NYISA-NW League Qualifier

HostPittsford Sutherland
Date10/06/2019
TypeLeague Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	22	13	35
2	Nichols School	Vikings 1	15	26	41
3	McQuaid High School	Knights	31	23	54
4	St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	24	32	56
5	Brighton High School	Bauins 1	42	35	77
6	Pittsford High School	Knights 1	48	31	79
7	Fairport High School	Red Raiders	29	54	83
8	Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates	35	51	86
9	Canisius High School	Crusaders	64	32	96
10	Pittsford High School	Knights 2	50	53	103
11	Nichols School	Vikings 2	64	58	122
12	St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	69	72	141
13	Williamsville North	Spartans	71	72	143
14	Mercy High School	Monarchs	71	79	150
15	Brighton High School	Bauins 2	85	89	174

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Nichols School	Vikings 1	3	2	3	1	1	5	15	Ethan Stoffman '20 Sam Thompson '20
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	1	6	1	5	6	3	22	William Turner '20 Luke Tota '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	5	5	4	4	2	4	24	Braeden Bommarahau '21 Christopher Zawadzki '20
Fairport High School	Red Raiders	2	1	5	2	4	15	29	Adam Strobridge '22 Benjamin Hosford '21
McQuaid High School	Knights	9	10	2	3	5	2	31	Brent Penwarden '20 Lucas Lewyckyj '21
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates	6	3	8	6	11	1	35	Accidental Gybe '15 Capsize One '15
Brighton High School	Bauins 1	7	7	9	8	3	8	42	Joe Seiffert '21 No Show
Pittsford High School	Knights 1	4	4	6	10	14	10	48	Olivia Callon '20 Sierra Bornheim '20
Pittsford High School	Knights 2	8	12	10	7	7	6	50	Pierson Deloe '20 Veronica Petti '21
Canisius High School	Crusaders	11	9	13	11	8	12	64	Anderson Osinski '22 Braden Rottner '20
Nichols School	Vikings 2	15	15	7	9	9	9	64	Junqi Wu '20 Andrew Fors '22
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	13	11	15	13	10	7	69	Garrett Grenauer '20 No Show
Mercy High School	Monarchs	10	8	12	15	13	13	71	Grace Colpoys '20 Bridget Taylor '20
Williamsville North	Spartans	12	13	11	12	12	11	71	Nicholas Barillari '22 Sydney Kelsch '22
Brighton High School	Bauins 2	14	14	14	14	15	14	85	Joshua Klein '20 Hannah Broshears '22

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	1	1	5	1	1	4	13	Brooks Turcotte '23 Madi Overbeck '21
McQuaid High School	Knights	3	2	8	7	2	1	23	Ben Talbot '20 Spencer Donahower '22
Nichols School	Vikings 1	2	3	4	4	11	2	26	Samantha Jensen '20 Michael Matuch '20
Pittsford High School	Knights 1	4	8	6	2	5	6	31	Lena Fine '21 Peter Higgins '22
Canisius High School	Crusaders	5	5	2	6	6	8	32	Gavin Sheehan '20 Rory Mcclenehan '20
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 1	10	4	1	5	7	5	32	Mark Hofmeister '20 Colin Marcolini '22
Brighton High School	Bauins 1	7	9	3	3	4	9	35	Finn Mahan '22 Teddy Bernold '22
Unregistered-MASSA	Pirates	12	12	11	10	3	3	51	Forgot Bailer '15 Mark Room '15
Pittsford High School	Knights 2	6	13	7	9	8	10	53	Bobby Dodge '22 [1-6] Lilia Howland '23 [1-3] Vitoria Fornataro '23 [4-6]
Fairport High School	Red Raiders	11	6	10	11	9	7	54	Cameron Bernabei '21 [1-6] Tori Mullaney '20 [1-3] Megan Thurley '21 [4-6]
Nichols School	Vikings 2	9	11	9	8	10	11	58	Megan Williams '22 Sal Deni '22
Williamsville North	Spartans	8	10	13	14	14	13	72	Megan Kelsch '22 Chad Swiech '22
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Marauders 2	15	7	12	12	12	14	72	Nathan Jarosz '21 Colin Marcolini '22
Mercy High School	Monarchs	13	14	14	13	13	12	79	Clementine Matzky '21 Jasmine Nichols '21
Brighton High School	Bauins 2	14	15	15	15	15	15	89	Travis Minor '22 Greg Wilt '22

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Brighton High School Bauins 1	1	1	3	3	5	5
Brighton High School Bauins 2	2	2	4	4	6	6
Canisius High School Crusaders	3	3	5	5	7	7
Fairport High School Red Raiders	4	4	6	6	8	8
McQuaid High School Knights	5	5	7	7	9	9
Mercy High School Monarchs	6	6	8	8	10	10
Nichols School Vikings 1	7	7	9	9	11	11
Nichols School Vikings 2	8	8	10	10	12	12
Pittsford High School Knights 1	9	9	11	11	13	13
Pittsford High School Knights 2	10	10	12	12	14	14
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	11	11	13	13	15	15
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1	12	12	14	14	1	1
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2	13	13	15	15	2	2
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates	14	14	1	1	3	3
Williamsville North Spartans	15	15	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Brighton High School Bauins 1	2	2	4	4	6	6
Brighton High School Bauins 2	3	3	5	5	7	7
Canisius High School Crusaders	4	4	6	6	8	8
Fairport High School Red Raiders	5	5	7	7	9	9
McQuaid High School Knights	6	6	8	8	10	10
Mercy High School Monarchs	7	7	9	9	11	11
Nichols School Vikings 1	8	8	10	10	12	12
Nichols School Vikings 2	9	9	11	11	13	13
Pittsford High School Knights 1	10	10	12	12	14	14
Pittsford High School Knights 2	11	11	13	13	15	15
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	12	12	14	14	1	1
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 1	13	13	15	15	2	2
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 2	14	14	1	1	3	3
Unregistered-MASSA Pirates	15	15	2	2	4	4
Williamsville North Spartans	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Brighton High School	Joe Seiffert '21	No Show
Bauins 1	Finn Mahan '22	Teddy Bernold '22
Brighton High School	Joshua Klein '20	Hannah Broshears '22
Bauins 2	Travis Minor '22	Greg Wilt '22
Canisius High School	Anderson Osinski '22	Braden Rottner '20
Crusaders	Gavin Sheehan '20	Rory Mcclenehan '20
Fairport High School	Adam Strobridge '22	Benjamin Hosford '21
Red Raiders	Cameron Bernabei '21 [1-6]	Tori Mullaney '20 [1-3] Megan Thurley '21 [4-6]
McQuaid High School	Brent Penwarden '20	Lucas Lewyckyj '21
Knights	Ben Talbot '20	Spencer Donahower '22
Mercy High School	Grace Colpoys '20	Bridget Taylor '20
Monarchs	Clementine Matzky '21	Jasmine Nichols '21
Nichols School	Ethan Stoffman '20	Sam Thompson '20
Vikings 1	Samantha Jensen '20	Michael Matuch '20
Nichols School	Junqi Wu '20	Andrew Fors '22
Vikings 2	Megan Williams '22	Sal Deni '22
Pittsford High School	Olivia Callon '20	Sierra Bornheim '20
Knights 1	Lena Fine '21	Peter Higgins '22
Pittsford High School	Pierson Deloe '20	Veronica Petti '21
Knights 2	Bobby Dodge '22 [1-6]	Lilia Howland '23 [1-3] Vitoria Fornataro '23 [4-6]
Southwestern Central High School	William Turner '20	Luke Tota '20
Trojans	Brooks Turcotte '23	Madi Overbeck '21
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Braeden Bommarahau '21	Christopher Zawadzki '20
Marauders 1	Mark Hofmeister '20	Colin Marcolini '22
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute	Garrett Grenauer '20	No Show
Marauders 2	Nathan Jarosz '21	Colin Marcolini '22
Unregistered-MASSA	Accidental Gybe '15	Capsize One '15
Pirates	Forgot Bailer '15	Mark Room '15
Williamsville North	Nicholas Barillari '22	Sydney Kelsch '22
Spartans	Megan Kelsch '22	Chad Swiech '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NYISA-NW League Qualifier

Division A

Division B

From the notes