Foundry #1

HostThe Historic Coast Guard Station
Date09/14/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	28	8	36
2	Westerville North High School	Warriors	38	24	62
3	Bay High School	Varsity 1	10	68	78
4	Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Mixed	48	44	92
5	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	65	35	100
6	Bay High School	Varsity 2	79	27	106
7	St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 3	40	72	112
8	Olentangy Liberty High School	Patriots	40	77	117
9	Avon High School	Mixed	53	68	121
10	New Albany High School	Eagles	95	45	140
11	Rocky River High School	Pirates	83	64	147
12	Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	83	107	190
13	Bishop Watterson	Mixed	79	115	194
14	Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	113	97	210
15	New Albany High School	Mixed	126	110	236
16	Olentangy High School	Braves	108	128	236

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Bay High School	Varsity 1	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	10	Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ashley Almquist '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	4	4	2	4	5	3	1	5	28	Will Carroll '21 Charles Pohl '22
Westerville North High School	Warriors	3	2	5	8	4	4	5	7	38	Nadia Reynolds '20 Maeve Ginty '20
Olentangy Liberty High School	Patriots	5	7	4	1	3	6	3	11	40	Emma Friedauer '23 William Bruner '23
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 3	7	9	9	3	2	2	4	4	40	Jp Wynne '20 Ethan Fisher '22
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Mixed	2	6	3	9	7	7	8	6	48	Brady Starck '24 [1-2, 5-8] Michaela O'Donnell '20 [3-4] Michaela O'Donnell '20 [1-2, 5-6] Brady Starck '24 [3-4] Buck Rathbun '24 [7-8]
Avon High School	Mixed	8	14	7	5	6	5	6	2	53	Iain Mcsweeney '20 [1-8] Evan Mcsweeney '24 [1-2] Annette Breton '22 [3-8]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	10	13	8	7	8	9	7	3	65	Jp Starck '20 [1-8] Andrew Coviello '22 [1-6] Max Movius '24 [7-8]
Bishop Watterson	Mixed	6	3	12	11	15	11	12	9	79	Ben Keller '21 Sofia Ely '22
Bay High School	Varsity 2	12	10	10	10	9	10	10	8	79	Robert Mansuetto '21 Kellie Keane '24
Rocky River High School	Pirates	11	5	13	13	14	8	9	10	83	Bill Lazarro '22 Blair Willse '21
Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	13	8	6	6	11	14	11	14	83	Jamie Touzinsky '20 Emma Hutchings '22
New Albany High School	Eagles	9	12	11	14	10	13	14	12	95	Collier Ellis '21 Ali Housteau '23
Olentangy High School	Braves	16	11	14	12	13	16	13	13	108	Kyle Berkey '23 Alec Kingsley '22
Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	14	15	15	15	12	12	15	15	113	Mallory Dietsch '23 Kassidy Kennedy '22
New Albany High School	Mixed	15	16	16	16	16	15	16	16	126	Joey Weigand '22 Dominik Catrone '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	8	Spencer Barnes '20 Joe Lavelle '23
Westerville North High School	Warriors	3	2	3	2	4	2	4	4	24	Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Bay High School	Varsity 2	2	3	4	3	6	5	2	2	27	Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-8] Annika Vanderhorst '23 [1-6] Kayden Ullom '21 [7-8]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 2	4	6	5	4	2	4	3	7	35	Eric Pohl '22 [1-8] Luke Zidar '23 [1-4] Patrick Wynn '24 [5-8]
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Mixed	6	11	2	5	5	3	9	3	44	Grace Quasebarth '20 Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
New Albany High School	Eagles	8	5	6	7	3	6	5	5	45	Jed Lory '23 Nicholas Robertson '23
Rocky River High School	Pirates	11	8	11	8	7	7	6	6	64	Joey Bonacci '21 Jackie Rosenbaum '21
Bay High School	Varsity 1	5	7	7	6	9	12	11	11	68	Jonathan Mack '22 [1-6] Annika Vanderhorst '23 [7-8] Nolan Naughton '25 [1-6]
Avon High School	Mixed	10	4	9	10	8	10	7	10	68	Charlie Movius '22 [1-8] Isabella Holsman '24 [1-4, 7-8] Evan Mcsweeney '24 [5-6]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Wildcats 3	7	10	10	9	11	9	8	8	72	Will Thornton '20 Gavin Hirz '23
Olentangy Liberty High School	Patriots	9	9	8	12	12	8	10	9	77	Emily Williams '21 Emma Hutchings '22
Toledo Technology Academy	Tigers	15	13	13	11	10	11	12	12	97	Brendan Decator '23 Anshi Pasha '22
Thomas Worthington High School	Mixed	12	14	12	14	13	13	15	14	107	Fisher Howe '21 Cassidy Hopcraft '22
New Albany High School	Mixed	14	12	15	13	16	14	13	13	110	Ben Pennels '23 Jacob Pennels '25
Bishop Watterson	Mixed	13	15	14	15	14	15	14	15	115	John Sullivan '21 Thomas Ellis '22
Olentangy High School	Braves	DNS	16	16	16	15	16	16	16	128	Tyler Berkey '24 Nathan Sanchez-Zarkos '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Avon High School Mixed	1	1	3	3	17	17	7	7
Bay High School Varsity 1	2	2	4	4	18	18	8	8
Bay High School Varsity 2	3	3	17	17	7	7	9	9
Bishop Watterson Mixed	4	4	18	18	8	8	10	10
New Albany High School Eagles	17	17	7	7	9	9	11	11
New Albany High School Mixed	18	18	8	8	10	10	12	12
Olentangy High School Braves	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Rocky River High School Pirates	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1	11	11	13	13	15	15	1	1
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2	12	12	14	14	16	16	2	2
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 3	13	13	15	15	1	1	3	3
Thomas Worthington High School Mixed	14	14	16	16	2	2	4	4
Toledo Technology Academy Tigers	15	15	1	1	3	3	17	17
Westerville North High School Warriors	16	16	2	2	4	4	18	18

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Avon High School Mixed	2	2	4	4	18	18	8	8
Bay High School Varsity 1	3	3	17	17	7	7	9	9
Bay High School Varsity 2	4	4	18	18	8	8	10	10
Bishop Watterson Mixed	17	17	7	7	9	9	11	11
New Albany High School Eagles	18	18	8	8	10	10	12	12
New Albany High School Mixed	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Olentangy High School Braves	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Rocky River High School Pirates	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed	11	11	13	13	15	15	1	1
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 1	12	12	14	14	16	16	2	2
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2	13	13	15	15	1	1	3	3
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 3	14	14	16	16	2	2	4	4
Thomas Worthington High School Mixed	15	15	1	1	3	3	17	17
Toledo Technology Academy Tigers	16	16	2	2	4	4	18	18
Westerville North High School Warriors	1	1	3	3	17	17	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Avon High School	Iain Mcsweeney '20 [1-8]	Evan Mcsweeney '24 [1-2] Annette Breton '22 [3-8]
Mixed	Charlie Movius '22 [1-8]	Isabella Holsman '24 [1-4, 7-8] Evan Mcsweeney '24 [5-6]
Bay High School	Jack Vanderhorst '22	Ashley Almquist '22
Varsity 1	Jonathan Mack '22 [1-6] Annika Vanderhorst '23 [7-8]	Nolan Naughton '25 [1-6]
Bay High School	Robert Mansuetto '21	Kellie Keane '24
Varsity 2	Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-8]	Annika Vanderhorst '23 [1-6] Kayden Ullom '21 [7-8]
Bishop Watterson	Ben Keller '21	Sofia Ely '22
Mixed	John Sullivan '21	Thomas Ellis '22
New Albany High School	Collier Ellis '21	Ali Housteau '23
Eagles	Jed Lory '23	Nicholas Robertson '23
New Albany High School	Joey Weigand '22	Dominik Catrone '23
Mixed	Ben Pennels '23	Jacob Pennels '25
Olentangy High School	Kyle Berkey '23	Alec Kingsley '22
Braves	Tyler Berkey '24	Nathan Sanchez-Zarkos '25
Olentangy Liberty High School	Emma Friedauer '23	William Bruner '23
Patriots	Emily Williams '21	Emma Hutchings '22
Rocky River High School	Bill Lazarro '22	Blair Willse '21
Pirates	Joey Bonacci '21	Jackie Rosenbaum '21
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)	Brady Starck '24 [1-2, 5-8] Michaela O'Donnell '20 [3-4]	Michaela O'Donnell '20 [1-2, 5-6] Brady Starck '24 [3-4] Buck Rathbun '24 [7-8]
Mixed	Grace Quasebarth '20	Marie Genevieve Boushelle '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Will Carroll '21	Charles Pohl '22
Wildcats 1	Spencer Barnes '20	Joe Lavelle '23
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Jp Starck '20 [1-8]	Andrew Coviello '22 [1-6] Max Movius '24 [7-8]
Wildcats 2	Eric Pohl '22 [1-8]	Luke Zidar '23 [1-4] Patrick Wynn '24 [5-8]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH	Jp Wynne '20	Ethan Fisher '22
Wildcats 3	Will Thornton '20	Gavin Hirz '23
Thomas Worthington High School	Jamie Touzinsky '20	Emma Hutchings '22
Mixed	Fisher Howe '21	Cassidy Hopcraft '22
Toledo Technology Academy	Mallory Dietsch '23	Kassidy Kennedy '22
Tigers	Brendan Decator '23	Anshi Pasha '22
Westerville North High School	Nadia Reynolds '20	Maeve Ginty '20
Warriors	Brendon Smucker '21	Sam Heighway '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Foundry #1

Division A

Division B

From the notes