2020 Rose Bowl - High School Silver

HostUSC - US Sailing Center-Long Beach, CA
Date01/04/2020
TypeNational Invitational
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	61	19	80
2		The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	27	95	122
3		Coronado Islanders	Nado	74	54	128
4		Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	50	81	131
5		Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	89	70	159
6		Parker	Parker	74	90	164
7		St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	50	117	167
8		The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	107	60	167
9		Acalanes High School	Dons	112	61	173
10		Bruins	Bruins	95 MRP	80 MRP	175 MRP
11		Redwood High School	Giants	50	135	185
12		The Urban School	Blues	109	79	188
13		Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	116	81	197
14		Olympia High School	Bears	137	101	238
15		New West Charter	Eagles	80	162	242
16		College Park High School	Falcons	127	136	263
17		Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	127	136	263
18		Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	146	131	277
19		Sir Francis Drake High School	Pirates	164	134	298
20		Granada High School	Matadors	164	136	300
21	$Ryūjin Dragon$	Ryūjin Dragon	Ryūjin Dragon	160 MRP	158 MRP	318 MRP

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	6	4	2	3	1	4	4	1	2	27	Cody Lamoreux '23 Colette Lee '21
	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	1	9	11	6	8	1	8	3	3	50	Wyatt Harley '21 Cora Star '22
	Redwood High School	Giants	5	3	8	1	10	11	5	6	1	50	Cooper Smith '22 Annika Burns '23
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	7	7	1	4	3	7	7	7	7	50	Johnny Perkins '21 Audrey Whitney '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	4	5	18	8	4	3	1	4	14	61	Jean Wanlass '21 [1-6] Sophia Devling '22 [7-9] Kenny Wanlass '23 [1-6]
	Parker	Parker	8	11	3	12	20	2	3	2	13	74	Gabriel Campbell '22 Carson Keyes '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	10	2	4	13	2	5	20	12	6	74	Mercy Tangredi '21 Jay Sullivan '23
	New West Charter	Eagles	21	8	5	7	9	12	9	5	4	80	Matei Meglic '22 Dakota Bartley '22
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	13	10	7	10	7	6	13	8	15	89	Josh Goldberg '21 Teddy Knobel '21
	Bruins	Bruins	2	1	10	2	11	15	11	11	12	95 MRP
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	19	12	13	5	5	9	19	9	16	107	Fredrick Baldauf '20 [1-9] Charlotte Navin '20 [1-4, 9] Amanda Yolles '22 [5-8]
	The Urban School	Blues	3	14	19	11	6	20	10	16	10	109	Eli Gordon '20 Dinah Luomanen '21
	Acalanes High School	Dons	14	6	16	14	14	13	12	18	5	112	Chase Englehart '22 [1-9] Sophia Browne '20 [1-4, 7-8] Lia Reilly '21 [5-6] Lola Rao '20 [9]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	18	15	9	9	12	18	14	13	8	116	Timmy Gee '20 Tatem Gee '23
	College Park High School	Falcons	9	20	14	19	13	8	18	15	11	127	Nate Holden '21 Annika Altman '22
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	15	13	15	15	15	14	6	14	20	127	Sean Mcdermott '22 [1-9] Maura Darby '21 [1-8] Alejandra Ternero '23 [9]
	Olympia High School	Bears	16	16	12	20	17	21	16	10	9	137	Erin Pamplin '20 Hannah Fritz '22
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	12	18	6	16	21	17	17	21	18	146	Mason Kaplan '20 Landon Rheuark '20
$Ryūjin Dragon$	Ryūjin Dragon	Ryūjin Dragon	11	19	21	18	19	10	2	19	21	160 MRP
	Granada High School	Matadors	17	21	17	17	18	19	21	17	17	164	Peter Marlett '20 Jacob Bauman '22
	Sir Francis Drake High School	Pirates	20	17	20	21	16	16	15	20	19	164	Elsa Simenstad '21 Ian Mendius '22

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	2	2	1	3	1	1	6	2	1	19	Jack Roman '22 [1-6, 9] Michael Gaffney '21 [7-8] David Garcia '21 [1-6, 9] Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '22 [7-8]
	Coronado Islanders	Nado	10	7	2	4	5	9	2	7	8	54	Lina Carper '23 Celine Song '23
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	6	9	BKD	6	8	5	7	5	7	60	Luke Froeb '21 Derek Kuno-Williams '20
	Acalanes High School	Dons	1	1	6	1	6	10	1	15	20	61	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-9] Lola Rao '20 [1-4] Jenna Englehart '24 [5-6] Zach Robb '23 [7-9]
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	4	3	9	10	16	7	8	3	10	70	Michael Mcculloch '21 Elias Wu '23
	The Urban School	Blues	16	10	3	9	14	3	9	13	2	79	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-2, 7-8] Tucker Lamoreux '23 [3-6, 9] Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 7-8] Christopher Mullen '21 [3-6, 9]
	Bruins	Bruins	8	11	4	2	4	15	4	8	4	80 MRP
	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	5	6	7	14	19	12	12	1	5	81	Jemma Schroder '20 Zoe Flemate '21
	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	9	4	13	15	12	8	3	11	6	81	Cecily Marden '21 Kate Robbins '21
	Parker	Parker	3	5	10	7	13	19	21	9	3	90	Shea Mcgrath '23 [1-4, 7-9] Mikk Sanborn '22 [5-6] Carolyn Kravets '21 [1-4, 7-9]
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	11	8	14	5	18	13	11	4	11	95	Leo Sabhorwal '20 Zoe Shane '20
	Olympia High School	Bears	20	20	8	13	10	2	5	10	13	101	Hatcher Cox '21 Caleb Roberts '22
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	14	18	5	20	3	14	10	14	19	117	Daria Terebilo '20 [1-2, 9] Nick Nazzall '21 [3-8] Paul Ikeda '20 [1-4, 7-8] Daria Terebilo '20 [5-6] Nick Nazzall '21 [9]
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	15	15	17	18	17	4	19	12	14	131	Lawrence Braslow '20 Nicholas Stagnaro '20
	Sir Francis Drake High School	Pirates	17	14	18	12	9	16	13	20	15	134	Aj Mckeon '23 Luc Burkhart '20
	Redwood High School	Giants	13	16	DSQ	19	15	11	14	16	9	135	Finbar Mckemey '20 Allison Lee '23
	College Park High School	Falcons	7	21	19	11	2	21	16	21	18	136	Jack Holden '22 [1-9] Josh Botting '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Botting '21 [3-4, 7-9]
	Granada High School	Matadors	18	12	15	16	11	6	18	18	DNF	136	Rebecca Bauman '20 Joseph Marlett '23
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	19	19	11	21	7	17	20	6	16	136	Carolina Ternero '22 [1-9] Casey Krupinsky '21 [1-6] Isabella Mccormick '22 [7-9]
$Ryūjin Dragon$	Ryūjin Dragon	Ryūjin Dragon	12	17	16	8	21	20	15	17	12	158 MRP
	New West Charter	Eagles	21	13	20	17	20	18	17	19	17	162	Isabelle Fisher '22 Lucas Devega '22

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.210+0.21

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
	Acalanes High School Dons	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37	39
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38	40
	College Park High School Falcons	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39	41
	Coronado Islanders Nado	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40	42
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41	43
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42	44
	Parker Parker	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49	51
	Granada High School Matadors	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43	45
	Bruins Bruins	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45	47
	New West Charter Eagles	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46	48
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47	49
	Olympia High School Bears	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48	50
	Redwood High School Giants	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	31
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51	32
$Ryūjin Dragon$	Ryūjin Dragon Ryūjin Dragon	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44	46
	Sir Francis Drake High School Pirates	46	46	48	48	50	50	31	31	33
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	47	47	49	49	51	51	32	32	34
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	48	48	50	50	31	31	33	33	35
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	49	49	51	51	32	32	34	34	36
	The Urban School Blues	50	50	31	31	33	33	35	35	37
	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	51	51	32	32	34	34	36	36	38

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B
	Acalanes High School Dons	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38	40
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39	41
	College Park High School Falcons	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40	42
	Coronado Islanders Nado	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41	43
	Design Tech High School d.tech 1	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42	44
	Design Tech High School d.tech 2	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43	45
	Parker Parker	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	31
	Granada High School Matadors	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44	46
	Bruins Bruins	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46	48
	New West Charter Eagles	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47	49
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48	50
	Olympia High School Bears	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49	51
	Redwood High School Giants	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51	32
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	46	46	48	48	50	50	31	31	33
$Ryūjin Dragon$	Ryūjin Dragon Ryūjin Dragon	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45	47
	Sir Francis Drake High School Pirates	47	47	49	49	51	51	32	32	34
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	48	48	50	50	31	31	33	33	35
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	49	49	51	51	32	32	34	34	36
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	50	50	31	31	33	33	35	35	37
	The Urban School Blues	51	51	32	32	34	34	36	36	38
	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37	39

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Chase Englehart '22 [1-9]	Sophia Browne '20 [1-4, 7-8] Lia Reilly '21 [5-6] Lola Rao '20 [9]
Dons	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-9]	Lola Rao '20 [1-4] Jenna Englehart '24 [5-6] Zach Robb '23 [7-9]
Cathedral Catholic High School	Sean Mcdermott '22 [1-9]	Maura Darby '21 [1-8] Alejandra Ternero '23 [9]
Dons	Carolina Ternero '22 [1-9]	Casey Krupinsky '21 [1-6] Isabella Mccormick '22 [7-9]
College Park High School	Nate Holden '21	Annika Altman '22
Falcons	Jack Holden '22 [1-9]	Josh Botting '23 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Botting '21 [3-4, 7-9]
Coronado Islanders	Mercy Tangredi '21	Jay Sullivan '23
Nado	Lina Carper '23	Celine Song '23
Design Tech High School	Josh Goldberg '21	Teddy Knobel '21
d.tech 1	Michael Mcculloch '21	Elias Wu '23
Design Tech High School	Timmy Gee '20	Tatem Gee '23
d.tech 2	Jemma Schroder '20	Zoe Flemate '21
Granada High School	Peter Marlett '20	Jacob Bauman '22
Matadors	Rebecca Bauman '20	Joseph Marlett '23
New West Charter	Matei Meglic '22	Dakota Bartley '22
Eagles	Isabelle Fisher '22	Lucas Devega '22
Newport Harbor High School	Jean Wanlass '21 [1-6] Sophia Devling '22 [7-9]	Kenny Wanlass '23 [1-6]
Sailors	Jack Roman '22 [1-6, 9] Michael Gaffney '21 [7-8]	David Garcia '21 [1-6, 9] Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '22 [7-8]
Olympia High School	Erin Pamplin '20	Hannah Fritz '22
Bears	Hatcher Cox '21	Caleb Roberts '22
Parker	Gabriel Campbell '22	Carson Keyes '21
Parker	Shea Mcgrath '23 [1-4, 7-9] Mikk Sanborn '22 [5-6]	Carolyn Kravets '21 [1-4, 7-9]
Redwood High School	Cooper Smith '22	Annika Burns '23
Giants	Finbar Mckemey '20	Allison Lee '23
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Mason Kaplan '20	Landon Rheuark '20
Huskies	Lawrence Braslow '20	Nicholas Stagnaro '20
Sir Francis Drake High School	Elsa Simenstad '21	Ian Mendius '22
Pirates	Aj Mckeon '23	Luc Burkhart '20
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Johnny Perkins '21	Audrey Whitney '22
Wildcats	Daria Terebilo '20 [1-2, 9] Nick Nazzall '21 [3-8]	Paul Ikeda '20 [1-4, 7-8] Daria Terebilo '20 [5-6] Nick Nazzall '21 [9]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Fredrick Baldauf '20 [1-9]	Charlotte Navin '20 [1-4, 9] Amanda Yolles '22 [5-8]
Breakers 1	Luke Froeb '21	Derek Kuno-Williams '20
The Bay School of San Francisco	Cody Lamoreux '23	Colette Lee '21
Breakers 2	Leo Sabhorwal '20	Zoe Shane '20
The Urban School	Eli Gordon '20	Dinah Luomanen '21
Blues	J.P. Murphy '21 [1-2, 7-8] Tucker Lamoreux '23 [3-6, 9]	Anna Krylova '20 [1-2, 7-8] Christopher Mullen '21 [3-6, 9]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Wyatt Harley '21	Cora Star '22
Grizzlies	Cecily Marden '21	Kate Robbins '21

Conditions — 01/04/2020 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 72% · Pressure 1026.5 hPa

Temperature

57°F

↑ 64°F ↓ 43°F

Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

2.8 kn

avg · max 5.7 kn

Gusts to 8.7 kn

From WNW (282°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1026.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at USC - US Sailing Center-Long Beach, CA: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at USC - US Sailing Center-Long Beach, CA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at USC - US Sailing Center-Long Beach, CA: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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