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AllState Sugar Bowl SEISA Great Oaks Day 1

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 39 39
2 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 55 55
3 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 59 59
4 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 59 59
5 St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 64 64
6 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 68 68
7 Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep 90 90
8 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 115 115
9 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 132 132
10 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 132 MRP 132 MRP
11 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 132 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 1 3 2 2 3 5 5 1 2 4 5 3 2 1 39 Emily Alfortish '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Ellie Menszer '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ashley Alfortish '23 [1-2, 7-10, 13-14]
Jack Laurent '24 [3-4]
Ellie Menszer '22 [5-6]
Emily Alfortish '21 [11-12]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 2 5 8 3 6 3 4 2 3 5 8 1 3 2 55 Kate Gibbons '23
Molly Lagarde '24
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 3 2 10 1 4 7 1 5 1 1 4 4 9 7 59 Nate Hartwell '24 [1-14]
Ava Cocke '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Robert Montgomery '22 [3-4, 13-14]
Sullivan Stankoski '23 [9-12]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 6 4 3 6 5 2 3 7 7 2 2 5 4 3 59 Cruz Dabney '26 [1-2, 8, 13-14]
Parker Fench '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Kip Buck '22 [5-6, 11-12]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [7]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [1-6, 8-10, 13-14]
Cruz Dabney '26 [7]
Parker Fench '22 [11-12]
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 7 1 1 5 2 6 2 3 5 7 3 7 5 10 64 Jacob Boone '28 [1-10]
Ricky Miller '22 [11-14]
Ricky Miller '22 [1-10]
Jacob Boone '28 [11-14]
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 5 6 6 9 1 1 9 11 8 3 1 2 1 5 68 Matias Martin '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Haru Masumoto '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Michael Morse '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Hiraku Masumoto '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep 8 9 4 4 7 4 6 9 4 6 9 8 8 4 90 Mitchell Martin '21
Allison Currie '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 10 9 7 9 8 8 6 10 9 11 9 7 8 115 Emily Threeton '22 [1-4, 7-14]
Karen Stiegler '21 [5-6]
Emily Williams '23 [1-4, 7-14]
Sophie Chevis '21 [5-6]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 9 7 11 11 8 9 10 10 9 8 10 10 11 9 132 Harriss Thorne '23
Sahana Jaligam '22
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 10 8 7 10 11 10 7 4 6 10 6 6 6 11 132 MRP Caleb Keister '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Ashton Edwards '21 [3-4, 13-14]
Degan Dansereau '24 [1-2, 5-10]
R.Ellis Beasley '22 [3-4, 11-14]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 11 11 5 8 10 11 11 8 OCS 11 7 11 10 6 132 Joel Grumme '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-14]
Devon Long '24 [3-6, 9-10]
Devon Long '24 [1-2, 13-14]
Lane Burroughs '24 [3-4, 7-10]
C.T. Ilgenfritz '23 [5-6, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons101011111122334455
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons11223344556677
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates991010111111223344
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies778899101011111122
Jackson Preparatory SchoolJackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep556677889910101111
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays1111112233445566
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS889910101111112233
St. Andrews Episcopal SchoolSt. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's33445566778899
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals22334455667788
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws667788991010111111
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions4455667788991010
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons Harriss Thorne '23 Sahana Jaligam '22
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons Matias Martin '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Haru Masumoto '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Michael Morse '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Hiraku Masumoto '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates Cruz Dabney '26 [1-2, 8, 13-14]
Parker Fench '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Kip Buck '22 [5-6, 11-12]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [7]		 Coleman Kennedy '25 [1-6, 8-10, 13-14]
Cruz Dabney '26 [7]
Parker Fench '22 [11-12]
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies Emily Alfortish '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Ellie Menszer '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Ashley Alfortish '23 [1-2, 7-10, 13-14]
Jack Laurent '24 [3-4]
Ellie Menszer '22 [5-6]
Emily Alfortish '21 [11-12]
Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep Mitchell Martin '21 Allison Currie '23
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays Caleb Keister '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Ashton Edwards '21 [3-4, 13-14]		 Degan Dansereau '24 [1-2, 5-10]
R.Ellis Beasley '22 [3-4, 11-14]
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS Kate Gibbons '23 Molly Lagarde '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws Joel Grumme '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-14]
Devon Long '24 [3-6, 9-10]		 Devon Long '24 [1-2, 13-14]
Lane Burroughs '24 [3-4, 7-10]
C.T. Ilgenfritz '23 [5-6, 11-12]
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's Jacob Boone '28 [1-10]
Ricky Miller '22 [11-14]		 Ricky Miller '22 [1-10]
Jacob Boone '28 [11-14]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Nate Hartwell '24 [1-14] Ava Cocke '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Robert Montgomery '22 [3-4, 13-14]
Sullivan Stankoski '23 [9-12]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions Emily Threeton '22 [1-4, 7-14]
Karen Stiegler '21 [5-6]		 Emily Williams '23 [1-4, 7-14]
Sophie Chevis '21 [5-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →