Foundry #2 Re Run

HostThe Station
Date09/22/2018
TypeIn-League
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Westerville North High School	Warriors	32	19	51
2	Bay High School	Varsity	11	45	56
3	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	43	31	74
4	Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	44	39	83
5	Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	89	45	134
6	Hawken School	Mixed	25	116	141
7	Avon High School	Eagles	79	63	142
8	Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	72	75	147
9	Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	61	92	153
10	Olentangy Berlin HS	Bears	99	56	155
11	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	79	79	158
12	Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	62	104	166
13	New Albany High School	Mixed	104	65	169
14	Olentangy Orange High School	Mixed	81	115	196
15	Campus International - OH	Varsity	121	92	213
16	Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	103	115	218
17	Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	133	105	238
18	Westerville South High School	Wildcats	121	123	244

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Bay High School	Varsity	2	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	11	Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ellen Petrigan '22
Hawken School	Mixed	1	1	5	3	4	7	2	2	25	Sophia Van Heeckeren '20 Daniel Van Heeckeren '22
Westerville North High School	Warriors	3	2	6	2	3	4	8	4	32	Nadia Reynolds '20 Kent Howell '19
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	5	5	11	4	6	3	4	5	43	Jp Starck '20 Ben Slater '20
Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	6	4	2	8	2	5	9	8	44	Maggie Swasey '19 Joey Bonacci '21
Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	7	10	7	7	14	2	11	3	61	Jose Henrique Villa-Nova '19 Jacob Myers '24
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	8	7	4	6	7	14	10	6	62	Zoe Hoctor '21 Parker Jacobs '19
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	12	13	8	5	12	8	7	7	72	Michaela O'Donnell '20 Megan Fegen '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	11	8	10	9	5	16	BYE	BYE	79	Holden Fisher '19 Eddie Keck '19
Avon High School	Eagles	DNF	6	3	RAF	9	6	3	14	79	Iain Mcsweeney '20 Cooper Goins '22
Olentangy Orange High School	Mixed	4	12	15	12	8	11	6	13	81	Ben Keller '21 Cameron Mcvey '20
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	10	11	12	11	17	13	5	10	89	Cameron Friedauer '20 Brady Smith '22
Olentangy Berlin HS	Bears	15	15	13	10	11	12	14	9	99	Nicholas Robertson '23 William Bruner '23
Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	9	9	14	15	18	15	12	11	103	Devin Maynard '20 Mallory Dietsch '23
New Albany High School	Mixed	13	16	9	16	10	9	DNS	12	104	Collier Ellis '21 Lena Olsen '22
Campus International - OH	Varsity	14	14	16	13	16	18	13	17	121	Charles Pohl '22 Jonah Schwab '22
Westerville South High School	Wildcats	16	17	17	14	15	10	16	16	121	Cora Mcvay '21 Lilli Malone '22
Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	DNS	OCS	18	17	13	17	15	15	133	Parker Polen '20 Max Boland '19

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Westerville North High School	Warriors	4	1	1	1	2	8	1	1	19	Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	2	2	2	3	3	9	7	3	31	Jp Wynne '20 Conner Sheehan '19
Rocky River High School	Pirates 1	1	5	5	4	8	3	6	7	39	Margot Dugan '20 Ellie Milius '19
Olentangy Liberty High School	Mascots	3	4	3	5	6	7	2	15	45	Emma Friedauer '23 Porter Martin '23
Bay High School	Varsity	6	3	9	7	10	1	5	4	45	Jonathan Mack '22 Robert Mansuetto '21
Olentangy Berlin HS	Bears	10	7	13	8	1	2	3	12	56	Dylan Robertson '24 David Neverov '24
Avon High School	Eagles	DNS	6	4	2	4	10	10	8	63	Kieran Mcsweeney '22 [1-7] James Brassell '23 [8] Nate Brodie '23 [1-7]
New Albany High School	Mixed	8	12	11	6	7	4	4	13	65	Jed Lory '23 Makenna Weyburne '20
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Varsity	14	15	6	14	5	11	8	2	75	Ashlin N. Fegen '20 Molly Slater '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	13	10	14	12	9	5	11	5	79	Christian Miller '22 Andrew Coviello '22
Rocky River High School	Pirates 2	5	17	7	9	12	16	12	14	92	Bill Lazarro '22 Aiden Carter '22
Campus International - OH	Varsity	11	11	10	10	13	15	13	9	92	Eric Pohl '22 Vivian Cox '22
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	7	9	15	13	14	14	14	18	104	Marshall Wellejus '22 Kyle Bruce '23
Lakewood High School (OH)	Rangers	12	8	12	RAF	16	12	15	11	105	Wilson Reynolds '19 Crown Steiner '19
Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	9	13	8	15	18	DNF	16	17	115	Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-4] Cecelia Dietsch '22 [5-8] Cecelia Dietsch '22 [1-4] Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [5-8]
Olentangy Orange High School	Mixed	DNS	18	DNS	DNS	11	6	17	6	115	Finn Sullivan '22 Jacob Kingsley '24
Hawken School	Mixed	DSQ	14	17	11	17	13	9	16	116	Pedro Chiesa '22 Paige King '20
Westerville South High School	Wildcats	15	16	16	16	15	17	18	10	123	Fisher Howe '20 Brady Rowe '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Avon High School Eagles	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Bay High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Campus International - OH Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Hawken School Mixed	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Lakewood High School (OH) Rangers	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4
New Albany High School Mixed	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Olentangy Berlin HS Bears	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Olentangy Orange High School Mixed	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Rocky River High School Pirates 1	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Rocky River High School Pirates 2	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1
Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2
Toledo Technology Academy Tigers	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3
Westerville North High School Warriors	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5
Westerville South High School Wildcats	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Avon High School Eagles	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Bay High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Campus International - OH Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Hawken School Mixed	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Lakewood High School (OH) Rangers	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5
New Albany High School Mixed	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Olentangy Berlin HS Bears	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Olentangy Orange High School Mixed	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Rocky River High School Pirates 1	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Rocky River High School Pirates 2	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1	13	13	15	15	17	17	1	1
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2	14	14	16	16	18	18	2	2
Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals	15	15	17	17	1	1	3	3
Toledo Technology Academy Tigers	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4
Westerville North High School Warriors	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6
Westerville South High School Wildcats	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Avon High School	Iain Mcsweeney '20	Cooper Goins '22
Eagles	Kieran Mcsweeney '22 [1-7] James Brassell '23 [8]	Nate Brodie '23 [1-7]
Bay High School	Jack Vanderhorst '22	Ellen Petrigan '22
Varsity	Jonathan Mack '22	Robert Mansuetto '21
Campus International - OH	Charles Pohl '22	Jonah Schwab '22
Varsity	Eric Pohl '22	Vivian Cox '22
Hawken School	Sophia Van Heeckeren '20	Daniel Van Heeckeren '22
Mixed	Pedro Chiesa '22	Paige King '20
Lakewood High School (OH)	Parker Polen '20	Max Boland '19
Rangers	Wilson Reynolds '19	Crown Steiner '19
New Albany High School	Collier Ellis '21	Lena Olsen '22
Mixed	Jed Lory '23	Makenna Weyburne '20
Olentangy Berlin HS	Nicholas Robertson '23	William Bruner '23
Bears	Dylan Robertson '24	David Neverov '24
Olentangy Liberty High School	Cameron Friedauer '20	Brady Smith '22
Mascots	Emma Friedauer '23	Porter Martin '23
Olentangy Orange High School	Ben Keller '21	Cameron Mcvey '20
Mixed	Finn Sullivan '22	Jacob Kingsley '24
Rocky River High School	Maggie Swasey '19	Joey Bonacci '21
Pirates 1	Margot Dugan '20	Ellie Milius '19
Rocky River High School	Jose Henrique Villa-Nova '19	Jacob Myers '24
Pirates 2	Bill Lazarro '22	Aiden Carter '22
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Michaela O'Donnell '20	Megan Fegen '22
Varsity	Ashlin N. Fegen '20	Molly Slater '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Jp Starck '20	Ben Slater '20
Wildcats 1	Jp Wynne '20	Conner Sheehan '19
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Holden Fisher '19	Eddie Keck '19
Wildcats 2	Christian Miller '22	Andrew Coviello '22
Thomas Worthington High School	Zoe Hoctor '21	Parker Jacobs '19
Cardinals	Marshall Wellejus '22	Kyle Bruce '23
Toledo Technology Academy	Devin Maynard '20	Mallory Dietsch '23
Tigers	Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [1-4] Cecelia Dietsch '22 [5-8]	Cecelia Dietsch '22 [1-4] Cordelia Vanderveer '22 [5-8]
Westerville North High School	Nadia Reynolds '20	Kent Howell '19
Warriors	Brendon Smucker '21	Sam Heighway '21
Westerville South High School	Cora Mcvay '21	Lilli Malone '22
Wildcats	Fisher Howe '20	Brady Rowe '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Foundry #2 Re Run

Division A

Division B

From the notes