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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 9 14 23
2 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 15 8 23
3 Trojans Trojans Trojans 25 25 50
4 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 29 32 61
5 Knights Knights Knights 33 38 71
6 Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 38 45 83
7 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 46 41 87
8 Knights Knights Knights 47 47 94
9 Red Raiders Red Raiders Red Raiders 51 44 95
10 Varsity Varsity Varsity 46 54 100
11 Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 57 48 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 9
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 6 3 1 3 1 1 15 Harris Padegs '18
Sam Thompson '20
Trojans Trojans Trojans 9 2 3 4 3 4 25
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 4 5 4 5 8 3 29 Samantha Jensen '20
Megan Williams '22
Knights Knights Knights 2 7 6 6 5 7 33
Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 3 11 5 10 4 5 38
Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 7 8 7 9 7 8 46
Varsity Varsity Varsity 8 4 11 7 6 10 46
Knights Knights Knights 5 10 9 8 9 6 47
Red Raiders Red Raiders Red Raiders 11 9 10 2 10 9 51
Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 10 6 8 11 11 11 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 8 Meredith Ryan '18
Michael Matuch '20
Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1 1 2 5 2 2 2 14
Trojans Trojans Trojans 2 4 2 3 11 3 25
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 5 3 4 7 7 6 32 Tristan Midlik '19
Patricia O'Donnell '21
Knights Knights Knights 7 7 8 4 5 7 38
Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2 8 8 7 5 9 4 41
Red Raiders Red Raiders Red Raiders 9 9 11 6 4 5 44
Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1 10 6 9 8 3 9 45
Knights Knights Knights 4 10 10 9 6 8 47
Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2 6 11 3 10 8 10 48
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 5 6 11 10 11 54
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Red-Tailed Hawks 1Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1113355
Red-Tailed Hawks 2Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2224466
Crusaders 1Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1335577
Crusaders 2Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2446688
Red RaidersRed Raiders Red Raiders557799
KnightsKnights Knights66881010
VarsityVarsity Varsity77991111
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 188101011
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 299111122
KnightsKnights Knights10101133
TrojansTrojans Trojans11112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Red-Tailed Hawks 1Red-Tailed Hawks 1 Red-Tailed Hawks 1224466
Red-Tailed Hawks 2Red-Tailed Hawks 2 Red-Tailed Hawks 2335577
Crusaders 1Crusaders 1 Crusaders 1446688
Crusaders 2Crusaders 2 Crusaders 2557799
Red RaidersRed Raiders Red Raiders66881010
KnightsKnights Knights77991111
VarsityVarsity Varsity88101011
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 199111122
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 210101133
KnightsKnights Knights11112244
TrojansTrojans Trojans113355

Conditions — 09/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1028.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From N (5°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1028.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

What this breeze does at Buffalo Seminary — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Buffalo Seminary in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Buffalo Seminary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Buffalo Seminary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →