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Lake Max Fall Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 19 12 31
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Mixed 44 56 100
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Blue 29 72 101
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 1 65 44 109
5 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 30 85 115
6 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 34 84 118
7 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange 71 54 125
8 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 61 77 138
9 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 110 37 147
10 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 109 48 157
11 New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 97 65 162
12 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 2 105 63 168
13 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy 83 103 186
14 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 92 105 197
15 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 2 122 88 210
16 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 92 133 225
17 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 141 133 274
18 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 139 145 284
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 2 5 2 5 1 1 1 2 19 Beckett Kumler '20
Ethen Stone '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Blue 1 2 4 6 5 4 3 4 29 Ted Lutton '20
Sammy Stoeber '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 9 4 1 1 3 9 2 1 30 Garrett Cook '20
Sarah Trunsky '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 7 10 3 2 2 2 5 3 34 Wyatt Harley '21
Aviva Kaplan '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Mixed 5 3 6 4 4 8 7 7 44 George Barton '22
Peter Smith '21
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 3 9 8 10 6 7 9 9 61 Luke Goldman '21
Olivia Schmitt '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 1 8 1 9 OCS 7 12 4 5 65 Lars Hansen '20
Cady Clark '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange 4 7 7 3 12 13 6 DNS 71 Cecily Marden '21
Francis Depke '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy 12 8 13 7 10 14 11 8 83 Rem Johannknecht '22
Lucy Harley '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 13 11 5 OCS 8 5 12 DNS 92 Quinn Stevans '23 [1-8]
James Montgomery '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Connor Vannatta '22 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 15 15 10 8 9 6 10 DNS 92 Kate Crannell '20
Liam Anderson '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Green OCS 12 12 9 16 15 8 6 97 Cal Lutton '22
Molly Morris '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 2 6 6 17 11 11 16 DNF DNS 105 Aiden Kress '22
Douglas Rassi '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 11 14 14 14 15 3 DNF DNF 109 Samantha Bialek '20 [1-8]
Mufei Li '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Burke '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 10 16 11 12 13 10 DNS DNS 110 Matt Bussey '20
Oscar Underburg '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 2 14 17 15 13 14 11 DNS DNS 122 Genevieve Huber '21
Elizabeth Flanagan '20
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 16 18 16 15 18 18 DNS DNS 139 Lily Brandt '23
Noah Blake '22
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers OCS 13 18 OCS 17 17 DNS DNS 141 Nicholas Neenan '23
Emily Kollath '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 12 Caleb Barrett '20
Isabelle Kanach '21
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 4 2 2 1 6 DNF 2 1 37 Miles Ford '20
Yonadav Ostrreicher '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 1 6 4 3 5 4 7 10 5 44 Jason Nguyen '22
Tianze Shou '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 3 3 10 3 9 10 4 6 48 Sophia Dolan '22
Charlotte Jaqua '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange 5 5 4 4 12 9 7 8 54 Robert Dazynski '21
Kate Robbins '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Mixed 11 DSQ 6 9 3 2 3 3 56 Stella Roney '21
Quin Doughty '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 2 9 8 7 8 7 12 5 7 63 Pranjal Singh '21
William Booth '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Green 1 DSQ 5 6 1 13 11 9 65 Markus Tam '20
Nate Zweig '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Blue 10 7 11 7 16 3 8 10 72 Ben Lewis '20
Karas Laplante '23
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon 13 9 13 12 15 5 6 4 77 Stefan Anderson '22
Stella Potter '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 12 10 8 11 8 14 9 12 84 Cora Star '22
Kate Gallagher '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 DSQ 9 10 5 6 13 15 85 Dev Shah '23
Will Broseman '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 2 7 6 12 14 11 8 DNF 11 88 Juliet Hare '20
Phoebe Dix '23
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy 14 11 15 13 14 11 12 13 103 Tristan Tucker '22
Natalie Becker-Stevens '22
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold 17 13 14 OCS 10 4 14 14 105 Richie Witzel '23
Norah Buss '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 15 12 16 16 17 DNF DNF DNS 133 Luca Zerega '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Quinti Nguyen '23 [5-6]
Quinti Nguyen '23 [1-2, 7]
Elliot Voneche '23 [3-4, 8]
Luca Zerega '23 [5-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 16 DSQ 17 15 13 15 DNS DNS 133 Natalia Bretones '23
Claude Strnad '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 18 14 DNS DNS 18 DNF DNS DNS 145 Merritt Woolridge '23 [1-8]
Leo Zematis '23 [1-4]
Stella Brown '23 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves11335577
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles22446688
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon 133557799
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon 25577991111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white 14466881010
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white 2668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 1779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 288101012121414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers99111113131515
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Blue1111131315151717
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Green1212141416161818
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Mixed13131515171711
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1010121214141616
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold151517171133
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon14141616181822
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies161618182244
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy1717113355
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves22446688
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles33557799
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon 14466881010
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon 2668810101212
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white 15577991111
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white 2779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 188101012121414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 299111113131515
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1010121214141616
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Blue1212141416161818
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Green13131515171711
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Mixed14141616181822
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1111131315151717
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Gold161618182244
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Maroon151517171133
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1717113355
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Navy1818224466
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Orange11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Lily Brandt '23 Noah Blake '22
Wolves Merritt Woolridge '23 [1-8] Leo Zematis '23 [1-4]
Stella Brown '23 [5-8]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Beckett Kumler '20 Ethen Stone '21
Eagles Caleb Barrett '20 Isabelle Kanach '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Samantha Bialek '20 [1-8] Mufei Li '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Burke '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Eagles maroon 1 Sophia Dolan '22 Charlotte Jaqua '20
Culver Academies Culver Academies Genevieve Huber '21 Elizabeth Flanagan '20
Eagles maroon 2 Juliet Hare '20 Phoebe Dix '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Lars Hansen '20 Cady Clark '20
Eagles white 1 Jason Nguyen '22 Tianze Shou '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Aiden Kress '22 Douglas Rassi '23
Eagles white 2 Pranjal Singh '21 William Booth '22
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Matt Bussey '20 Oscar Underburg '20
Wildkits 1 Miles Ford '20 Yonadav Ostrreicher '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Quinn Stevans '23 [1-8] James Montgomery '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Connor Vannatta '22 [5-6]
Wildkits 2 Luca Zerega '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Quinti Nguyen '23 [5-6]		 Quinti Nguyen '23 [1-2, 7]
Elliot Voneche '23 [3-4, 8]
Luca Zerega '23 [5-6]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Nicholas Neenan '23 Emily Kollath '21
Ramblers Natalia Bretones '23 Claude Strnad '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Ted Lutton '20 Sammy Stoeber '20
Blue Ben Lewis '20 Karas Laplante '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Cal Lutton '22 Molly Morris '21
Green Markus Tam '20 Nate Zweig '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS George Barton '22 Peter Smith '21
Mixed Stella Roney '21 Quin Doughty '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Garrett Cook '20 Sarah Trunsky '21
Trevian Dev Shah '23 Will Broseman '22
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Kate Crannell '20 Liam Anderson '21
Gold Richie Witzel '23 Norah Buss '22
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Luke Goldman '21 Olivia Schmitt '22
Maroon Stefan Anderson '22 Stella Potter '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
Grizzlies Cora Star '22 Kate Gallagher '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Rem Johannknecht '22 Lucy Harley '23
Navy Tristan Tucker '22 Natalie Becker-Stevens '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Cecily Marden '21 Francis Depke '21
Orange Robert Dazynski '21 Kate Robbins '21

Conditions — 09/21/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.2 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SSW (205°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · S 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Culver Academies: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.44 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Culver Academies by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Culver Academies).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →