Navigate

MDISA Season Opener

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 10 9 19
2 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 15 20 35
3 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 43 32 75
4 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 49 36 85
5 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 55 31 86
6 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 37 50 87
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 61 50 111
8 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 68 52 120
9 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 64 57 121
10 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 61 63 124
11 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 61 78 139
12 Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 67 79 146
13 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 68 90 158
14 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 77 89 166
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 10 No Show
No Show
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 1 1 3 2 4 2 2 15 Colman Schofield '21
Matthew Boothby '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 6 6 7 9 2 4 3 37 Tyler Egeli '20
Emily Williams '20
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 5 13 2 8 3 8 4 43 Olivia Sowa '20
Braedon Myers '20
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 11 7 10 7 5 3 6 49 Anna Groszkowski '22
Ty Ryan '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 8 3 8 11 13 5 7 55 Nick Budington '21 [1-2, 7]
Friso Grolleman '20 [3-6]
Liam Gronda '21 [1-2, 7]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 8 12 3 12 14 10 61 Morgan Carew '21
Lucien Parker '20
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 4 9 11 10 9 9 9 61 Bryce Ricewoolf '20
Rachel O'Neil '20
Towson High School Towson High School Generals OCS 5 4 5 7 13 12 61 Will Dryer '20
Izzy Wu '22
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 7 4 5 12 11 11 14 64 Aidan Young '20
No Show
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 12 11 6 13 10 10 5 67 Sam Rifkind-Brown '21
Phoebe Pressler '21
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 10 12 9 6 14 6 11 68 No Show
No Show
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 13 10 13 4 8 7 13 68 Blake Vogel '22
Conner Scuillo '22
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 9 14 14 14 6 12 8 77 Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-7]
Kaitlyn Brouillette '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Abigail Cosgrove '22 [3-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 9 No Show
No Show
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 6 1 2 2 2 3 4 20 Conrad Schofield '23
William Bernhardt '21
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 4 5 4 3 6 2 7 31 Matt Budington '21 [1-7]
Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Anna Grolleman '22 [3-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 3 3 5 5 7 6 3 32 Lucy Paskoff '20 [1-4]
Lochlann Ludwig '21 [5-7]
Clare Greenwell '23 [1-4]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 11 3 4 3 5 1 36 Griffin Richardson '21 [1-2]
Ava Farley '22 [3-7]
Joaquin Marquez '21 [1-2]
Griffin Richardson '21 [3-7]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 9 7 8 8 4 9 50 Audrey Commerford '21
Makenna Labor '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 6 9 6 10 7 5 50 Jonjon Weed '22 [1-7]
Lily Newman '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Will Harding '22 [3-4]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 8 8 6 7 9 8 6 52 Connor Vogel '20
Olivia Yazigi '20
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 2 4 8 12 14 9 8 57 No Show
Caden Meuller '21
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 10 7 11 9 4 11 11 63 Reese Meyers '23
Tate Bothner '20
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 12 13 10 10 11 12 10 78 Josh Powell '22 [1-7]
Beatrice Bello '22 [1-2]
Vaughan Hood '20 [3-7]
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day 14 10 12 DSQ 5 10 13 79 Ben Joseph '21
Eli Perl '21
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 14 13 11 12 14 14 89 Brady Kinslow '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Timothy Dixon '20 [3-4]
Matt Getson '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Jillian Downey '20 [3-4]
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 13 12 14 13 13 13 12 90 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1133557
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron7799111113
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins2244668
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day881010121214
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds99111113131
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets3355779
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders44668810
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals141422446
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks55779911
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights6688101012
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1010121214142
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates12121414224
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity11111313113
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots131311335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244666
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron881010121212
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3355777
Georgetown Day SchoolGeorgetown Day School Georgetown Day991111131313
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds10101212141414
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets4466888
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders5577999
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1133555
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks6688101010
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights7799111111
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals11111313111
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates131311333
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity12121414222
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots141422444
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Anna Groszkowski '22 Ty Ryan '22
Cavaliers Griffin Richardson '21 [1-2]
Ava Farley '22 [3-7]		 Joaquin Marquez '21 [1-2]
Griffin Richardson '21 [3-7]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Nick Budington '21 [1-2, 7]
Friso Grolleman '20 [3-6]		 Liam Gronda '21 [1-2, 7]
Battlin' Baron Matt Budington '21 [1-7] Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Anna Grolleman '22 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Morgan Carew '21 Lucien Parker '20
Bruins Jonjon Weed '22 [1-7] Lily Newman '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Will Harding '22 [3-4]
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School Sam Rifkind-Brown '21 Phoebe Pressler '21
Georgetown Day Ben Joseph '21 Eli Perl '21
Gilman School Gilman School Blake Vogel '22 Conner Scuillo '22
Greyhounds Connor Vogel '20 Olivia Yazigi '20
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Olivia Sowa '20 Braedon Myers '20
Hornets Lucy Paskoff '20 [1-4]
Lochlann Ludwig '21 [5-7]		 Clare Greenwell '23 [1-4]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Tyler Egeli '20 Emily Williams '20
Raiders Audrey Commerford '21 Makenna Labor '21
Severn School Severn School No Show No Show
Admirals No Show No Show
South River High School South River High School Bryce Ricewoolf '20 Rachel O'Neil '20
Seahawks Josh Powell '22 [1-7] Beatrice Bello '22 [1-2]
Vaughan Hood '20 [3-7]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Christopher Callaghan '20 [1-7] Kaitlyn Brouillette '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Abigail Cosgrove '22 [3-4, 7]
Knights Brady Kinslow '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Timothy Dixon '20 [3-4]		 Matt Getson '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Jillian Downey '20 [3-4]
Towson High School Towson High School Will Dryer '20 Izzy Wu '22
Generals Reese Meyers '23 Tate Bothner '20
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA No Show No Show
Pirates No Show No Show
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Aidan Young '20 No Show
Varsity No Show Caden Meuller '21
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Colman Schofield '21 Matthew Boothby '21
Patriots Conrad Schofield '23 William Bernhardt '21

Conditions — 09/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1011.7 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WNW (286°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1011.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →