Tabor race day

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 12 25 37
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 23 15 38
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 26 18 44
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 27 26 53
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 17 39 56
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 32 25 57
7 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 39 30 69
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 40 38 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 1 1 1 7 1 1 12 Will Hurd '23
Nathaniel Frois '23
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 3 2 4 3 2 3 17 Maddi Koenig '24
Parker Keeffe-Jones '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 2 5 7 1 4 4 23 Lauren Flowers '23
Hermann "Tres" Elger '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 5 6 2 2 6 5 26 Bryn Kerslake '23
Fiona Hoben '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 4 4 6 4 7 2 27 Shay Bridge '24
Siena Adduci '23
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 6 3 8 5 3 7 32 Madeline Synnestvedt '23
Layla Silva '23
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 7 7 5 6 8 6 39 Sherban "Andrei" Sarbu '24
Winter Vetrone '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 8 8 3 8 5 8 40 Erin Eilertsen '24
Bretton Csongor '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 4 1 1 2 5 2 15 Felix Cutler '21
Shelby Graham '21
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 18 Ellie Dyroff '22
Jake Carlson '21
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 1 4 4 4 6 6 25 Will Hurd '23
Camila Diaz '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 5 8 5 5 1 1 25 Wyatt Bischoff '23
Carter Riggs '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 8 5 7 1 2 3 26 Jonnie Ciffolillo '23
Liam Lawless '21
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 7 6 2 6 4 5 30 Max Murray '23
Young Hu '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 6 2 8 8 7 7 38 Patrick Shachoy '24
Korina Mcmillan '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 39 Griffin Beaulieu '23
Jack Thompson '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 1111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 2222222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 3333333
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 4444444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 5555555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 6666666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 7777777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 8888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 1111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 2222222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 3333333
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 4444444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 5555555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 6666666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 7777777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 8888888

Conditions — 11/04/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1032.8 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From S (170°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1032.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy (Sippican Harbor): a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy (Sippican Harbor) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Tabor Academy (Sippican Harbor), so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →