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SAISA South Points 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 18 29 47
2 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 24 25 49
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 30 24 54
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 24 34 58
5 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 25 39 64
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 31 40 71
7 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 33 52 85
8 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 57 33 90
9 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 50 44 94
10 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 73 26 99
11 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 52 60 112
12 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 63 70 133
13 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 73 61 134
14 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 82 85 167
15 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 94 96 190
16 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 96 96 192
17 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 98 99 197
18 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 104 112 216
19 Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 118 123 241
20 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 120 126 246
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 8 4 1 1 1 3 18 Clay Snyder '18
Teddy Bueres '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 1 RDG RDG 3 10 24 Conner Correll '18
Sam Juskiewicz '20
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 4 7 2 2 7 2 24 Mark Brunsvold '19
Dylan Heinz '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 1 2 RDG RDG 9 5 25 Trevor Bornarth '18
Emma Barska '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 6 5 3 6 4 6 30 Tucker Weed '18 [1-6]
Michael Macrae '19 [1-4]
Maddie Sharp '18 [5-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 11 4 3 2 1 31 Connor Nelson '19 [1-6]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [1-2]
Sean Toro '19 [3-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 3 6 8 7 5 4 33 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Lily Schneider '19
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 12 9 5 9 8 7 50 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 16 3 11 8 6 8 52 J.J. Smith '20
Riley Baugh '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 7 8 9 10 14 9 57 Matthew King '20
Anna Millbourn '18
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 5 10 13 11 11 13 63 Blaire Mccarthy '18 [1-6]
Cole Madden '19 [1-2]
Victoria Lescanzo '19 [3-4]
Emily Allen '21 [5-6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 9 12 12 14 15 11 73 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Jaxson Stehlin '20
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 11 16 10 12 10 14 73 Callista Hopkins '19
Alex Pearson '18
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 14 13 14 13 13 15 82 Chandler Scott '19
Oliver Stabley '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 15 15 17 15 16 16 94 Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6]
Noah Guntow '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers DNF 18 15 18 12 12 96 Noah Fischer '19
Michael Gabe '18
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 13 14 20 16 17 18 98 Brendan Williams '19
Nita Holloway '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 17 17 18 17 18 17 104 Trevor Honeycutt '19 [1-6]
Arden Capizola '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Green '19 [3-4]
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity DNF DNF 19 19 19 19 118 Robert Laovoravit '18
Eli Soyke '19
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors DNF DNF 16 20 DNF DNF 120 Jonathan Gleason '22 [1-6]
Christian Martinez '19 [1-4]
Luciana Solorzano '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 8 2 1 3 4 6 24 Julia Johansson '19
Bernat Miro '19
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 1 1 7 1 12 3 25 Lillian Myers '19
Terra Ehrhart '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 3 7 2 5 2 7 26 Jack Macdonald '18
Kara Percival '18
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 8 6 9 1 1 29 Kyle Bramson '20
Roberto Lugones '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 7 10 3 4 5 4 33 Will Murray '20
Andrew Florio '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 3 RDG RDG 8 9 34 Libby Redmond '20
Isa Duplessis '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 4 4 6 11 8 39 Emily Bornarth '20
Griffin Pollis '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 11 5 8 8 3 5 40 Brandon Geller '19 [1-6]
Dominic Canonico '19 [1-4]
Spencer Brooks '20 [5-6]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 13 13 5 2 9 2 44 Ella Marsden '20 [1-6]
Laurel Tyson '21 [1-2]
Ethan Osborne '19 [3-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 5 6 10 14 6 11 52 Heather Kerns '20
Zachery Ofenloch '19
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 10 12 9 12 7 10 60 Bryce Tone '21 [1-6]
Sebastian Windham '20 [1-5]
Riley Baugh '20 [6]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 9 11 12 7 10 12 61 Cameron Delgado '19 [1-6]
Robert Hopkins '21 [1-2]
Talib Moran '20 [3-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 12 9 11 11 13 14 70 Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-4]
Emily Allen '21 [5-6]
Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Erika Desonie '19 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 14 17 14 13 14 13 85 Caroline Locke '21
Cole Degner '21
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 15 18 16 15 RDG 16 96 Harrison Freedman '19
Leah Schulman '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 17 14 15 17 16 17 96 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-6]
Esbeydy Dumas '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-4]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Varsity 16 16 DSQ 16 15 15 99 Holly Gandolfo '18
No Show
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves DNF 15 17 DNF 17 DNF 112 Luke Weisberg '19 [1-6]
Summer Scott '20 [1-4]
Jacob Green '19 [5-6]
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 18 123 Carlos Riva '20 [1-6]
Nikita Zinoyyez '19 [1-4]
Josiah Davis-Brown '19 [5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF DNF 126 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity1313202044
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes88151511
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders20204455
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons445566
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity11101022
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes1010221414
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers66161633
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers55661616
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves2214141111
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers16163399
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers1515111010
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1414111177
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity33991212
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1919181888
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1111771919
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers9912121717
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS7719191818
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils121217171313
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Varsity171713132020
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors1818881515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity88151511
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes20204455
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders1515111010
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons11101022
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity55661616
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes66161633
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers2214141111
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers1010221414
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves16163399
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers1414111177
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers445566
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders33991212
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity1111771919
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders171713132020
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors9912121717
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers7719191818
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS121217171313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1919181888
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Varsity1818881515
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors1313202044
School / Team SkipperCrew
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Robert Laovoravit '18 Eli Soyke '19
Varsity Carlos Riva '20 [1-6] Nikita Zinoyyez '19 [1-4]
Josiah Davis-Brown '19 [5-6]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Hurricanes Ella Marsden '20 [1-6] Laurel Tyson '21 [1-2]
Ethan Osborne '19 [3-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Clay Snyder '18 Teddy Bueres '19
Raiders Kyle Bramson '20 Roberto Lugones '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 [1-6] Olivia Mcintosh '18 [1-2]
Sean Toro '19 [3-6]
Panthers Brandon Geller '19 [1-6] Dominic Canonico '19 [1-4]
Spencer Brooks '20 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Chandler Scott '19 Oliver Stabley '18
Falcons Caroline Locke '21 Cole Degner '21
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Alex Pearson '18
Varsity Cameron Delgado '19 [1-6] Robert Hopkins '21 [1-2]
Talib Moran '20 [3-6]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6] Noah Guntow '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]
Panthers Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-6] Esbeydy Dumas '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-4]
Manatee High School Manatee High School J.J. Smith '20 Riley Baugh '20
Hurricanes Bryce Tone '21 [1-6] Sebastian Windham '20 [1-5]
Riley Baugh '20 [6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kingsley Ehrich '19 Jaxson Stehlin '20
Tigers Jack Macdonald '18 Kara Percival '18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Trevor Honeycutt '19 [1-6] Arden Capizola '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Green '19 [3-4]
ThunderWolves Luke Weisberg '19 [1-6] Summer Scott '20 [1-4]
Jacob Green '19 [5-6]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Noah Fischer '19 Michael Gabe '18
Panthers Harrison Freedman '19 Leah Schulman '18
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Tucker Weed '18 [1-6] Michael Macrae '19 [1-4]
Maddie Sharp '18 [5-6]
Raiders Julia Johansson '19 Bernat Miro '19
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Dylan Heinz '20
Varsity Lillian Myers '19 Terra Ehrhart '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Anna Millbourn '18
Sailors Will Murray '20 Andrew Florio '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Lily Schneider '19
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 Zachery Ofenloch '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School Trevor Bornarth '18 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 Griffin Pollis '19
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Blaire Mccarthy '18 [1-6] Cole Madden '19 [1-2]
Victoria Lescanzo '19 [3-4]
Emily Allen '21 [5-6]
Green Devils Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-4]
Emily Allen '21 [5-6]		 Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Erika Desonie '19 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Conner Correll '18 Sam Juskiewicz '20
Raiders Libby Redmond '20 Isa Duplessis '20
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Brendan Williams '19 Nita Holloway '20
Varsity Holly Gandolfo '18 No Show
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Jonathan Gleason '22 [1-6] Christian Martinez '19 [1-4]
Luciana Solorzano '20 [5-6]
Warriors No Show No Show

Conditions — 10/21/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.1 kn
avg  ·  max 16.0 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1019.2 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 17 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.37
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.40 means a rating gap counts about 35% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/Westwood/South Fork/The Pine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →