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VISA NA JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 25 25
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 51 MRP 51 MRP
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 59 MRP 59 MRP
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 59 MRP 59 MRP
5 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 60 60
6 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 70 70
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 77 77
8 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 90 90
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 99 99
10 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 102 102
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 117 MRP 117 MRP
12 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 123 123
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 136 136
14 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 137 137
15 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 142 142
16 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 151 151
17 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 154 154
18 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 179 MRP 179 MRP
19 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 189 MRP 189 MRP
20 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 207 207
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 2 2 1 9 2 1 1 4 2 1 25 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-10]
Piper Shughrou '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Rachel Maples '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Nathan Infranco '23 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 3 4 2 2 4 4 6 3 1 2 51 MRP Connor Bott '22 [1-10]
Eliza Blythe '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Iro Catravas '25 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 1 6 3 4 3 2 2 6 4 8 59 MRP Hunter Wheary '24 [1-10]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sam Nashold '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 3 5 1 7 3 8 2 3 3 59 MRP Emily Britt '23 [1-10]
Rachael Buchanan '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [3-4]
Jack Poynter '25 [5-6]
Carrie Collenberg '24 [9-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 6 8 10 6 1 5 7 8 5 4 60 Maddie Murphy '25
David Sawyer '23
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 7 7 4 5 9 18 3 1 11 5 70 Henry Allard '23 [1-10]
Katherine Cason '20 [1-2, 9-10]
William Miller '23 [3-4]
Tina Li '23 [5-6]
Erin Martin '23 [7-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 8 11 8 3 6 10 9 7 6 9 77 Matthew Stout '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Barrett Wise '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 5 1 9 16 8 6 15 10 9 11 90 Cam Brewer '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [1-4, 7-10]
Aubrey Walton '23 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 11 12 6 12 5 7 5 12 15 14 99 Connor Mccarty '21 [1-6]
Joseph Murphy '24 [7-10]
Joseph Murphy '24 [1-6]
Connor Mccarty '21 [7-10]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 9 5 7 8 10 8 10 13 13 19 102 Mike Laccheo '23
Ian Baker '22
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 10 17 12 13 14 9 4 5 7 6 117 MRP Jack Tignor '22 [1-10]
Carrie Collenberg '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoey Alperin '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Poynter '25 [9-10]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 16 15 11 10 12 11 11 14 8 15 123 Olivia Gilmore '23 [1-4, 7-10]
Lauren Messerschmidt '21 [5-6]
Lauren Messerschmidt '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Olivia Gilmore '23 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 14 10 18 7 13 17 13 15 16 13 136 Charlotte Mccoy '24
Dan Spooner '26
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 19 14 15 11 18 12 17 11 10 10 137 Andy Beute '23 [1-10]
Braden Hensley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cooper Smith '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 17 19 13 15 17 14 12 9 14 12 142 Charlotte Shumate '24 [1-10]
Jack Carson '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 18 13 16 17 11 13 19 16 12 16 151 Travis Cazares '23
Denari Redmond '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 12 9 19 19 19 19 16 17 17 7 154 Cole Frankenhoff '22 [1-5]
Alec Reed '23 [6-10]
Kyle Rutherford '22 [1-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 15 16 14 14 16 16 14 19 18 17 179 MRP Jayden Jackson '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Peyton Crum '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Emory Racz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Molly Hanson '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 13 18 17 18 15 15 18 18 19 18 189 MRP Ramazani Clement '23 [1-8]
Bodhi Farris '24 [9-10]
Victor Pirnik '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Bodhi Farris '24 [5-6]
Molly Hanson '23 [9-10]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 20 20 20 207 Liam Chen '20
Vivian Hui '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1111111111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators2222222222
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 13333333333
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 24444444444
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 15555555555
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 26666666666
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 17777777777
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 28888888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 19999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 210101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 311111111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 412121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 315151515151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 116161616161616161616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 217171717171717171717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 318181818181818181818
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 1101101101101101101101101101101
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans 2102102102102102102102102102102
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Granby High School Granby High School Comets Henry Allard '23 [1-10] Katherine Cason '20 [1-2, 9-10]
William Miller '23 [3-4]
Tina Li '23 [5-6]
Erin Martin '23 [7-8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators Cole Frankenhoff '22 [1-5]
Alec Reed '23 [6-10]		 Kyle Rutherford '22 [1-5]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 Ramazani Clement '23 [1-8]
Bodhi Farris '24 [9-10]		 Victor Pirnik '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Bodhi Farris '24 [5-6]
Molly Hanson '23 [9-10]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 Jayden Jackson '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Peyton Crum '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Emory Racz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Molly Hanson '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 Connor Mccarty '21 [1-6]
Joseph Murphy '24 [7-10]		 Joseph Murphy '24 [1-6]
Connor Mccarty '21 [7-10]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 Charlotte Shumate '24 [1-10] Jack Carson '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 1 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-10] Piper Shughrou '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Rachel Maples '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Nathan Infranco '23 [5-6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 Andy Beute '23 [1-10] Braden Hensley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cooper Smith '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Connor Bott '22 [1-10] Eliza Blythe '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Iro Catravas '25 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Emily Britt '23 [1-10] Rachael Buchanan '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [3-4]
Jack Poynter '25 [5-6]
Carrie Collenberg '24 [9-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Jack Tignor '22 [1-10] Carrie Collenberg '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Zoey Alperin '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Poynter '25 [9-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 Hunter Wheary '24 [1-10] Sabrina Casagrande '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sam Nashold '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Maddie Murphy '25 David Sawyer '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Travis Cazares '23 Denari Redmond '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 Charlotte Mccoy '24 Dan Spooner '26
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Cam Brewer '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mackenzie Haynes '24 [1-4, 7-10]
Aubrey Walton '23 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Matthew Stout '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Barrett Wise '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 Olivia Gilmore '23 [1-4, 7-10]
Lauren Messerschmidt '21 [5-6]		 Lauren Messerschmidt '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Olivia Gilmore '23 [5-6]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 1 Mike Laccheo '23 Ian Baker '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 2 Liam Chen '20 Vivian Hui '23

Conditions — 09/21/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1024.3 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1024.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.26 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →