Foundry #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 19 4 23
2 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 9 24 33
3 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 6 35 41
4 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 22 19 41
5 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 26 19 45
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 26 21 47
7 Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 20 30 50
8 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 35 16 51
9 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 29 34 63
10 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood CK Mixed 34 33 67
11 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 39 31 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 2 1 1 6 Spencer Barnes '20
Jp Wynn '19
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 3 1 3 2 9 Siri Schantz '19
Lena Olsen '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 6 6 2 5 19 Will Carroll '19
Will Thorton '19
Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 9 4 4 3 20 Mac Mcmillan '22
Jack Wynn '20
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 5 5 5 7 22 Maggie Swasey '19
Blair Pichola '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 1 9 8 8 26 Lukas Denner '18
Jillian Campbell '18
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 4 8 10 4 26 Jakob Kuipers '18
Emily Gilson '18
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 10 7 6 6 29 Tom Oelkers '19
Aiden Dorr '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood CK Mixed 8 3 OCS 11 34 Adrian Stone '20
Max Boland '19
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 7 10 9 9 35 Ashlin N. Fegen '20
Kiera Hoye '19
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 11 11 7 10 39 Sam Newball '23
Raaghuv Vazirani '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 1 1 1 1 4 Charlie Movius '22
Joey Bonacci '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 5 5 3 3 16 Michaela O'Donnell '20
Grace Quasebarth '20
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 3 4 2 10 19 Santiago Echevarria '22
Aiden Carter '22
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 4 3 8 4 19 Megan O'Gorman '18
Jacki Spiegel '18
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED 2 11 6 2 21 Ethan Lee '19
Gilson Ryan '21
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 7 8 4 5 24 Donovan Decoster '22
Emma Friedauer '23
Hawken School Hawken School Mixed 10 2 DNS 6 30 Andy Solganik '21
Max Boland '19
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 9 6 9 7 31 Nick Byerly '18
Emily Williams '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood CK Mixed 8 10 7 8 33 Caleb Lewinski '18
Ryan Patterson '19
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 6 9 10 9 34 Brendon Smucker '21
Sam Heighway '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats RAF 7 5 11 35 Patrick Sheehan '18
Eddie Keck '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks1133
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood CK Mixed2255
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED3366
Hawken SchoolHawken School Mixed5577
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed6688
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots7799
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed881010
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates991111
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity10101212
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed121222
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks2255
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood CK Mixed3366
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED5577
Hawken SchoolHawken School Mixed6688
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed7799
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots881010
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed991111
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates10101212
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity111111
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed1133
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats121222

Conditions — 10/07/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.6 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1010.6 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawken/Lakewood (OH)/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Ignatius (OH): a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawken/Lakewood (OH)/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Ignatius (OH) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Hawken/Lakewood (OH)/Rocky River/Saint Joseph Academy/St. Ignatius (OH): the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →