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MISSA Girls' Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 32 20 52
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 44 36 80
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 32 57 89
4 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 69 36 105
5 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 65 61 126
6 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 29 100 129
7 Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 78 52 130
8 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 86 59 145
9 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 59 93 152
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 81 77 158
11 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 87 92 179
12 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 118 98 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 2 2 2 5 1 5 4 5 1 29 Marleigh Belsley '19
Cj Ricci '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 3 5 6 1 5 4 2 3 2 32 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Annika Irene '19
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 3 1 1 1 8 8 2 3 2 3 32 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-10]
Tyra Pranger '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 5 6 3 4 10 2 6 1 1 6 44 Christiana Scheibner '19 [1-10]
Carly Orhan '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Anna Carron '21 [7-8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 9 4 4 8 3 7 3 9 7 5 59 Lexi Chigas '22 [1-10]
Angelina Simon '20 [1-6]
Grace Beard '21 [7-10]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 10 8 8 12 4 9 1 5 4 4 65 Maggie Swasey '19
Lilly Milius '22
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 7 7 7 3 6 4 7 6 11 11 69 Caroline Sandoval '19
Olivia Schmitt '22
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 11 10 9 10 2 3 8 8 9 8 78 Jenna Kozal '20
Alex Acosta '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 8 5 6 5 11 11 10 7 8 10 81 Anna Mcbride '20
Izzy Cox '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 4 9 12 9 7 6 11 11 10 7 86 Liliana Taub '19
Aviva Kaplan '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 6 11 10 7 9 10 9 10 6 9 87 Samantha Bialek '20
Cady Clark '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 12 12 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 118 Paris Levin '20
Moriah Hirsh '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 3 1 1 2 3 1 2 5 1 20 Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-10]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [1-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [7-10]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 3 2 5 5 3 2 6 3 3 4 36 Emma Turner '19
Audrey Whitaker '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 4 4 4 3 5 4 7 1 2 2 36 Kate Crannell '20
Cristina Dombrowski '19
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 7 12 3 4 1 6 4 4 1 10 52 Marina Lamphier '20
Dayton Mcgrail '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 6 9 6 6 1 9 5 8 5 57 Rita Usmanova '19 [1-10]
Sophia Rey '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Susie Foster '19 [5-8]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies OCS 1 2 2 12 5 5 6 10 3 59 Alessandra Torres '20
Asha Baddi '20
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 6 7 6 10 4 7 2 7 6 6 61 Margot Dugan '20
Ellie Milius '19
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 5 11 7 9 8 8 10 8 4 7 77 Alex Adams '20
Sammy Stoeber '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 10 9 10 8 9 9 3 10 12 12 92 Sophia Dolan '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [5-8]
Charlotte Jaqua '20 [1-9]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 8 5 11 11 7 10 12 12 9 8 93 Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [1-10]
Grace Beard '21 [1-6]
Angelina Simon '20 [7-10]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 11 10 8 12 10 12 8 9 7 11 98 Casey Bertocchi '22
Sarah Trunsky '21
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 9 8 12 7 11 11 11 11 11 9 100 Julia Fairbank '19
Caroline Creamer '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles1133557799
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils224466881010
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans335577991111
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers44668810101212
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ557799111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers66881010121222
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1779911111133
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 288101012122244
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans991111113355
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates10101212224466
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack111111335577
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies121222446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles224466881010
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils335577991111
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans44668810101212
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers557799111111
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ66881010121222
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers779911111133
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 188101012122244
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 2991111113355
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans10101212224466
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates111111335577
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack121222446688
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Culver Academies Culver Academies Samantha Bialek '20 Cady Clark '20
Eagles Sophia Dolan '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [5-8]		 Charlotte Jaqua '20 [1-9]
Carolina Jimenez '21 [10]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Christiana Scheibner '19 [1-10] Carly Orhan '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Anna Carron '21 [7-8]
Blue Devils Emma Turner '19 Audrey Whitaker '19
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 Cj Ricci '20
Romans Julia Fairbank '19 Caroline Creamer '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Lexi Chigas '22 [1-10] Angelina Simon '20 [1-6]
Grace Beard '21 [7-10]
Ramblers Bridget Falkenhayn '19 [1-10] Grace Beard '21 [1-6]
Angelina Simon '20 [7-10]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Jenna Kozal '20 Alex Acosta '20
MUDJ Marina Lamphier '20 Dayton Mcgrail '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Annika Irene '19
Skippers Rita Usmanova '19 [1-10] Sophia Rey '19 [1-4, 9-10]
Susie Foster '19 [5-8]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Anna Mcbride '20 Izzy Cox '19
Trevian 1 Alex Adams '20 Sammy Stoeber '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Paris Levin '20 Moriah Hirsh '20
Trevian 2 Casey Bertocchi '22 Sarah Trunsky '21
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 [1-10] Tyra Pranger '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-6]
Spartans Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-10] Louise Rosenbaum '20 [1-6]
Mei Vickery '21 [7-10]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Maggie Swasey '19 Lilly Milius '22
Pirates Margot Dugan '20 Ellie Milius '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Caroline Sandoval '19 Olivia Schmitt '22
Wolfpack Kate Crannell '20 Cristina Dombrowski '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Liliana Taub '19 Aviva Kaplan '20
Grizzlies Alessandra Torres '20 Asha Baddi '20

Conditions — 09/15/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →