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Sunday Series week 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 9 8 17
2 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 11 13 24
3 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 20 29 49
4 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 24 29 53
5 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 27 32 59
6 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 31 29 60
7 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 37 26 63
8 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 37 29 66
9 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 31 36 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 1 1 5 1 1 9 Ethan Bolles '22
Thomas Kyle '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 2 3 2 2 2 11 Patrick Bergen '21
Emerson Pardales '21
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 5 2 1 4 8 20 No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 7 8 3 3 3 24 No Show
No Show
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 3 7 6 7 4 27 Julia Harnom '22
Julian Lamontagne '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 4 4 8 9 6 31 No Show
No Show
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 6 9 4 5 7 31 Luc Francis '24
Sophia Toon '24
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 8 6 7 6 DNS 37 Alex Mazelsky '20
Isabelle Gale '20
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 DNS 5 9 8 5 37 Thomas Emery '23
Migle Sarpiro '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 1 4 1 1 1 8 Eleanor Donahue '21
Sabina Coroi '23
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 3 3 3 2 2 13 Oliver Perry '23
Quin Omeara '23
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 5 5 5 6 5 26 Trevor Oakley '24
Izabella Rodrigues '21
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 1 8 8 DNS 29 Aurora Raber '24
Ben Wintersteen '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 4 2 6 7 DNS 29 No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 6 7 9 4 3 29 No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 9 9 2 3 6 29 No Show
No Show
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Stags 8 8 7 5 4 32 Michael Scannell '20
Emily Wiggins '23
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 7 6 4 9 DNS 36 James Baldwin '24
Aidan Mansmann '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 111335
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 222446
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Stags33557
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen44668
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 155779
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 266881
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine77992
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 188113
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 299224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 122446
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 233557
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Stags44668
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen55779
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 166881
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 277992
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine88113
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 199224
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 211335

Conditions — 09/15/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1008.9 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1008.9 hPa Rain0.50 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Portland: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Portland by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Portland, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →