germann '17 [1-4]
Isabella Peters '20 [1-2]
Vincent Barbaro '20 [3-4]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 19 24 23 24 90 Shane Riera '17
Lanier Williams '18
Varsity Varsity Varsity 22 23 22 23 90
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 108 Alex Temko '20
Sophia Wicks '19
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 108 Scott Walters '18 [1-4]
Sage Walters '17 [1-2]
Josh Temko '17 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
VarsityVarsity Varsity12121111
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity2211
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity26262525
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes8877
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders14141313
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons25252424
Lake Highland Preparatory SchoolLake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders4433
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity21212020
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers24242323
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers23232222
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves3322
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity112828
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity18181717
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity13131212
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers28282727
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders6655
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity19191818
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knighst27272626
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders101088
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors5544
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity17171515
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers11111010
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS22222121
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils20201919
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity15151414
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors7766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
VarsityVarsity Varsity18181919
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity27272828
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity3344
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes21212222
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders15151717
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons4455
Lake Highland Preparatory SchoolLake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders25252626
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity881010
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers5566
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers6677
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves26262727
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity282811
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity12121313
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity17171818
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers1122
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders23232424
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity11111212
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knighst2233
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders20202121
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors24242525
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity13131414
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers19192020
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS7788
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils10101111
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity14141515
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors22222323
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Alex Temko '20 Sophia Wicks '19
Varsity Alex Temko '20 Sophia Wicks '19
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2]
Hunter Puzak '18 [3-4]		 Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2]
Alexander Askar '18 [3-4]
Varsity Johnny Magardino '19 [1-2]
Justin Marciano '18 [3-4]		 Harrison Rogers '19 [1-2]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Sam Baker '17 Ethan Osborne '19
Hurricanes Ella Marsden '20 [1-2]
Alex Gonzalez '20 [3-4]		 Ethan Osborne '19 [1-2]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 Logan Katz '17
Raiders Clay Snyder '18 Teddy Bueres '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
Panthers Charlie Curtis '17 Olivia Mcintosh '18
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Dylan Brazee '17 Chandler Scott '19
Falcons Hunter Sorensen '17 Chloe Hudgins '20
Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Jack Glenn '17 [1-4] Kelly George '20 [1-2]
Beu Wittiker '20 [3-4]
Highlanders Andrew Witter '20 [1-4] Emma Glenn '20 [1-2]
Chase Vaught '19 [3-4]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Kurban Ali '17
Varsity Daniel Denison '17 [1-2]
Hanna Brydon '17 [3-4]		 Alex Pearson '18 [1-2]
Ethan Myott '17 [3-4]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 [1-2]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]		 Noah Guntow '20 [1-2]
Panthers Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-4] Alissa Stachelek '18 [1-2]
Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [3-4]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Chris Kiener '17 Nick Block '17
Tigers Kingsley Ehrich '19 Rachel Dionne '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Alex Commette '17 Rylee Macarthur '17
ThunderWolves Derek Pearson '17 Sean Kelly '18
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Josh Temko '17 [1-4] Sage Walters '17 [1-2]
Scott Walters '18 [3-4]
Varsity Scott Walters '18 [1-4] Sage Walters '17 [1-2]
Josh Temko '17 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Harrison Freedman '19 [1-4] Audrey Hollo '19 [1-2]
Michael Gabe '18 [3-4]
Varsity Noah Fischer '19 Hannah Sternthal '19
Pine View School Pine View School Ciara Dorsay '17 Michael Grass '17
Pine View Varsity Lila Van Den Broek '18 Matthew Mason '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 Delilah Lubarsky '17
Raiders Tucker Weed '18 [1-2]
Paul Lobree '18 [3-4]		 Maddie Sharp '18 [1-2]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Dylan Heinz '20
Varsity Lillian Myers '19 Taylor Brunsvold '17
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Jonathan Joyner '19
Knighst Katie Nelson '20 Jonathan Joyner '19
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Kailin Foster '20
Sailors Will Murray '20 Zeban Kaiser '20
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Jocelyn Lyon '18 [1-4] Abby Worthington '18 [1-2]
Audrey Wood '19 [3-4]
Varsity Jakob Germann '17 [1-4] Isabella Peters '20 [1-2]
Vincent Barbaro '20 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kyle Dochoda '17 Lily Schneider '19
Chargers Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Zachery Ofenloch '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School Trevor Bornarth '18 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 [1-4] Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Blaire Mccarthy '18 Phillip Peterson '17
Green Devils Grant Boicheff '18 [1-4] Jacob Warchola '18 [1-2]
Cole Madden '19 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Sophia Reineke '17 Dae Kelly '17
Raiders Conner Correll '18 [1-4] Calli Lewis '17 [1-2]
Sam Sclafani '17 [3-4]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Sam Meyer '19 Evan Occhino '20
Varsity Eric Vangennip '20 Landen Latchford '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Shane Riera '17 Lanier Williams '18
Warriors Shane Riera '17 Lanier Williams '18

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 94°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From N (9°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1016.6 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Preparato: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.20
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.34 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Preparato by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Shorecrest Preparato, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →