Arnold Brown Regatta

HostMVRHS SAIL MV
Date09/28/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	36	16	52
2	Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	41	13	54
3	Lincoln Academy	Eagles	27	33	60
4	Barrington High School	Eagles	33	37	70
5	Moses Brown School	Quakers	27	48	75
6	Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	24	52	76
7	Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	34	44	78
8	Barnstable HS	Raiders	46	35	81
9	Portland High School	Bulldogs	54	42	96
10	Burlington High School	Seahorse	63	80	143
11	Litchfield High School	Cowboys	83	72	155
12	Forman School	Lions	83	82	165

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	4	5	2	1	2	8	2	24	Hannah Freeman '20 Ryan Clark '21
Moses Brown School	Quakers	5	1	1	3	4	9	4	27	Henry Lee '20 Talia Levine '22
Lincoln Academy	Eagles	7	6	7	4	1	1	1	27	Hamilton Barclay '23 Alton Coolidge '22
Barrington High School	Eagles	3	2	4	7	5	4	8	33	Charles Kreuzkamp '20 [1-6] Gus Macaulay '23 [7] Olin Guck '22 [1-4, 7] Nolan Gaus '23 [5-6]
Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	2	7	9	5	6	2	3	34	Isaac Goldman '20 Tyler Davis '23
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	1	4	3	9	7	6	6	36	Miles Wolff '22 [1-4, 7] Zach Ward '21 [5-6] Henry Kyburg Abbott '22 [1-4] Trent Bilodeau '21 [5-7]
Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	BKD	10	6	8	3	3	5	41	Jack Dalton '21 Anders Kearney '20
Barnstable HS	Raiders	6	3	DSQ	2	8	7	7	46	Taylor Eastman '20 [1-7] Hannah Roderick '20 [1-6] Morgan Contrino '20 [7]
Portland High School	Bulldogs	8	8	5	6	9	10	BKD	54	Eva Ermlich '22 Jondall Norris '20
Burlington High School	Seahorse	10	9	8	12	10	5	9	63	Julia Shannon-Grillo '20 Anna Huener '21
Forman School	Lions	11	11	11	11	DNF	DNF	DNS	83	Joel Puckett '21 Alexandra Borkov '20
Litchfield High School	Cowboys	12	12	10	10	DNF	DNF	DNS	83	Ronan Tenney '20 Sam Richardson '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Marblehead High School	Fishwagons	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	13	Niall Kearney '22 Magdelaina Putnam '20
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Vineyarders	1	1	2	3	4	3	2	16	Joe Serpa '20 Abigail Hammerlund '20
Lincoln Academy	Eagles	7	DSQ	4	2	2	2	3	33	Ella Beauregard '21 Andrea Gutierrez '20
Barnstable HS	Raiders	4	5	7	5	3	4	7	35	Margo Silliman '20 [1-3, 5-7] Joshua Hersey '20 [4] Morgan Contrino '20 [1-2] Joshua Hersey '20 [3, 5-7] Margo Silliman '20 [4]
Barrington High School	Eagles	6	2	5	7	6	6	5	37	Josh Dillon '21 [1-7] Gus Macaulay '23 [1-2] Peter Birch '22 [3-4] Brenden Jay '23 [5-7]
Portland High School	Bulldogs	3	4	3	6	8	10	8	42	Gavin Sanborn '21 Lucy Kilbreth '20
Champlain VUHS	Red Hawks	8	6	9	4	5	8	4	44	Nigel Wormser '21 Aaron Mcnally '20
Moses Brown School	Quakers	2	7	6	8	9	7	9	48	Greta Shuster '21 [1-7] Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-4] Charlotte Bromberg '20 [5-7]
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	9	8	8	9	7	5	6	52	Rowan Schanley '20 Anna Brzezinski '23
Litchfield High School	Cowboys	10	9	12	12	10	9	10	72	Effie Saltourides '22 Olivia Orghanski '22
Burlington High School	Seahorse	11	10	11	11	11	DNS	DNS	80	Lazlo Snyder '23 Greta Gibson '21
Forman School	Lions	12	11	10	10	DNS	DNS	DNS	82	Kieran Maynard '22 Jason Bucciarelli '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.190+0.19

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Barnstable HS Raiders	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Barrington High School Eagles	2	2	12	12	10	10	8
Burlington High School Seahorse	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Champlain VUHS Red Hawks	4	4	2	2	12	12	10
Forman School Lions	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Lincoln Academy Eagles	6	6	4	4	2	2	12
Litchfield High School Cowboys	7	7	9	9	11	11	1
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	8	8	6	6	4	4	2
Marblehead High School Fishwagons	9	9	11	11	1	1	3
Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders	10	10	8	8	6	6	4
Moses Brown School Quakers	11	11	1	1	3	3	5
Portland High School Bulldogs	12	12	10	10	8	8	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Barnstable HS Raiders	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Barrington High School Eagles	1	1	11	11	9	9	7
Burlington High School Seahorse	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Champlain VUHS Red Hawks	3	3	1	1	11	11	9
Forman School Lions	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Lincoln Academy Eagles	5	5	3	3	1	1	11
Litchfield High School Cowboys	8	8	10	10	12	12	2
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	7	7	5	5	3	3	1
Marblehead High School Fishwagons	10	10	12	12	2	2	4
Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders	9	9	7	7	5	5	3
Moses Brown School Quakers	12	12	2	2	4	4	6
Portland High School Bulldogs	11	11	9	9	7	7	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Barnstable HS	Taylor Eastman '20 [1-7]	Hannah Roderick '20 [1-6] Morgan Contrino '20 [7]
Raiders	Margo Silliman '20 [1-3, 5-7] Joshua Hersey '20 [4]	Morgan Contrino '20 [1-2] Joshua Hersey '20 [3, 5-7] Margo Silliman '20 [4]
Barrington High School	Charles Kreuzkamp '20 [1-6] Gus Macaulay '23 [7]	Olin Guck '22 [1-4, 7] Nolan Gaus '23 [5-6]
Eagles	Josh Dillon '21 [1-7]	Gus Macaulay '23 [1-2] Peter Birch '22 [3-4] Brenden Jay '23 [5-7]
Burlington High School	Julia Shannon-Grillo '20	Anna Huener '21
Seahorse	Lazlo Snyder '23	Greta Gibson '21
Champlain VUHS	Isaac Goldman '20	Tyler Davis '23
Red Hawks	Nigel Wormser '21	Aaron Mcnally '20
Forman School	Joel Puckett '21	Alexandra Borkov '20
Lions	Kieran Maynard '22	Jason Bucciarelli '23
Lincoln Academy	Hamilton Barclay '23	Alton Coolidge '22
Eagles	Ella Beauregard '21	Andrea Gutierrez '20
Litchfield High School	Ronan Tenney '20	Sam Richardson '20
Cowboys	Effie Saltourides '22	Olivia Orghanski '22
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hannah Freeman '20	Ryan Clark '21
Hornets	Rowan Schanley '20	Anna Brzezinski '23
Marblehead High School	Jack Dalton '21	Anders Kearney '20
Fishwagons	Niall Kearney '22	Magdelaina Putnam '20
Marthas Vineyard RHS	Miles Wolff '22 [1-4, 7] Zach Ward '21 [5-6]	Henry Kyburg Abbott '22 [1-4] Trent Bilodeau '21 [5-7]
Vineyarders	Joe Serpa '20	Abigail Hammerlund '20
Moses Brown School	Henry Lee '20	Talia Levine '22
Quakers	Greta Shuster '21 [1-7]	Olivia Rocchio-Giordano '21 [1-4] Charlotte Bromberg '20 [5-7]
Portland High School	Eva Ermlich '22	Jondall Norris '20
Bulldogs	Gavin Sanborn '21	Lucy Kilbreth '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Arnold Brown Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes