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Minnesota Conference #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Breck Breck Mixed 27 20 47
2 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 13 35 48
3 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 32 17 49
4 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 26 26 52
5 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 10 67 77
6 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 62 26 88
7 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 48 63 111
8 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 65 46 111
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 49 70 119
10 Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 72 55 127
11 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 91 37 128
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 80 59 139
13 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 62 82 144
14 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 97 51 148
15 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 71 84 155
16 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 72 94 166
17 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 76 91 167
18 River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 79 97 176
19 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Varsity 117 119 236
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 1 1 1 3 3 10 Robbie Dresen '25 [1-6]
Stella Townshend '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Mcnerline '23 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 3 2 3 1 1 13 Luke Schmidt '26
Claire Brings '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 6 2 7 5 4 2 26 Nicole Guiliani '20
Mason Pirner '21
Breck Breck Mixed 5 4 4 2 2 10 27 William Sweeney '21 [1-6]
Evan Lin '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Lesinski '23 [3-4]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 10 3 4 5 8 32 Finn Tait '21
Tj Isberg '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 7 13 5 11 7 5 48 James Jagielski '21
Helene Schroeder '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 8 5 6 12 14 4 49 Jack Wherry '23 [1-6]
Rory Cole '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Evelyn Engebretson '24 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 4 6 12 15 9 16 62 Anika Liner '21 [1-6]
Olivia Shores '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Sara Fraser '21 [3-4]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 9 7 10 8 17 11 62 Nathan Bogel '20
Ana Stewart '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 13 11 9 9 11 12 65 Paige Kurtenbach '23
Rafael Zarzosa '23
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 16 17 8 7 16 7 71 Jackson Medeck '24 [1-6]
Ella Kline '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Maddie Holst '23 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 10 8 11 16 12 15 72 Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Aiden Ide '25 [3-4]
Aiden Ide '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-4]
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 12 15 16 10 10 9 72 Ethan Stohr '23
Hailey Nameniuk '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 14 9 DSQ 14 13 6 76 Paul Wang '24
Spence Christensen '22
River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 19 14 DSQ 6 6 14 79 Logan Farner '20
Ruby Bancroft '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 15 18 13 13 8 13 80 Harper Gordon '26
Alyson Liu '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 11 12 15 17 18 18 91 Stephen Olk '21
Parker Ziegler '24
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 17 16 14 18 15 17 97 Elliot Randolph '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Giovanni Decarli '24 [3-4]
Ryan Boudreau '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Varsity 18 19 DNF DNS DNS DNS 117 Anna Regan '24
Sophia Sigel '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 4 6 1 3 1 2 17 Wyatt Tait '23
Hayden Graff '21
Breck Breck Mixed 2 1 4 2 3 8 20 Maeve Katics '22
Wren Pellant '23
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 5 6 1 10 3 26 Luke Larson '22 [1-6]
Jesse Flores '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Lorentz '21 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 1 6 RDG 5 8 2 1 26 Grady Van Ness '22 [1-6]
Harriet Slaats '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoe Walters '25 [3-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 2 11 4 9 6 35 Finnian Falvey '21 [1-6]
Kristen Geib '20 [1-2]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 7 4 2 5 5 14 37 Samantha Forgosh '22
Faith Christensen '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 15 3 3 14 6 5 46 Stonewall Anderson '26
Andrew Sabin '26
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 5 10 14 9 4 9 51 Martin Weiss '22
Rory Baker '24
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 9 9 10 6 17 4 55 Wyatt Holst '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Holmes '21 [3-4]
Izzy Holmes '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Krivich '22 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 12 13 9 7 7 11 59 William Barrett '24
Caleb Thompson '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 10 11 12 12 11 7 63 Griffin Sack '24
Timothy Chouinard '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 14 7 7 10 12 17 67 Stella Townshend '22
Kate Hoffman '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 8 8 8 DNF 16 10 70 Lucy Zinn '24 [1-4]
Evelyn Engebretson '24 [5-6]
Opal Ofstedal '24 [1-4]
Eden Bryant '24 [5-6]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 11 15 15 16 13 12 82 Anneliese Farner '25
Emmanuel Hanson '20
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 16 17 13 11 14 13 84 Ethan Nash '23
Brandt Norwood '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 2 17 16 17 15 8 18 91 Lorenzo Good '25 [1-6]
Rose Pereira '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jake White '22 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 18 14 16 13 18 15 94 Harper Randolph '22
Anne Guidera '21
River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 13 18 18 17 15 16 97 Aidan Lundgren '22
William Fleming '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Varsity 19 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 119 Katherine Ahlquist '24 [1-6]
Sophia Barnebee '24 [1, 3, 5]
Eden Bryant '24 [2, 4, 6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors141414141414
BreckBreck Mixed161616161616
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs888888
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Varsity121212121212
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed151515151515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans333333
Pequot Lakes High SchoolPequot Lakes High School Mixed444444
River Falls High SchoolRiver Falls High School Mixed777777
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers171717171717
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 1111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 2242424242424
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans181818181818
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed666666
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed999999
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy222222
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors141414141414
BreckBreck Mixed161616161616
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs888888
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Varsity121212121212
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed555555
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed151515151515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans333333
Pequot Lakes High SchoolPequot Lakes High School Mixed444444
River Falls High SchoolRiver Falls High School Mixed777777
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers171717171717
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 1111111
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed 2242424242424
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans181818181818
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed666666
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed999999
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy222222
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears131313131313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Jackson Medeck '24 [1-6] Ella Kline '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Maddie Holst '23 [3-4]
Warriors Ethan Nash '23 Brandt Norwood '20
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 [1-6] Evan Lin '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Bryce Lesinski '23 [3-4]
Mixed Maeve Katics '22 Wren Pellant '23
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Luke Schmidt '26 Claire Brings '21
Mixed Finnian Falvey '21 [1-6] Kristen Geib '20 [1-2]
Mason Schneider '24 [3-6]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Anika Liner '21 [1-6] Olivia Shores '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Sara Fraser '21 [3-4]
Zephyrs Luke Larson '22 [1-6] Jesse Flores '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Lorentz '21 [3-4]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jack Wherry '23 [1-6] Rory Cole '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Evelyn Engebretson '24 [3-4]
Skippers Lucy Zinn '24 [1-4]
Evelyn Engebretson '24 [5-6]		 Opal Ofstedal '24 [1-4]
Eden Bryant '24 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Anna Regan '24 Sophia Sigel '24
Varsity Katherine Ahlquist '24 [1-6] Sophia Barnebee '24 [1, 3, 5]
Eden Bryant '24 [2, 4, 6]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Stephen Olk '21 Parker Ziegler '24
Mixed Samantha Forgosh '22 Faith Christensen '21
Orono High School Orono High School Elliot Randolph '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Giovanni Decarli '24 [3-4]		 Ryan Boudreau '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Mixed Martin Weiss '22 Rory Baker '24
Orono High School Orono High School Morgan Reeves '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Aiden Ide '25 [3-4]		 Aiden Ide '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Reeves '22 [3-4]
Spartans Harper Randolph '22 Anne Guidera '21
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Ethan Stohr '23 Hailey Nameniuk '21
Mixed Wyatt Holst '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Holmes '21 [3-4]		 Izzy Holmes '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Brooke Krivich '22 [3-4]
River Falls High School River Falls High School Logan Farner '20 Ruby Bancroft '25
Mixed Aidan Lundgren '22 William Fleming '25
Southwest High School Southwest High School James Jagielski '21 Helene Schroeder '22
Lakers Griffin Sack '24 Timothy Chouinard '26
Southwest High School Southwest High School Nicole Guiliani '20 Mason Pirner '21
Mixed 1 Grady Van Ness '22 [1-6] Harriet Slaats '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoe Walters '25 [3-4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Paul Wang '24 Spence Christensen '22
Mixed 2 Lorenzo Good '25 [1-6] Rose Pereira '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Jake White '22 [3-4]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Hayden Graff '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Nathan Bogel '20 Ana Stewart '23
Mixed Anneliese Farner '25 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Harper Gordon '26 Alyson Liu '24
Mixed William Barrett '24 Caleb Thompson '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Paige Kurtenbach '23 Rafael Zarzosa '23
Navy Stonewall Anderson '26 Andrew Sabin '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 [1-6] Stella Townshend '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Mcnerline '23 [3-4]
Bears Stella Townshend '22 Kate Hoffman '21

Conditions — 09/21/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1007.2 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 16.3 kn
Gusts to 33.8 kn
From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine7.8 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1007.2 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/White Bear Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/White Bear Lake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →