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Minnesota Conference #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 9 24 33
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 23 26 49
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 22 34 56
4 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 30 38 68
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 69 14 83
6 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 53 42 95
7 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 34 70 104
8 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 59 47 106
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 60 47 107
10 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 56 52 108
11 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 47 71 118
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 61 70 131
13 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 71 71 142
14 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 71 79 150
15 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 63 94 157
16 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 98 67 165
17 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 93 90 183
18 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 107 91 198
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 9 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 2 4 4 3 2 7 22 Nate Olmsted '19
Rowan O'Connell '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 5 6 2 3 3 23 Graham Ness '19
Beth Walsh '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 1 5 5 16 2 30 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Erich Pinske '18
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 10 6 3 7 4 4 34 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-6]
Chase Blum '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Aubuchon '21 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 11 10 2 8 7 9 47 Henry Westlind '19
Kacy Bryant '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 14 3 7 9 15 5 53 Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6]
Stephen Olk '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmett Tanzer '21 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 12 7 12 6 11 8 56 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6]
Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 13 11 10 4 6 15 59 Morgan Termaat '18
Sara Fraser '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 8 8 15 13 10 6 60 Max Sigel '22 [1-6]
Tryg Van Wyk '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordi Malaret '23 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 5 9 9 10 14 14 61 Kate Ness '23
Paige Kurtenbach '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 6 14 8 12 13 10 63 Sean Mcaneney '21
Hayden Graff '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 15 16 11 11 5 11 69 Owen Reding '20
Delaney Mallin '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 7 12 14 17 8 13 71 Finn Tait '21
Wyatt Tait '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 9 13 13 15 9 12 71 Alexandre Cholat '22
Virginia Higgins '22
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 16 17 16 16 12 16 93 Logan Farner '22
Cole Peters '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 17 15 18 14 17 17 98 Luke Schmidt '21
Rasmus Gantriis '21
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 18 18 17 18 18 18 107 Anastasia Sikkila '18 [1-6]
Alexia Harrison '20 [1-2]
Kelly Klehr '21 [3-4]
Liam Black '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 2 4 4 1 1 3 1 14 Owen Harrod '22
Belle Carpenter '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 6 3 5 7 1 2 24 Garrett Moen '19
Tristan Wischmeier '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 2 5 2 4 9 4 26 Rita Usmanova '19
Sophia Rey '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 10 2 3 2 6 11 34 Michael Dowson '19
Evan Komis '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 1 7 11 4 14 38 Archie Bolgar '19 [1-4]
Megan Schoenzeit '21 [5-6]
Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2]
Harry Hust '20 [3-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 3 6 13 6 8 6 42 Hank Seum '23
Jose Varela '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 5 12 10 8 5 7 47 Marley Barrett '23 [1-6]
Nicholas Wyatt '22 [1-4]
Jordi Malaret '23 [5-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 1 7 13 8 9 2 8 47 Cole Barre '21
Faith Christensen '21
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 2 8 7 4 3 15 15 52 Oliver Strommen '22 [1-6]
Samuel Bartel '18 [1-4]
Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21 [5-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 17 11 12 10 12 5 67 Karan Jain '19
Nick Lorentz '21
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 1 12 14 DNS 5 11 9 70 Dominic Serino '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-4]
Mei Vickery '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 13 9 14 12 10 12 70 Clare Leeper '19
Monica Beutz '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 15 16 11 13 13 3 71 Lexie Baker '19
Alexa Shinler '20
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 16 8 6 15 16 10 71 Madeline Netzer '23
Helene Schroeder '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 9 10 9 16 17 18 79 Connor Malone '23
Nils Wulfsberg '22
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 14 17 15 17 14 13 90 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Sophia Nelson '22
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 18 15 17 18 7 16 91 Paul Wang '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexia Harrison '20 [3-4]
Liam Black '20 [1-2]
Paul Wang '24 [3-4]
Kelly Klehr '21 [5-6]
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 11 18 16 14 18 17 94 Leo Markus '23
Lauren Rerat '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed719371937193719371937193
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 1161616161616
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 2888888
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 3444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 4777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed101010101010
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 1555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 2666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet151515151515
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed669866986698669866986698
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed141414141414
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 1724672467246724672467246
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 2222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed719371937193719371937193
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 1161616161616
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 2888888
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed 3444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 4777777
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed101010101010
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 1555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed 2666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet151515151515
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed669866986698669866986698
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed141414141414
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 1724672467246724672467246
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 2222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed111111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Edina High School Edina High School Anastasia Sikkila '18 [1-6] Alexia Harrison '20 [1-2]
Kelly Klehr '21 [3-4]
Liam Black '20 [5-6]
mixed Paul Wang '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexia Harrison '20 [3-4]		 Liam Black '20 [1-2]
Paul Wang '24 [3-4]
Kelly Klehr '21 [5-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Morgan Termaat '18 Sara Fraser '21
Mixed 1 Cole Barre '21 Faith Christensen '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Owen Reding '20 Delaney Mallin '21
Mixed 2 Owen Harrod '22 Belle Carpenter '23
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Luke Schmidt '21 Rasmus Gantriis '21
Mixed 3 Karan Jain '19 Nick Lorentz '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Max Sigel '22 [1-6] Tryg Van Wyk '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jordi Malaret '23 [3-4]
Mixed Marley Barrett '23 [1-6] Nicholas Wyatt '22 [1-4]
Jordi Malaret '23 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Henry Westlind '19 Kacy Bryant '18
Skippers 1 Lexie Baker '19 Alexa Shinler '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Ness '19 Beth Walsh '20
Skippers 2 Rita Usmanova '19 Sophia Rey '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nate Olmsted '19 Rowan O'Connell '20
Skippers 3 Michael Dowson '19 Evan Komis '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Matthew Kickhafer '19 Audrey Cote '20
Skippers 4 Garrett Moen '19 Tristan Wischmeier '21
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6] Stephen Olk '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmett Tanzer '21 [3-4]
Mixed Hank Seum '23 Jose Varela '19
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 [1-6] Chase Blum '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Aubuchon '21 [3-4]
Mixed 1 Dominic Serino '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [3-4]		 Mei Vickery '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Dominic Serino '19 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-6] Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21 [3-4]
Mixed 2 Oliver Strommen '22 [1-6] Samuel Bartel '18 [1-4]
Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Erich Pinske '18
Scarlet Archie Bolgar '19 [1-4]
Megan Schoenzeit '21 [5-6]		 Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2]
Harry Hust '20 [3-6]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Wyatt Tait '23
Mixed Madeline Netzer '23 Helene Schroeder '23
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Logan Farner '22 Cole Peters '18
Mixed Emmanuel Hanson '20 Sophia Nelson '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Hayden Graff '21
mixed 1 Leo Markus '23 Lauren Rerat '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Virginia Higgins '22
mixed 2 Connor Malone '23 Nils Wulfsberg '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Kate Ness '23 Paige Kurtenbach '23
Mixed Clare Leeper '19 Monica Beutz '24

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1015.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From E (88°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1015.2 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mahtomedi: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →