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MISSA Great Lakes West

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 28 26 54
2 Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 36 41 77
3 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 39 52 91
4 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 57 62 119
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 52 79 131
6 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 75 61 136
7 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 100 63 163
8 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 98 88 186
9 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 97 115 212
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 1 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 28 Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-13]
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-4, 9-13]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-8]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 3 1 3 4 3 4 3 3 BKD 1 6 1 1 36 Jack Schweda '20
Riley Jensen '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 4 3 4 2 7 6 39 Lucia Loosbrock '21 [1-13]
Max Sigel '22 [1-8, 11-13]
Tristan Wischmeier '21 [9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 4 3 2 9 5 5 6 2 4 2 1 6 3 52 Cole Barre '21
Kristen Geib '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 5 5 4 3 7 3 4 8 1 7 4 2 4 57 Calvin Lamosse '21
Gints Pelecis '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 6 7 6 5 6 6 8 7 5 5 5 4 5 75 Finn Tait '21
Tj Isberg '21
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers DNF 8 7 6 8 8 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 97 Alexandre Cholat '22 [1-13]
Rose Pereira '22 [1-8, 13]
Elenore Westgard '21 [9-12]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy DNF 9 8 8 9 7 7 5 6 6 9 5 9 98 Reid Vanatta '20 [1-13]
Blake Stromberg '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Francisca Aravena '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 7 6 9 7 4 9 9 9 8 9 7 9 7 100 Patrick Fisher '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Sam Delasanta '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Sam Delasanta '20 [1-2, 11-13]
Danna Haleem '21 [3-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 8 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 26 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-13]
Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-2, 9-13]
Tyra Pranger '21 [3-8]
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Warhawks 1 2 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 1 7 2 2 41 Jackson Walker '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11-13]
Cole Schweda '23 [3-4, 9-10]
Cole Schweda '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Ellie Siepmann '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Jackson Walker '22 [9-10]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 3 8 DSQ 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 4 4 52 Greg Bittle '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-13]
Jacob Zils '23 [3-4, 9-10]
Carmen Lineer '22 [1-2, 7-8, 11-13]
Tristan Wischmeier '21 [3-4]
Audrey Cote '20 [5-6, 9-10]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 3 4 6 3 5 7 4 7 5 3 4 7 3 61 Wyatt Tait '23
Hayden Graff '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 6 6 1 4 8 6 8 6 2 4 2 3 6 62 Nicole Guiliani '20 [1-4, 9]
James Jagielski '21 [5-8, 10-13]
Mason Pirner '21 [1-4, 9]
Helene Schroeder '22 [5-8, 10-13]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 4 1 3 2 7 5 6 8 8 6 3 5 5 63 Jasper Delasanta '22
Ryan Yedica '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 5 8 7 6 3 4 5 4 6 8 8 8 7 79 Anika Liner '21 [1-13]
Nick Lorentz '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Finnian Falvey '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 7 5 8 6 8 7 5 7 7 6 6 9 88 Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-13]
Isaac Sparber '22 [1-2, 7-10]
Marco Constantini '23 [3-6, 11-13]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers DSQ 9 9 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 115 Leo Markus '23 [1-13]
Jake White '22 [1-8]
Amelia Selstad '22 [9-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks13131515171719192121141416
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs14141616181820201313151517
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers15151717191921211414161618
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders17171919212114141616181820
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans16161818202013131515171719
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers18182020131315151717191921
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans19192121141416161818202013
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers20201313151517171919212114
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy21211414161618182020131315

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Arrowhead High SchoolArrowhead High School Warhawks553399111144228
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs22881010121255339
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers3399111144228810
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders991111442288101012
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans881010121255339911
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers1010121255339911114
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1111442288101012125
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers12125533991111442
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy44228810101212553
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arrowhead High School Arrowhead High School Jack Schweda '20 Riley Jensen '23
Warhawks Jackson Walker '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11-13]
Cole Schweda '23 [3-4, 9-10]		 Cole Schweda '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Ellie Siepmann '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Jackson Walker '22 [9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Cole Barre '21 Kristen Geib '20
Zephyrs Anika Liner '21 [1-13] Nick Lorentz '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Finnian Falvey '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 [1-13] Max Sigel '22 [1-8, 11-13]
Tristan Wischmeier '21 [9-10]
Skippers Greg Bittle '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-13]
Jacob Zils '23 [3-4, 9-10]		 Carmen Lineer '22 [1-2, 7-8, 11-13]
Tristan Wischmeier '21 [3-4]
Audrey Cote '20 [5-6, 9-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 [1-13] Jack (Henry) Strommen '21 [1-4, 9-13]
Mei Vickery '21 [5-8]
Spartans Rachel Bartel '20 [1-13] Kytalin Hendrickson '22 [1-2, 9-13]
Tyra Pranger '21 [3-8]
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Patrick Fisher '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Sam Delasanta '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sam Delasanta '20 [1-2, 11-13]
Danna Haleem '21 [3-10]
Raiders Jasper Delasanta '22 Ryan Yedica '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Calvin Lamosse '21 Gints Pelecis '21
Lakers Nicole Guiliani '20 [1-4, 9]
James Jagielski '21 [5-8, 10-13]		 Mason Pirner '21 [1-4, 9]
Helene Schroeder '22 [5-8, 10-13]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Hayden Graff '21
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 [1-13] Rose Pereira '22 [1-8, 13]
Elenore Westgard '21 [9-12]
Millers Leo Markus '23 [1-13] Jake White '22 [1-8]
Amelia Selstad '22 [9-13]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Reid Vanatta '20 [1-13] Blake Stromberg '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Francisca Aravena '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Navy Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-13] Isaac Sparber '22 [1-2, 7-10]
Marco Constantini '23 [3-6, 11-13]

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1003.1 hPa

Temperature

38°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 26°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
16.4 kn
avg  ·  max 18.3 kn
Gusts to 37.3 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine3.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1003.1 hPa Rain0.04 in Snow0.44 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn · W 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnetonka: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Minnetonka, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →