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GNO Fall High School Championship Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 16 16
2 St. Pauls School St. Pauls School Wolves 17 17
3 Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 17 17
4 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 24 24
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 39 39
6 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin 40 40
7 Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders 44 44
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 3 3 1 1 4 3 16 Harrison Menszer '22 [1-3, 5]
Miller Goldenberg '20 [4, 6-7]
Reed Menszer '20 [1-3, 5-6]
Harrison Menszer '22 [4, 7]
St. Pauls School St. Pauls School Wolves 2 1 2 4 3 3 2 17 Scott Sonnier '20
Merrick Coghlan '19
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 4 4 1 3 2 2 1 17 Emily Alfortish '21 [1-3]
Thomas Kerrigan '22 [4-7]
Ellie Menszer '22 [1-5]
Emily Alfortish '21 [6-7]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 3 2 4 2 RAF 1 4 24 Emory Friend '22
Kate Gibbons '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 5 7 5 4 7 6 39 Riley Reech '20 [1-2, 4-5, 7]
Cassidy O'Brien '21 [3]
Elsie Leblanc '20 [6]
Elsie Leblanc '20 [1-2, 4]
Mary Rose Neumeyer '21 [3, 6-7]
Cassidy O'Brien '21 [5]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 40 Sarah Bancroft '19 [1-2, 5]
Jack Hammett '22 [3-4, 6-7]
Kraig Oramous '21 [1-2]
London L'Hoste-Larson '19 [3-4]
Jack Hammett '22 [5]
Sarah Bancroft '19 [6-7]
Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders 7 6 5 7 6 6 7 44 Brad Corcoran '20 [1, 4, 7]
Michael Duhe '19 [2-3, 5-6]
Christopher Macdowell '19 [1-2, 4-5, 7]
Brad Corcoran '20 [3, 6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin21222324252627
Brother MartinBrother Martin Crusaders22232425262721
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies23242526272122
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays24252627212223
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS25262721222324
St. Pauls SchoolSt. Pauls School Wolves26272122232425
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions27212223242526
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Benjamin Franklin Sarah Bancroft '19 [1-2, 5]
Jack Hammett '22 [3-4, 6-7]		 Kraig Oramous '21 [1-2]
London L'Hoste-Larson '19 [3-4]
Jack Hammett '22 [5]
Sarah Bancroft '19 [6-7]
Brother Martin Brother Martin Crusaders Brad Corcoran '20 [1, 4, 7]
Michael Duhe '19 [2-3, 5-6]		 Christopher Macdowell '19 [1-2, 4-5, 7]
Brad Corcoran '20 [3, 6]
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies Emily Alfortish '21 [1-3]
Thomas Kerrigan '22 [4-7]		 Ellie Menszer '22 [1-5]
Emily Alfortish '21 [6-7]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays Harrison Menszer '22 [1-3, 5]
Miller Goldenberg '20 [4, 6-7]		 Reed Menszer '20 [1-3, 5-6]
Harrison Menszer '22 [4, 7]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS Emory Friend '22 Kate Gibbons '23
St. Pauls School St. Pauls School Wolves Scott Sonnier '20 Merrick Coghlan '19
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions Riley Reech '20 [1-2, 4-5, 7]
Cassidy O'Brien '21 [3]
Elsie Leblanc '20 [6]		 Elsie Leblanc '20 [1-2, 4]
Mary Rose Neumeyer '21 [3, 6-7]
Cassidy O'Brien '21 [5]

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SE (124°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Isidore Newman: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Isidore Newman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Isidore Newman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →