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Little Daddy #2 NorCal Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 18 18
2 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 20 20
3 Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 22 22
4 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 31 31
5 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 4 33 33
6 Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons 36 36
7 Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 39 39
8 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 50 50
9 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 50 50
10 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 51 51
11 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 59 59
12 Granada High School Granada High School Matadors 59 59
13 College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 1 65 65
14 Athenian Athenian Owls 1 65 65
15 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 67 67
16 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 72 72
17 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 77 77
18 Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners 91 91
19 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 107 107
20 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 1 109 109
21 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 2 111 111
22 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 112 112
23 College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 2 130 130
24 Varsity Varsity Varsity 150 MRP 150 MRP
25 Athenian Athenian Owls 2 150 MRP 150 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 2 2 8 2 4 18 Ryan Marquess '22
Betty Ng '20
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 7 4 1 3 5 20 Gage Bradford '20
Luc Dupreez '23
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 5 6 4 4 3 22 James Scherr '20
Olin King '22
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 6 3 2 11 9 31 Tucker Lamoreux '23
Christopher Mullen '21
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 4 3 11 11 1 7 33 Hailey Thompson '23
Katherine Norris '22
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons 15 5 7 7 2 36 Christopher Hopkins '21
Alec Smith '23
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates 11 9 3 10 6 39 Jt Long '21
Kees Horn '21
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 4 13 DSQ 6 1 50 Finbar Mckemey '20
Reid Willens '22
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 9 18 6 9 8 50 Michael Mcculloch '21
Josh Goldberg '21
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 8 15 13 5 10 51 Alexander Nunez '20
Dennis O'Donnell '20
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 1 5 DNS DNS 59 Dylan Wondolleck '23
Miles Murphy '23
Granada High School Granada High School Matadors 14 7 14 12 12 59 Rebecca Bauman '20
Jacob Bauman '22
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 1 12 14 18 8 13 65 Nate Holden '21
Brooks Knuckles '23
Athenian Athenian Owls 1 19 10 10 15 11 65 Annie Chan '21
Suzie Myles '21
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 18 12 9 14 14 67 Jim Young '23
Mungo Mckemey '23
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 13 16 12 16 15 72 Kyle Nguyen '24
Lily Imani '20
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 10 8 16 17 DNS 77 Lilly Horri '22
Yasmin Horri '23
Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners 20 17 15 13 DNS 91 Ximena Greatorex '21
Kate Wolsfeld '21
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 17 19 19 DNS DNS 107 Teddy Knobel '21
Saahil Kapoor '23
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 1 16 20 21 DNS DNS 109 Sara Govert '22
Diego Jerez '20
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 2 21 21 17 DNF DNS 111 Jacob Hsia '22
Mark Hsia '24
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 22 DNS 20 18 DNS 112 Chas Mitchell '22 [1-5]
Chrissy Teodoro '23 [1-2]
Annika Burns '23 [3-5]
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 130 Jack Holden '22
Annika Altman '22
Varsity Varsity Varsity DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 150 MRP
Athenian Athenian Owls 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 150 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets4949494949
Amador ValleyAmador Valley Dons4141414141
Aptos High SchoolAptos High School Mariners102102102102102
College Park High SchoolCollege Park High School Falcons 15050505050
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs1010101010
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 14040404040
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 23939393939
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets4242424242
Granada High SchoolGranada High School Matadors148148148148148
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Pirates106106106106106
Lick-Wilmerding High SchoolLick-Wilmerding High School Tigers55555
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors5151515151
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity 14545454545
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity 24848484848
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1121121121121121
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2122122122122122
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 3123123123123123
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 4124124124124124
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 19797979797
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 29898989898
AthenianAthenian Owls 14343434343
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues66666
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets Dylan Wondolleck '23 Miles Murphy '23
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons Christopher Hopkins '21 Alec Smith '23
Aptos High School Aptos High School Mariners Ximena Greatorex '21 Kate Wolsfeld '21
Athenian Athenian Owls 1 Annie Chan '21 Suzie Myles '21
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 1 Nate Holden '21 Brooks Knuckles '23
College Park High School College Park High School Falcons 2 Jack Holden '22 Annika Altman '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs Alexander Nunez '20 Dennis O'Donnell '20
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 Michael Mcculloch '21 Josh Goldberg '21
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 Teddy Knobel '21 Saahil Kapoor '23
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets Kyle Nguyen '24 Lily Imani '20
Granada High School Granada High School Matadors Rebecca Bauman '20 Jacob Bauman '22
Harbor High School Harbor High School Pirates Jt Long '21 Kees Horn '21
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers James Scherr '20 Olin King '22
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors Lilly Horri '22 Yasmin Horri '23
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 1 Sara Govert '22 Diego Jerez '20
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 2 Jacob Hsia '22 Mark Hsia '24
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 Jim Young '23 Mungo Mckemey '23
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 Finbar Mckemey '20 Reid Willens '22
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 Chas Mitchell '22 [1-5] Chrissy Teodoro '23 [1-2]
Annika Burns '23 [3-5]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 4 Hailey Thompson '23 Katherine Norris '22
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 Gage Bradford '20 Luc Dupreez '23
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 Ryan Marquess '22 Betty Ng '20
The Urban School The Urban School Blues Tucker Lamoreux '23 Christopher Mullen '21

Conditions — 09/29/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Albany: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Albany by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Albany, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →