VISA CCS Leukemia Cup JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 7 7
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 11 11
3 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 21 21
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 22 22
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 25 25
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 25 25
7 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 29 29
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 31 31
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 32 32
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 38 38
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 39 39
12 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 45 45
13 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 52 52
14 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 55 55
15 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 57 57
16 Bethel High School Bethel High School Bethel 59 59
17 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 67 67
18 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 80 80
19 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 80 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 3 1 1 2 7 Henry Allgeier '23
Rachael Buchanan '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 2 2 1 11 Rebecca Schill '23
Carrie Collenberg '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 4 8 5 4 21 Chase Brewer '22 [1-4]
Barrett Wise '23 [1-2, 4]
Logan Barker '21 [3]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 10 3 4 5 22 Charlie Britt '21
Marin Soderberg '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 5 10 9 25 Daniel Hager '24 [1-2]
Parker Moore '25 [3-4]
Olivia Slade '22 [1-2]
Liam Ambrosino '23 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 8 7 7 3 25 George Minton '23
Kaleb Murks '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 14 6 3 6 29 William Green '23 [1-4]
Clara Murphy '23 [1]
Collin Tharp '25 [2-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 2 4 14 11 31 Sean Trudell '24 [1-2]
Connor Mccarty '21 [3-4]
Ben Powell '22 [1-2]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 7 11 6 8 32 Mary Archer Connors '24
Travis Cazares '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 5 12 8 13 38 Grace Watlington '22 [1-4]
Mathilde Roget '21 [1-2, 4]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 9 14 9 7 39 Claire Dicarlo '22
Olivia Gilmore '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 15 9 11 10 45 Emily Britt '23 [1-2]
Lane Kilduff '25 [3-4]
Gabby Cloe '24 [1-2]
Jack Carson '22 [3-4]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 11 15 12 14 52 Joshua Morris '23
Jack Pflika '22
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 13 13 13 16 55 Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-3]
Emily Britt '23 [4]
Katherine Cason '20 [1-3]
Gabby Cloe '24 [4]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 12 17 16 12 57 Mike Laccheo '23
Cameron Pellie '21
Bethel High School Bethel High School Bethel 17 10 17 15 59 Molly Hanson '22 [1-2]
Peyton Crum '23 [3-4]
Theo Dennis '24 [1-2]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 16 16 15 DNS 67 Patty Wei '20
Weichen Zhao '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 80 Gabriel De Ruyn Belsol '20
Lawrence Shih '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 80 Braxton Galleher '20
Jackson Chilton '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bethel High SchoolBethel High School Bethel1111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 12222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 23333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 34444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets5555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators6666
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 17777
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 28888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 19999
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bethel High School Bethel High School Bethel Molly Hanson '22 [1-2]
Peyton Crum '23 [3-4]
Theo Dennis '24 [1-2]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 Patty Wei '20 Weichen Zhao '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 Gabriel De Ruyn Belsol '20 Lawrence Shih '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 Braxton Galleher '20 Jackson Chilton '22
Granby High School Granby High School Comets Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-3]
Emily Britt '23 [4]
Katherine Cason '20 [1-3]
Gabby Cloe '24 [4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators Daniel Hager '24 [1-2]
Parker Moore '25 [3-4]
Olivia Slade '22 [1-2]
Liam Ambrosino '23 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 Emily Britt '23 [1-2]
Lane Kilduff '25 [3-4]
Gabby Cloe '24 [1-2]
Jack Carson '22 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 Sean Trudell '24 [1-2]
Connor Mccarty '21 [3-4]
Ben Powell '22 [1-2]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Henry Allgeier '23 Rachael Buchanan '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Rebecca Schill '23 Carrie Collenberg '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Charlie Britt '21 Marin Soderberg '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 William Green '23 [1-4] Clara Murphy '23 [1]
Collin Tharp '25 [2-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Mary Archer Connors '24 Travis Cazares '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 George Minton '23 Kaleb Murks '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Chase Brewer '22 [1-4] Barrett Wise '23 [1-2, 4]
Logan Barker '21 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Grace Watlington '22 [1-4] Mathilde Roget '21 [1-2, 4]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 Claire Dicarlo '22 Olivia Gilmore '23
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 Mike Laccheo '23 Cameron Pellie '21
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 Joshua Morris '23 Jack Pflika '22

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.2 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From N (2°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1022.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christchurch: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →