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Southpoints #3 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 7 4 11
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Varsity 8 6 14
3 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 13 12 25
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 23 13 36
5 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 15 22 37
6 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 14 29 43
7 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 15 28 43
8 Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity 21 33 54
9 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 31 29 60
10 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 38 35 73
11 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 50 24 74
12 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 44 33 77
13 St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 26 52 78
14 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 43 35 78
15 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 34 49 83
16 Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 42 43 85
17 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 59 29 88
18 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 54 50 104
19 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 54 56 110
20 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 57 61 118
21 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 56 63 119
22 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 63 58 121
23 Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 62 65 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 4 1 7 Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-2]
Liam O'Keefe '21 [3]
Hannah Bast '21 [1-2]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Varsity 1 1 6 8 Justin Callahan '22 [1-3]
Caroline Caudron '23 [1-2]
Chiara Mierek '20 [3]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 6 3 13 Daniel Hughes '21
Madeline Hughes '22
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 3 2 9 14 Enzo Menditto '22
Mariana Sierra '23
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 6 5 4 15 Matthew King '20 [1-2]
Thommi Gritt '22 [3]
Nick Powers '21 [1-2]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 7 3 5 15 Guthrie Braun '22 [1-3]
Zuri Patel '20 [1-2]
Heidi Hicks '21 [3]
Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity 8 11 2 21 Natalie Hoffman '26
Mia Quijano '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 8 10 23 Joey Meagher '20
Kenna Reed '20
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 10 9 7 26 J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 [1-3]
Brandon Shirmer '23 [1-2]
Ben Defelice '23 [3]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 9 10 12 31 Bryce Tone '21
Matthew Mackin '21
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 12 14 8 34 Terra Ehrhart '20
Jonas Sroka '24
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 11 13 14 38 Bella Casaretto '22 [1-3]
Ryan Kronrad '22 [1-2]
Molly Schlesinger '23 [3]
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers DNF 7 11 42 Milo Miller '23
Brielle Schindler '23
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 14 12 17 43 Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-2]
Bella Shakespeare '23 [3]
Hannah Marsicano '20 [1-2]
Emma Shakespeare '20 [3]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 16 15 44 Katelyn Herter '20
Zuzanna Barska '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 22 15 13 50 Madison Roy '22 [1-2]
Garrett Brooks '22 [3]
Elliot Francola '23 [1-2]
Noelle Dennis '22 [3]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 15 17 22 54 Will Dimaio '22
Raquel Shulman '22
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 16 20 18 54 Lauren Connell '22
Conner Bricco '22
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 17 23 16 56 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Colin Flink '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 20 18 19 57 Marc Kiener '20 [1-2]
Cameron Lott '20 [3]
Cameron Lott '20 [1-2]
Adam Lee '24 [3]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 19 19 21 59 Coby Flannery '21
Griffin Barron '21
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 18 21 23 62 Niah Ford '22
Liam Vining '21
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 21 22 20 63 Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-2]
Peyton Dec '23 [3]
Molly James '22 [1-2]
Nick Waite '23 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 1 1 4 Javier Garcon '21
Livia Herman '22
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Varsity 1 3 2 6 Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-3]
Danny Rianno '23 [1-2]
Sabrina Fernandez '21 [3]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 4 4 12 Cort Snyder '23
Abigail Sharp '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 3 7 3 13 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21
Emma Asturias '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 5 5 12 22 Kay Brumsvold '21
Will Murray '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 7 9 8 24 Reid Nelson '23 [1-3]
Emmy Digiacomo '20 [1-2]
Kate Prest '20 [3]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 10 8 10 28 Heather Kerns '20 [1-2]
Ethan Danielson '22 [3]
Zuri Patel '20 [1-2]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 8 6 15 29 Nick Dewitt '22 [1-2]
Riley Baugh '20 [3]
Riley Baugh '20 [1-2]
Hana Kaffka '23 [3]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 9 11 9 29 Charlie Leigh '22
Joshua Pike '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 11 13 5 29 Frederick Debiase '20
Sara Lemba '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 14 6 33 Kenan Walsh '20
Ryan Ince '21
Pine View School Pine View School Python Varsity DSQ 2 7 33 James Mcgirr '20
Dylan Lopez '27
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 6 15 14 35 Ryan Kronrad '22 [1-3]
Thomas Yevoli '23 [1-2]
Rachel Becker '23 [3]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 12 10 13 35 Emily Allen '21
Sidney Moyer '23
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 14 18 11 43 Elyssa Franklin '22
Ariana Schwarts '23
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 15 12 22 49 Aden Anderson '21
Hannah Yates '21
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 16 17 17 50 Cooper Atkins '23
Maia Musial '22
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity 17 19 16 52 Kaitlyn Liebel '22
Noah Mccray '22
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 21 16 19 56 Liz Cloninger '22
Meave Mullen '23
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 19 21 18 58 Kane Fenton '23 [1-2]
Anna Roberts '22 [3]
Zoe Watson '22 [1-2]
Annabelle Riggs '20 [3]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 18 20 23 61 Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-3]
Jennifer Donelon '22 [1]
Diego Cruz '23 [2-3]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 20 22 21 63 Nicholas Stange '20
Grace Lamb '20
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Varsity 22 23 20 65 Nick Silvestro '22
Anish Tejomurtula '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers667
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders7710
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Varsity9911
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons111112
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes2213
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers131314
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers12122
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity141415
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves151516
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity161617
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers17175
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python Varsity5518
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers10109
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders18184
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity441
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity3322
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders222223
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1119
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers191920
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS202021
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils21213
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity23238
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors886

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers17175
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders5518
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Varsity441
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons1119
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes202021
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers21213
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers191920
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity3322
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves222223
Palm Harbor University High SchoolPalm Harbor University High School Varsity23238
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers886
Pine View SchoolPine View School Python Varsity667
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers18184
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders7710
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity10109
St. Stephen's Episcopal SchoolSt. Stephen's Episcopal School Varsity131314
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders141415
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors9911
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers111112
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS12122
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils2213
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity151516
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors161617
School / Team SkipperCrew
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Milo Miller '23 Brielle Schindler '23
Panthers Elyssa Franklin '22 Ariana Schwarts '23
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Madeline Hughes '22
Raiders Cort Snyder '23 Abigail Sharp '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Madison Roy '22 [1-2]
Garrett Brooks '22 [3]		 Elliot Francola '23 [1-2]
Noelle Dennis '22 [3]
Panthers Reid Nelson '23 [1-3] Emmy Digiacomo '20 [1-2]
Kate Prest '20 [3]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 [1-3] Caroline Caudron '23 [1-2]
Chiara Mierek '20 [3]
Varsity Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-3] Danny Rianno '23 [1-2]
Sabrina Fernandez '21 [3]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Coby Flannery '21 Griffin Barron '21
Falcons Frederick Debiase '20 Sara Lemba '21
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 Colin Flink '20
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 Grace Lamb '20
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 Matthew Mackin '21
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 [1-2]
Riley Baugh '20 [3]		 Riley Baugh '20 [1-2]
Hana Kaffka '23 [3]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Marc Kiener '20 [1-2]
Cameron Lott '20 [3]		 Cameron Lott '20 [1-2]
Adam Lee '24 [3]
Tigers Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-3] Jennifer Donelon '22 [1]
Diego Cruz '23 [2-3]
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 Conner Bricco '22
Varsity Cooper Atkins '23 Maia Musial '22
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Will Dimaio '22 Raquel Shulman '22
ThunderWolves Liz Cloninger '22 Meave Mullen '23
Palm Harbor University High School Palm Harbor University High School Niah Ford '22 Liam Vining '21
Varsity Nick Silvestro '22 Anish Tejomurtula '23
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Bella Casaretto '22 [1-3] Ryan Kronrad '22 [1-2]
Molly Schlesinger '23 [3]
Panthers Ryan Kronrad '22 [1-3] Thomas Yevoli '23 [1-2]
Rachel Becker '23 [3]
Pine View School Pine View School Natalie Hoffman '26 Mia Quijano '26
Python Varsity James Mcgirr '20 Dylan Lopez '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [1-2]
Liam O'Keefe '21 [3]		 Hannah Bast '21 [1-2]
Raiders Javier Garcon '21 Livia Herman '22
Riverview High School Riverview High School Terra Ehrhart '20 Jonas Sroka '24
Varsity Aden Anderson '21 Hannah Yates '21
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 [1-2]
Thommi Gritt '22 [3]		 Nick Powers '21 [1-2]
Sailors Kay Brumsvold '21 Will Murray '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 [1-3] Zuri Patel '20 [1-2]
Heidi Hicks '21 [3]
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 [1-2]
Ethan Danielson '22 [3]		 Zuri Patel '20 [1-2]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Katelyn Herter '20 Zuzanna Barska '22
SF BULLDOGS Kenan Walsh '20 Ryan Ince '21
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-2]
Bella Shakespeare '23 [3]		 Hannah Marsicano '20 [1-2]
Emma Shakespeare '20 [3]
Green Devils Emily Allen '21 Sidney Moyer '23
St. Stephen's Episcopal School St. Stephen's Episcopal School J.J. (Jessica) Smith '20 [1-3] Brandon Shirmer '23 [1-2]
Ben Defelice '23 [3]
Varsity Kaitlyn Liebel '22 Noah Mccray '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Joey Meagher '20 Kenna Reed '20
Raiders Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 Emma Asturias '20
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-2]
Peyton Dec '23 [3]		 Molly James '22 [1-2]
Nick Waite '23 [3]
Varsity Kane Fenton '23 [1-2]
Anna Roberts '22 [3]		 Zoe Watson '22 [1-2]
Annabelle Riggs '20 [3]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 Mariana Sierra '23
Warriors Charlie Leigh '22 Joshua Pike '22

Conditions — 12/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sarasota Youth Sailing: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.38 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sarasota Youth Sailing by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Sarasota Youth Sailing: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →